New Round of Layout Sector Choices

① DeFi will still be a highly promising speculation hotspot in the new market cycle

DeFi has always been a key concept in the crypto market that can easily leverage funds. Given the market's demand for liquidity, DeFi is indeed the ideal choice for achieving liquidity expansion.

The direction favored by the Trump family concept mainly focuses on some mature DeFi projects within the Ethereum ecosystem.

Projects like LINK, AAVE, ENA, etc., in mainstream categories, the ones that have not significantly increased currently are UNI, LDO, ENS [these three are likely to become new popular targets]

Compared to some established projects, I prefer to select newer DeFi projects when choosing altcoin allocations.

The primary choice is COW, which has been purchased and used by the Trump family.

The new lending protocol MORPHO.

Aero, regarded as UNI on the BASE chain [however, from the current trading volume, the effect is not significant, inferior to COW]

Additionally, there are several other DeFi projects worth noting, all from the SOL ecosystem.

JUP [responsible for liquidity release and supply]
PYTH [as an oracle service provider]
JTO [primarily providing liquidity]
The reason for focusing on the SOL ecosystem is primarily due to Grayscale's SOL spot application [currently, the likelihood of approval for both XRP and SOL is relatively high]

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$MKR

Spot Code: MKR

Its daily chart shows a bullish pattern of a descending wedge contraction, with significant inflow of protective funds near the support level, and the RSI is in the oversold region. The current range of $1600 to $1500 is considered an ideal entry price. Considering the current market situation, there is a selling phenomenon before Christmas in the U.S., but typically, funds that have taken profits will re-enter after the New Year, coupled with the high probability of Trump taking office in January, which may lead to a significant increase in coin prices. Taking various factors into account, this stage is a good opportunity for bottom-fishing.

The current price of $1610 can be directly bought, and if it drops to $1500, a supplementary purchase operation can be conducted. It is expected that within a month, the price is likely to reach the first target of $2500.

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The large pancake is showing a weak oscillating trend during the day. After the price dipped below 93,000 at night, it rebounded back above 95,000. From the four-hour level, the trend is still in a downward state, with prices continuously moving down along the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. On the one-hour level, it is under short-term pressure around the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. Although there was a small breakthrough in the morning, it failed to hold the 95,000 position, and the RSI indicator's moving average has turned down again. Overall, I expect the daily trend to continue to decline.

Reference Point: You can short at 94,300, targeting 90,300, with a profit space of 1,300 points.

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In the early session, gold did not directly surge but maintained a fluctuating trend. In the absence of significant unexpected events and major data stimuli, this kind of movement is likely to continue for a long time, which is quite beneficial for our subsequent operations.

It was mentioned earlier this morning that, with Christmas approaching, unless there are special circumstances, gold is likely to experience a fluctuating market, so it is essential to avoid chasing highs and cutting losses. Since gold is difficult to break upwards, we shouldn't expect much from the bulls in the short term, as they currently lack the ability to turn the situation around and trigger a reversal in gold. Today, gold rebounded to 2633 and then began to retreat; during the US session, it faced pressure below 2620, allowing for continued shorting at highs.

This is the current market situation; one cannot assume a trend reversal just because there is a rise. It is important to understand the logic behind the rise and fall of the market, distinguishing between a normal rebound and a true reversal, which is the difference between experts and ordinary investors. Since gold is facing upward resistance, the bulls may only be making a brief appearance. Currently, focus on the short-term resistance range of 2628 - 2633 above and the support range of 2600 - 2595 below.

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If you firmly believe in the trend of a bull market, the optimal buying point in the past half month cannot be missed.

The market is currently oscillating and testing the bottom, the closer BTC gets to 90,000, the greater the opportunity. If the market is strong, there is a high probability that the buying point will appear before the 31st; if it is weak, the buying point will present itself in early January.

Wait for the right moment, the main upward wave is still ahead.

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Dear friends, everyone expects Shiba Inu Coin to climb to $0.01.

Although we may all be old when Shiba Inu Coin rises to $0.01, many people are still looking forward to it. There are more than 1.4 million people holding Shiba Inu Coins worldwide, and new investors join every year. Because of its low price and popularity in the crypto market, it is deeply loved by the public.

From 2020 to 2021, the price of Shiba Inu Coin skyrocketed, erasing six zeros, with an annual increase of 45 million%.

However, its current price is still hovering around four zeros, far from its historical highs.

However, in October 21, it had a record surge of 1000%, becoming an extremely dazzling cryptocurrency that year.

The current price of Shiba Inu Coin is $0.00002, and it is extremely difficult to remove zeros within three years. No company expects it to reach $0.01 in 20 or 30 years. Even after decades, it can only reach $0.0001 or $0.001 at most.

Calculated in this way, investing in Shiba Inu Coin will have a 4400% return rate, and investing $1,000 will turn into $45,000, but wanting to become a millionaire may always be just a dream.

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Cryptocurrency Market Half-Month Trend and Ethereum Analysis

The cryptocurrency market for the next half month can be described as a 'garbage period', with the market likely to experience daily minor fluctuations, akin to 'up and down jabs', with high frequency but limited amplitude. Given this, it is advisable to reduce trading frequency and avoid unnecessary risks.

Ethereum seems to be undergoing a change in ownership, but many people are skeptical. In fact, a visit to Wall Street would reveal that this is no longer a secret. The Ethereum Foundation occasionally sells off small amounts to cooperate with the sell-off actions, and the buyer is Trump; this situation has become clear. If you still haven't grasped the underlying intricacies by now, it may not be wise to remain in the cryptocurrency market.

During this half-month 'garbage time', due to small market fluctuations and difficulty in gaining trading profits, it may be better to pass the time with games and wait for clearer market trends before deciding on investment strategies. Everyone still needs to maintain sharp insight into the market and invest rationally.

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FXS belongs to the fractional algorithm stablecoin protocol, with part of its supply supported by collateral and part supported by algorithms.

Currently, the selling power of the market makers is weak, while retail investors are buying more concentratedly.

From the daily candlestick perspective, the KDJ and MACD indicators are both showing a golden cross and are moving upward.

The golden cross in the four-hour trend is also continuing to rise.

At this moment, the trading volume is in an expanding phase, just at the beginning of a rebound, a rare opportunity not to be missed, with the current price at 3.307, which is the right time to enter the market.

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ETH market analysis (4H)

Let's take a look at the recent price trend of Ethereum and the objective analysis made by professionals! Do you still remember the key support points given in the last analysis? First, the average price of the exponential moving average (EMA) 200 is located at 3099 at present, 3089 in the last analysis, and the lowest price of the subsequent decline is 3100; the second is the 0.618 retracement level at 3015.

The current trend of Ethereum is not strong, which is normal in terms of market dynamics. As Christmas is approaching, there is a lack of liquidity and rising momentum, and we need to wait for the price change trend of the market after the holiday. The next thing to pay attention to is still the two support points mentioned above.

The pressure points that need to be paid attention to above are 3600 and 3724.

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Afternoon Market Analysis:

Bitcoin prices have once again plummeted dramatically, cascading like a waterfall, with the previously anticipated target prices of 97000 and 94000 successfully reached. Each prediction of market trends is a deep interpretation of the market and a commitment to its execution. Given the current trend, there is still room for further price declines, and just one K-line could break the 90000 barrier.

From the comparison of the closing price and the opening price, the closing price is higher than the opening price, but the trading volume shows a reduction trend. Looking at the MACD indicator, although the histogram is still in the positive range, its length continues to shorten, indicating that the bullish momentum is gradually weakening.

In terms of operational strategy, enter a short position at the 97000 price level, with a target price set at 93000. Once Bitcoin breaks below 93000, it is very likely to continue to probe down to 90000; we just need to patiently wait for further developments in the market.

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The price of LINK has pulled back from $30.94 to the current $22.38, with a pullback of about 38%. As it stands, this pullback has basically reached its target.

During this pullback, the big players bought LINK for as much as $44 million. The reason these big players have not yet initiated a price increase at this stage is to wash out some retail investors first.

Analyzing the current daily K-line trend, the KDJ indicator has shown signs of turning upward, although the MACD indicator has not fully stabilized yet.

Observing the four-hour trend, we can see that both the KDJ and MACD indicators have formed a golden cross, which means LINK is about to start an upward trend. Therefore, positioning around the current price of $22.58 carries relatively low risk.

As for when to add positions and when to sell, that will depend on each person's individual situation and judgment.

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XRP: From the 4-hour chart, it can be seen that it is still in a consolidation phase. If the price cannot break through the resistance level of 2.2345, then pay attention to the support ranges below at 2.1745, 2.1305, and 2.0864.

If it can successfully break through 2.2345, the market may start a rebound trend, and the subsequent target points above can be focused on 2.2797, 2.3164, and 2.3653.

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Why does this round of market make people feel that making money is particularly difficult? Here are a few reasons for your reference.

First, the market rises quickly and lasts for a short time. Often when you notice it, the rise has ended, and it is difficult to find the right time to intervene during the rise.

Second, even if you are lucky enough to hold a position during the rise, you will probably have to suffer until it is unbearable, and the holding experience is very bad.

Third, once the sector switches, if you choose the wrong sector, you will be completely marginalized by the market, and you will not even be able to enjoy the rise of the market.

Fourth, there is almost no general rise in this round of market, and all sectors have risen in rotation.

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The current liquidation map shows the delicate equilibrium of the market.

If Bitcoin breaks through the key point of 107617, the mainstream cryptocurrency exchange platform (CEX) will bear the pressure of 4.123 billion short liquidations.

On the other hand, if the price of Bitcoin unfortunately falls below the support level of 86180, longs will suffer a liquidation impact of 1.561 billion.

The key liquidation points have become the focus of the market: the short camp needs to pay close attention to the price levels of 98429, 101491, 104554 and 107617.

And the long side should always be vigilant at the price levels of 86180, 89242, 92305 and 95367.

These points are not only the detection scale of market sentiment, but also very likely to become the guiding signs of market trends.

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Comparing the market trends of Ethereum in December last year and now, the differences and correlations are clearly discernible. From December last year to January next year, the price of Ethereum dropped from $2,717 to $2,168, a correction of about 25%. At that time, the price was supported by the Ema99 moving average.

Referring to historical situations, if the current round of Ethereum trend follows last year's pattern, the low point of its price correction will most likely appear around $3,185 corresponding to the Ema99 moving average.

Investors can deeply analyze the market trend of Ethereum based on this key point, detect potential investment opportunities and risks, and more accurately control the timing of operations in the ups and downs of the cryptocurrency market.

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Currently, Bitcoin is supported by ETF products and funds from listed companies. Although the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates, the financial environment is still tight. Since September, long-term bond yields and mortgage rates have risen, and the US dollar has appreciated, which brings macro risks to Bitcoin, because it is often accompanied by a contraction in the global money supply, which is unfavorable for crypto assets.

With Christmas approaching, the end of the fiscal year and the expectation of Trump's inauguration, capital market sentiment has been "priced in", and the end of the year is usually flat. However, Arthur Hayes believes that the cryptocurrency market may plummet around Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, and then rebound, and investors can buy on dips. Bitcoin is expected to fluctuate between $80,000 and $110,000, similar to the fluctuations between $50,000 and $70,000 in March this year, until new events change the trend.

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In this round of market trends, Bitcoin has continued to decline from a high of 108,000, with a cumulative drop of nearly 13,000 points. The internal adjustments and cleaning processes in the market are nearing completion. Although bearish forces still dominate at present, one should not blindly pursue short positions as the week of trading comes to an end.

The possible downward space below has significantly shrunk, and there may still be some slight fluctuations downwards in the short term; however, the probability of further breaking below the current price level is relatively low. We have already captured the main part of the market movement and do not need to take risks chasing the tail end of the market.

In the short term, the coin price is likely to fluctuate and consolidate within a low range. Short-term trading strategies should be adjusted in a timely manner. It is advisable to wait for a pullback process and then focus on the area around 96,000. If corresponding signals appear, consider a bullish rebound correction.

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Today, many friends sent private messages expressing their anxiety due to being trapped by high-position orders during the decline, and later worrying about missing the opportunity to get on board during the afternoon rebound. Here, I will unify my personal views. For those who came to inquire, I patiently provided suggestions; if there are any inappropriate aspects, I hope for your understanding.

This pullback belongs to the daily level and is difficult to end in the short term. The afternoon's rebound is merely a brief bounce after an oversold condition, and it is highly likely that the low point from early this morning will be broken in the future. When making small-scale operations, one can appropriately place small orders.

The specific operational points are as follows:
First, do not blindly chase high prices.
Second, choose your preferred investment targets; if you need assistance with analysis, feel free to contact me via private message on my homepage.
Third, adopt a pyramidal order strategy with batch placements.

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On Wednesday, the crude oil market showed a trend of rising first and then falling. After climbing to around $70.7, the oil price encountered selling pressure and turned downward. It found support and stabilized at $69.37, and finally closed at $69.446. From the daily chart, a negative inverted hammer line with a long upper shadow was recorded. Its high point broke through the previous high, but the low point did not fall below the previous low. The daily level showed an adjustment pattern, and there were obvious signs of pressure above.

At the four-hour level, the Bollinger Bands showed a wide flat trend, and the oil price was blocked and fell when it touched the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. The previous support level below is in the $68.8 area. Once the support is effectively broken, it may trigger further downward momentum. The short-term resistance level above is at the $69.8 level. Given that the oil price has risen and fallen again, a bearish trend may gradually form. As for today, the short-term focus on the resistance of the 70.5 to 71.0 USD range is the upper side, and the focus on the support of the 68.0 to 67.5 USD range is the lower side.

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SOL Market Analysis
1. Recent Trend Overview
The price has continued to decline after a rebound, currently reaching the upper support level of the 155 - 185 range, triggering a rebound trend on an hourly basis. The support strength at this neckline comes from the high point areas in May and July.

2. Future Market Outlook
(1) Short-term Rebound Trend
It is estimated that there will be a rebound trend around the daily MA30, although there is no possibility of a direct V-shaped reversal.

(2) Anticipated Secondary Decline
After experiencing a rebound, it is highly likely that there will be a daily level retracement, and then a continuation platform will be built within a fluctuating pattern.

3. Key Reference Points
(1) Pressure Point Distribution
Mainly concentrated at positions such as 233.6, 245, 270, 283, and 300.

(2) Support Points Listed
Including key support levels such as 184.5, 169.3, 158.8, and 152.3.

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