More than 6 years since entering the circle
The most common retail investor stories I've heard are entering this market through meme coins, rather than through buying Bitcoin.
I entered through Eos, which was originally a meme.
Many people in China entered through shib.
Many people overseas entered through doge.
During the last bull market, BSC was promoted offline.
Last year, many people entered through inscriptions, especially older women; it is essentially also a meme.
In this bull market, many celebrities from traditional industries have entered through pumps, especially more meme players.
90% of VC coins are scams, just dressing up stories; they're not as pure as memes.
Recently, even the rebels have come and are discussing memes.
What is the trend? Meme, because in the crypto circle, besides Bitcoin,
other so-called application coins are not as good as memes. Of course, I exclude those projects that are genuinely doing something to improve the crypto space; conservatively, 90% of others are trash.
And we have a bunch of trash in our hands, hahaha #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #PCE通胀降温 #加密市场盘整

Let's do a market sense test to see how the wealth gap between you and others is widened: 📙Prerequisite knowledge: Target 1⃣ You may earn up to $700 after buying, and lose up to $300. Target 2⃣ You may earn up to $400 after buying, and lose up to $600. The positive and negative feedback of target 1⃣ is ➕, and the positive and negative feedback of target 2⃣ is ➖. Of course, everyone knows that they should choose 1⃣. The [compound interest] that everyone talks about is also based on this principle. As long as you simply repeat the selection of the same type of target as 1⃣, you can continuously increase your funds. The core is one: as long as the positive and negative feedback is ➖, you should not buy. ❓The question is: I selected coins in 4 different types of market-making cycles, and the K-line charts are all [daily] charts. Please choose the one that you think will have the largest positive and negative feedback superposition and the smallest positive and negative feedback superposition after [buy now], and give your reasons for your choice.

The current trend of sol is ambiguous, and taking short positions while looking long is one of the operational methods that can be adopted.
From the daily chart, the price is in an oversold range, with the lows over the past three days around 177, indicating that there is support here. However, the market has not formed a bottom structure or shown significant upward momentum. It is recommended to wait for the price to further set new lows or achieve a local breakout before attempting to seize a rebound.
From the 1H to 4H range, in the past 50 hours, the price has been undergoing a contraction repair after three horizontal movements on the hourly chart, and is currently nearing the end. However, locally, it has not formed a bottoming pattern, and there is significant uncertainty for those entering the market rashly. The main approach is to participate in the aforementioned mode of looking long while taking short positions.

ETH should not be sold off; those who were previously trapped should wait for a rebound before exiting. The resistance is at 3527, with a peak of 3555, and the trend basically aligns with expectations.
From the 12H to daily range, the market after the drop shows weakness among the bulls. There are multiple resistances above in terms of patterns and moving averages. In the short term, without a breakout bullish candle, the expected upward space is not obvious. I personally recommend mainly pairing with smaller-level divergences to take advantage of the oversold opportunities after the daily level fills the lower shadow and new lows.
From the 1H to 4H range, the ongoing decline during the second pullback is still continuing. The range of 3272~3225 has certain support (looking long while trading short logic), but the probability of a rebound is hard to estimate, limited to aggressive traders who are quick to enter and exit.

There shouldn't be any major pullback signs recently. Over 15 billion USD from FTX flowed into the market on January 6, generating a lot of buying interest for speculation. ➕ On January 20, with Trump moving into the White House, it is hard to expect a significant drop. A real decline will occur after January 20 when the positive expectations turn into negative ones, causing a rapid sell-off within a week.
To summarize today's key points:
1: The US stock market will be closed for two days on the 24th and 25th, and with institutions on holiday, liquidity won't be great.
2: MicroStrategy has hinted at increasing its BTC holdings for the 7th consecutive week.
3: Tomorrow, on the 23rd, MSTR will officially be included in the Nasdaq 100, which is likely to spark a wave of rebound sentiment.
4: UNi's recent revenue has surpassed 130 million USD ➕ UNi is set to launch its own chain, making it a worthwhile investment at lower prices.
5: Nine wallets have accumulated 362,380 LINK in the past 48 hours, which can be used for strategic operations.

7: PENDLE - Airdrop snapshot on December 31.
8: Trader Eugene: Optimistic about MOODENG, CHILLGUY, PNUT, and GOAT, and making long-term investments.
9: Today at 18:02, USDC issued an additional 50,000,000 USDC, benefiting the market.

BTC market share has been established
Daily chart shows T9 indicator
A definite bearish ⬇️ signal
The altcoin season is really coming, brothers
Hold on, something big is about to arrive
A rise 📈 of several times in a month
In three months, your assets could increase 3 to 5 times #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #PCE通胀降温 #市场调整後的机会？

Some cryptocurrency friends trade ETH, and forced liquidations often occur in the range of just over 100 points. From my observation, many small capital players are in this position. This position is safe when the market is doing well, but it is fraught with risks during fluctuations, which can easily lead to losses and requires sufficient time to monitor. It is only suitable for ultra-short-term trading, specifically trades within 1-6 hours, not exceeding 12 hours or overnight. Due to the lack of sufficient fluctuation space for operations, it cannot withstand 1-2 support level pullbacks, and usually, market conditions can change within 6-12 hours.
For short to medium-term trends, generally, ETH should not stabilize before 4k; forced liquidations are best positioned at 3500-3440 or even below 3200, as this can protect against major downtrends without needing to reduce positions for short-term defense (extreme bearishness can drive prices down to around 3200, like the Japanese interest rate hike on August 5). You can buy back as much as you can during pullbacks. If forced liquidations are too close, you won't dare to add to your position during pullbacks; adding to your position will only raise the liquidation price, increasing risk. If you don't add, the price may rise, yielding smaller profits. After all, in a bull cycle, every drop is to facilitate a better rise; a drop is not a real drop but rather a way to accumulate and prepare for a higher peak, this type of drop is referred to as an 'ineffective drop.' #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #PCE通胀降温 #市场调整後的机会？ #加密市场盘整

ACT $PNUT $NEIRO These three leek coins are really ruthless in washing the盘. After a big drop, there was a maximum decline of over 40%, severely teaching retail investors a lesson about the long position mentality (including me). Additionally, the violent trading of winter market makers
The meme sector, both in decline and rise, is undoubtedly a cryptocurrency with strong attention. Funds come and go as they please. Everyone knows the meme sector is strong, but no one is willing to buy at high positions, cut losses, or hold without selling. As far as I know, most of the chips for these three trapped cryptocurrencies are within the ranges of ACT 0.55-0.5, PNUT 1.1-1, NEIRO 0.00165-0.00173 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #市场调整後的机会？

The state of weekend BTC spot premium is moderate, after all, the USD funds are not in the market, and it is normal for the premium to slowly decline;
However, the previous rapid rebound of the premium from the low point and the judgment of price rebound are not problematic, and indeed no larger-scale spot supply has appeared afterwards;
The current negative premium status is not very healthy, considering the low market liquidity during the Christmas period next week, the futures market may still see targeted liquidations;
As the saying goes, "When there are no tigers in the mountains (spot leaders), monkeys (futures speculators) rule the roost!" When futures leaders start to scramble for liquidity everywhere, the market is often understood as a "monkey market." #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #PCE通胀降温 #市场调整後的机会？ #加密市场盘整

Bitcoin is still at 96,000, why have altcoins lost all their gains?
The answer lies in the trading volume. Do you remember a few weeks ago when every weekend, there were a few coins whose trading volume exceeded ETH or even BTC? Just look at their trends now. I remember DOGE, PEPE, XRP, PNUT, ACT, but I can't recall the others. Look at their current trends, and you'll know where the funds have gone; the money is stuck. Where is the altcoin season? Money comes from the sky?
Americans trade coins primarily in Bitcoin, as it aligns with the background of value investment. If I had to choose a few more, it might be RWA, as this can be considered for valuation. If I had to pick a few more, it might be the leading public chains, as this is where value can be generated. Most other sectors are just fleeting moments; many are things concocted by people in the industry themselves, which traditional investors look down upon. By the time they understand it, it might be the next cycle. The real altcoin season may present itself in another form, and it certainly won't be a general rise~ Just look at this weekend's gain leaderboard, it is simply dismal. #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #USUAL走势分析 #USUAL走势分析 #市场调整後的机会？ #加密市场盘整

After this round of consolidation, the entire market has shown a two-tier differentiation. Both bulls and bears in the market have become increasingly confused. However, from a higher perspective, in a bull market, a decline is the best thing; there is nothing better than a drop. The coins that were once unattainable are now available at a low price. This is a large-scale reshuffle in the market, where the strong survive and the weak are eliminated. It can be firmly said that this is like the heavy rain after a lightning strike; continuous heavy rain will surely lead to a sunny day. This is an eternal natural law!
It has been a while since I shared some price points with everyone. Today, I want to mention them for your reference in bottom-fishing!
The maximum retracement point for BTC is 92,000. I mentioned in November that 92,000 is an important checkpoint for BTC. As long as the closing price remains above 92,000, there is no problem; it just fluctuates within that range. Currently, this consolidation shows some downward momentum. If it drops further, going all in at 88,000 is not an issue! BTC returning to 100,000 is just a matter of time!
For ETH, there are currently two key points: the first point is 3,100, and the second point is 2,980. If the market continues to decline, 3,100 will become a reasonable rebound point. If the price sees a rapid drop, just go for 2,980; this point has significant strategic importance. The big players will not let go of such a good point!
Dogecoin has been influenced by Musk being controlled by the military, forming an island reversal pattern in its price. If this chart pattern cannot return above the neckline within a week, the situation will deteriorate, and it will take longer to digest the bottom-fishing and selling pressure. It may take several months to see a new level of market movement!
Still, the same saying: at this point, Dogecoin below 0.3 is priced like cabbage. The maximum retracement is limited to 0.242, which doesn’t leave much range. For such a skyrocketing approach by the big players, it only takes a few seconds!
The market is showing these two differentiated situations: a bullish outlook led by BTC and a bearish situation led by ETH and Dogecoin. But after all, BTC is still the leader! Capturing this wave in the next three months can easily lead to a 10x big winner!

El Salvador's President Bukele is truly bold, directly making Bitcoin legal tender, which is a first in the world! 👍 But to be honest, their domestic situation is special, heavily reliant on the dollar, with high remittance costs. Bitcoin does seem to be a solution. However, the actual effect, well, you know, the public isn't too convinced, they exchange Bitcoin red envelopes for dollars right away, which is pretty funny. 😂
Speaking of global trends, I think this should be done slowly. Bitcoin is highly volatile, and regulation is also tricky; not every country can handle it. 🤔 Even if you want to follow the trend, you must first weigh your own regulatory capacity and public acceptance, right?
Moreover, international big players, like the IMF and the World Bank, are quite cautious about this matter, as the risks are evident. 😓 So, I think the global trend following El Salvador still depends on future developments, and we shouldn't rush to conclusions.
Brothers should pay more attention to the market and keep their restless hands steady!

Seeing that Wolf Brother said the altcoin season is coming in two days
Personally, I think the likelihood of insufficient liquidity close to the end of the year is low
Although BTC's market share has peaked, Ethereum's exchange rate has a double bottom on the daily chart
The adjustment period is far from enough, and further consolidation is needed
In terms of altcoins, they are indeed at the bottom if we look at March next year
Here's my personal prediction for the upcoming market:
1🈷️BTC continues to decline, and the vast majority of altcoins will test the bottom again
1🈷️On the 20th, Trump's inauguration will bring favorable outcomes and speculation will turn negative
1🈷️On the 29th, after the Spring Festival, there will be a pre-adjustment that creates a golden pit
The real bottom for altcoins will be between the 20th and the 29th of January
From February to April, many cryptocurrencies can rise more than three times in a month
Altcoins will only take off after meeting any of the following conditions🛫
1. You get liquidated
2. You actively cut losses
Hold on! Save your bullets for the final takeoff, and don't let them explode before then #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #PCE通胀降温 #加密市场盘整

This market is brutal. On the 20th, Bitcoin dropped to 92,300, but on the 21st, it rebounded to 99,570, fluctuating almost 8 points. Many people sold at the lowest point or were liquidated, and when they saw the price go up, they rushed to buy in again. As a result, the coins in their hands became fewer and fewer. Many who suffered heavy losses felt reluctant and continued to gather resources to fight again. If they do not learn from their lessons, they will continue to be liquidated and sold off.
Trading cryptocurrencies requires skill! Just like on the 20th, when Bitcoin suddenly dropped to 92,300, many traders were scared and directly sold or were liquidated. Then, on the 21st, it rebounded to 99,570. Many rushed back in when they saw it was rising, resulting in even fewer coins in their hands. Buying low and selling high versus buying high and selling low leads to two completely different outcomes. #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #PCE通胀降温 #加密市场盘整

Is the rebound suddenly coming to an end? How did it rise during the day yesterday and drop back overnight, even potentially dropping more?
Everyone is talking about the Christmas disaster, but has it really turned into a Christmas disaster? Based on the holiday schedule of foreigners, this could last until January 6th.
1. $BTC hasn't really dropped much, just slightly down by less than 1000 USD, while altcoins are bleeding heavily;
Bitcoin spot ETF saw a total net outflow of 277 million USD on Friday, with the ETF net asset ratio reaching 5.75%;
2. $ETH's exchange rate continues to decline, rebounding to around 3500 before starting to correct;
3. $SOL rebounded above 200 at its peak, but has now completely erased its losses, and no one dares to buy the dip anymore;
#比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #PCE通胀降温 #加密市场反弹

btc

1. The daily MA30 fell below for the first time. According to the trend triangle tactics, look at the 5-line K-line; the daily level does not represent bulls and bears, but represents the strength and weakness in the medium and short term. Just as I reminded during the first sharp drop, this does not mean that we have entered the risk zone, but reminds us that the risk zone may have arrived;

2. In this wave of retreat, the big cake still played the role of aftermath, covering the retreat of his copycat brothers;

3. An original wave chart was found, and now it needs to be corrected. The correction is shown in the figure.

3. From a small level, it is very important not to fall below the low point of 92233, which means that the structure has been completed and the bottom can be built#比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #加密市场反弹

The recent strategy is: to act as a grim reaper after the market declines.
Yesterday, there weren't too many large liquidation orders, and I'm looking forward to a new round of declines to buy the dip and then sell during the rebound process, making comfortable profits.
Based on experience, a significant premium on U usually presents a good opportunity.

Generally, there are no particularly large negative factors.
When the market drops by 20% in a day, it usually rebounds by about 10% the next day.
When the mainstream drops by 30% in a day, it usually rebounds by about 10-20% the next day.
Just a bit of experiential advice $BNB #USUAL走势分析 #PCE通胀降温 #加密市场反弹 #比特币战略储备

A bull market, simply put, is when the overall trend is consistently upward, and it rises particularly quickly, leading to significant volatility. Altcoins typically fluctuate around 10%, which is already considered a lot; now that the bull market has arrived, fluctuations of 15%-20% are not unusual. Altcoins have now broken through support levels and have started entering an area where no one is monitoring them. High market cap coins might correct by 75%, while low market cap coins could potentially return to their starting points. But don’t think the bull market is over just because of a drop; that would be a huge loss. Remember, in a bull market, if you're holding long positions, even if you're stuck, there is still a chance to break free; but if you're holding short positions and get stuck, just wait for a liquidation. For those holding long positions, don’t rush to cut your losses; if you do, you’ll regret it when it rebounds. Wait for a strong reversal signal, and then increase your position to lower the average price of your long positions. This way, you can welcome the cryptocurrency frenzy after Trump takes office next year. For those without long positions, or who haven’t made money recently, don’t rush either. Patiently wait for a reversal signal, and when that happens, buying will place you in the 'golden pit' of the bull market, an excellent position. Never rush to buy just because of a big dip; a bull market rewards those who are patient.

Let's talk about Zen. The more the price of the currency rises, the less you dare to buy it. The current trend is a flag-shaped adjustment in the 1-hour structure. After the adjustment, it may accelerate the rise.
It has already hit a new high on the daily line, and the weekly line is also very beautiful. It can be regarded as a large-volume start. It should not stop rising without a weekly line with shrinking volume.
I don't know why this coin is rising against the trend. Grayscale's style of buying coins is to buy in batches for a long time, and selling is also selling in batches for a long time. If Grayscale stops buying, there should be a wave of sentiment falling.
Looking at the trend of Zen, which has been the only one to show, I dare not believe that the BTC bull market is over. Instead, it is a three-stage rise to induce more shipments.
The next opportunity lies in whether the second and third Zen can be found, and see which coins are ready to move. #比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #PCE通胀降温