The most difficult part in trading: waiting for the signal to open a position, waiting for the signal to close a position. Most of the time in trading is waiting for the opportunity to appear. Once the target is found, it is locked and then silently waiting for the opportunity to close the position. It is not the most difficult thing to know what to do in trading, but it is difficult to know when to do it. And the process of insisting on waiting should not lose money, but most people wait and wait and lose their money. Therefore, it is not difficult to identify the critical point. The most difficult thing is to always adhere to the principle of only taking action at the critical point.
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Trading cryptocurrencies is also a form of practice: In the crypto world, savvy people profit from the confused: How many hurdles can you overcome? You are the winner. 1. You can stare at the market every day, but remain in cash for a week or a month or even longer. This is the first hurdle, a very difficult one to overcome. Being in cash is also a strategy and is a high-level operation, but it is also the hardest to execute. Being in cash is definitely a prerequisite for significant profits. Being in cash is the best way to avoid market cap declines, because only by being in cash can you keep a cool head. Never be afraid of missing good opportunities because you are in cash. Because the money in the crypto market is never-ending. Enduring loneliness is the only way to hold onto prosperity. 2. When you place an order and your counterpart sees a significant rise while your order drops, do you feel disappointed? If you feel disappointed, do you have the urge to close your position? Conversely, if your counterpart experiences a significant drop while your side sees a rise, do you become overly ecstatic and lose your composure? If you experience both, it indicates that your mindset is very restless. You should overcome the second hurdle: not to rejoice at rises or grieve at falls. In the crypto market, due to the timing of major players' involvement, there is natural volatility, and historical data shows that in a major market cycle, most cryptocurrencies rise by similar margins. Excluding a few outstanding coins, as long as there is patience, opportunities can be said to be equal. 3. If your order falls below an important support line, do you hold a hope for a rebound? When it continuously drops, do you expect a rebound all the way down? If you have these feelings, you still have a long way to go. The fourth hurdle is the biggest and most important one: it is the realization that most crypto traders cannot overcome. Major players will absolutely not allow their coins to break down easily; thus, if a breakdown occurs, they must exit immediately. There is still much competition in the crypto market. It is not enough to have some skills to surpass the market; you must first conquer yourself. And conquering yourself is not just about knowledge. More importantly, it involves having the right mindset and insights. In fact, trading cryptocurrencies is also a form of practice.
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Sharing the origin of profits and losses in trading: Here is an example of a jobless female white-collar worker who invested 50,000 yuan in soybean futures in the A-share market. By continuously using a strategy of increasing her position with floating profits, she grew her initial capital of 50,000 to 600,000 in just six months. Then, in two more weeks, she reached 27 million, but after several consecutive limit-downs, she lost everything and was left with only 60,000 yuan within a week. The result of a major illness was that the initial capital of 50,000 could profit up to 27 million because the strategy of increasing positions with floating profits eventually resulted in losing all the profits; it was also because of the same strategy. The strategy of increasing positions with floating profits allowed her to gain excess returns in a bull market, but similarly, in a bear market, she lost all her profits back in just a few days. Many people might think that if she had stopped when she made 1 million, she wouldn't have lost everything later, but if she had such awareness, she wouldn't have made it to 27 million in the first place. Both profits and losses stem from the same reasons and the same actions. In a bull market, regardless of the methods used or whether they are correct, the vast majority of people can make money. The result of making money leads many to believe their methods are correct. However, when the market turns bearish, most people who made money using incorrect methods in a bull market will lose their money back using the same incorrect methods, or even lose more. This is the origin of profits and losses in trading. If you are currently facing continuous losses and don't know what to do, you can follow me, click on my avatar to find me anytime; I share all contract and spot trading strategies. Just to gain more followers.

Please follow the example of excellent traders: It goes without saying that excellent traders have money: but in addition, their character is also good, far exceeding the average level, because people with bad character are difficult to stay in the market for a long time. Why? Because the essence of market competition is the survival of the fittest, which rewards good habits such as humility, self-discipline, courage, hard work, patience, studious, calmness, etc. At the same time, the market will punish bad habits: such as greed, fear, impulse, impetuousness, arrogance, laziness, etc. So even if people with poor character originally have to work hard to change bad habits and cultivate good habits in order to survive in the market. Therefore, trading and people complement each other: maturity, stability, courage, calmness, etc. will gradually be reflected in daily life, and people's character is getting better and better. Those who can persist in the market not only show their ability: they can also see their dedication, seriousness, determination, and ability to endure loneliness and boredom, and they don't have to deal with complex interpersonal relationships when trading. So traders are all: pure, sincere, and reliable. As a senior cryptocurrency investor, I share my experience and insights for free. Are you interested in the cryptocurrency circle but don't know where to start? Follow me and watch me cook leaves, and I will help you achieve freedom in this bull market.
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Trading journals can be written without psychological burdens; you can criticize yourself freely: after all, it’s only for your own eyes, and there's no need to embellish anything for the sake of face. If you did well in trading today, write down your thought process and continue to do so in the future. If you made a mistake, write down the reasons in detail to avoid repeating it. Trading often relies on experience that needs to be accumulated over time; some things can only be learned through experience. However, if you've experienced something and still haven't learned, it must be because you're not reflecting on it. Two people with two years of trading experience: one writes a journal, and the other doesn’t; their experiences will be absolutely different. A well-kept journal for a year can equal two years of experience, and two years can equal five years of experience. If you don't believe it, ask yourself what caused your losses last month? Did your fundamental analysis hold up? Did the technical analysis align with your expectations? Don't say that many people forget what they were thinking just two days ago. Writing a journal is different; you can record your thoughts at the time and compare them with now, making it easy to see where the problems lie. If you don’t make the same mistakes again, progress will be very fast. If you ask how you lost today? I don't know? How will you profit tomorrow? I don't know either? Without recording, summarizing, and reflecting on yourself, the only outcome can be a muddled waiting for the market to reap you.
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Those who can gain enlightenment while trading endure a level of pressure that is unimaginable in other industries. Each transaction navigates through the market's ups and downs, filled with numerous issues and challenges, ultimately leading to profit. Traders face the piercing pain of failure daily; failure is the norm, while success is a rarity. Experiencing losses and despair is extremely normal for traders. Only by seeing the true nature of the market can one abandon all illusions and force oneself to become stronger. Those who achieve profound understanding in trading are not ordinary individuals. They are people who embark on their journey with tears in their eyes, only to end up laughing through tears at the end.
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Only after experiencing it can you know that trading is like sowing. It is not that you can harvest immediately after planting seeds today, but that it requires wind, rain, sun, fertilizer, weeding and insect control in different seasons of spring, summer, autumn and winter. Back to our trading, before harvesting, we experience the torment of losses, the expansion of profits, the struggle within ourselves, and the repeated denial of our abilities. Break the heart and then stick it together, break it again and stick it together again. Until the heart is covered with extremely hard armor, profits and losses become light and easy. This is the time to transform from a cocoon into a butterfly. In addition to daily learning, the only thing that can speak for yourself is the curve of profits. Come on! Struggling financial traders
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In the cryptocurrency market, it's a process of accumulating small gains into a substantial amount: how can one achieve stable profits? A person's energy is limited, and reaching the peak in a niche field is already quite challenging and sufficient; it is neither necessary nor very likely to become an all-around champion in every field. The same applies to trading; it's unlikely that you can excel in short-term, long-term, range, and trend trading all at once. Even if there are trading prodigies who excel across several directions, I believe one should first become highly skilled in one direction and achieve stable profits before cautiously considering adding a few extra attempts. Therefore, at the beginning: focus on choosing the most precise direction and persistently pursue it, maintaining long-term consistency. Continue to self-reflect on what others might see as mistakes. Perhaps what is perceived as wrong could become your most correct approach. There are no clear boundaries between right and wrong; choose a trading model that suits you, and focus to create miracles.

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《Contrarian thinking is the result of discovering value and capturing value, rather than the origin of thought; the origin of thought is value》

I believe contrarian investing is not about being 100% different from others, but rather about distinguishing incorrect phenomena in investing and then grasping the most essential truths and patterns to make investments. Is this understanding correct? Simply going against others seems to have its own blindness. Is there a more refined way to express this? I have yet to summarize better wording.

Contrarian investing is a result, not an investment method; it is an action taken after discovering value. The results may appear contrarian, but essentially, it is about seeing value and capturing value.

In other words, we adhere to the principles of contrarian thinking, but this principle is a byproduct of value investing. Behind this principle are the principles of value investing. When we see value, we envision the future of the enterprise, consider the margin of safety, and think about the long-term development possibilities of the enterprise. Only then do we make contrarian choices, capturing enterprises with long-term growth value; it is a process like this.

If you are merely being contrarian for the sake of being contrarian, just to go against the crowd, without a systematic value investment theory as a strong support behind you, then that kind of contrarianism may not yield significant gains.

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《Investing is Hard, That's Right; No One Can Succeed Just Like That》

Whenever we talk about how many times excellent companies in the past have multiplied and summarize some investment ideas, most people's first reaction and comment is, "It's easy to look at the past, but it's hard to think about the future." The underlying meaning is that what you're saying is useless; if you have the ability, find me a very simple way to discover great companies and make huge profits.

Looking to the future is always difficult, but there are always clues to follow, which is only left for those who are attentive and have vision. Therefore, when discussing certain methods and past history while looking to the future, there is no need to start by saying it's hard, because it indeed is not easy; that's just how it is.

It's like we just came out of our mother's womb, looking at the complex world and thinking about how hard life is for all the various people, feeling that it's difficult to live well and change our fate. It is precisely because life has challenges that we find meaning in striving to live strong.

Everyone who is alive finds it hard; life is not that simple. Even those strong and successful people also push through step by step, overcoming difficulties to achieve success.

So there is no need to say it's hard before doing something or to say it's not something an ordinary person can do. We need to focus on thinking about solutions for anything we do and gather the courage to overcome difficulties.

Moreover, value investing is specifically about tackling hard bones and doing difficult things because we want to achieve extraordinary success from value investing and obtain outstanding results. So when we encounter difficulties, it makes sense; if it were that simple, anyone could do it. What would we need value investors for? Why would we practice like ascetics?

There is a path, so there’s no fear of difficulty; what we fear is the many temptations along the way that make it hard to move forward. The more difficult it is, the lonelier it becomes, which can stimulate the nerves of value investors. The more difficulties there are, the more it tells them to forge ahead.
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1. The definition of investment is to buy excellent companies within one's capability circle at a reasonable price and hold them for the long term;
2. The essence of investment is slowly becoming rich;
3. The ultimate destination of investment thinking is philosophy;
4. The issues in investment are ultimately human issues, reflecting human weaknesses;
5. Investment returns come from the sales profits of a company's front-end products, not from market fluctuations;
6. The core of investment is as unpredictable as standing on the edge of a deep abyss;
7. The best qualities in investment are patience, focus, and frugality;
8. The secret to successful investing is contrarian thinking and independent thinking;
9. The most powerful weapons in investing are long-termism and compound thinking;
10. A concrete metaphor for investment is treating it as if you have a 'person' working in an excellent company at home;
11. The best method to study and understand a company in investment is to maintain tracking;
12. The fastest path to progress in investment is learning, thinking, summarizing, and advancing;
13. The three elements of investment compounding: principal, interest rate, time;
14. The three elements of investment liquidation: gambling-style heavy positions, frequent trading, leveraging;
15. The most representative quantitative indicator in investment is the annual K-line that continuously breaks new highs.
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"Don't compare in the short term, we will definitely win in the long term"

Everyone lives in the same world. Although we don't advocate comparison, it is impossible not to compare when people are too close to each other. Some comparisons are unconscious. But we are doing long-term value investment. For a long-term goal, we can not get emotional about short-term comparisons. In our minds, we have a lofty ambition of "this bird will be amazing if it doesn't sing, and it will soar into the sky if it doesn't fly."

Then others will say, why are you guys so thick-skinned? No, it's no. Whether we can do it or not, we must choose those very good companies and follow up the best companies for a long time. This is our backbone. So vision and endurance should also be our moat. Temporary failure does not mean long-term success in the future. The final result depends on time.

So, how can we stay ahead of others in life and mental outlook in the long run? The principle is that we must have long-term investment principles. Long-term investment principles will definitely lose some short-term interests, including some short-term face. This depends on whether investors can be ruthless and make a long-term lurking and long-term accumulation. If they are prepared for this idea, they will definitely win in the long run.

Then some people ask, how long is the long term? I don’t know the exact time, but the longer the time, the more confident we are.
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What is the end of trading?
The end of technology is probability.
The end of probability is effective risk control.
The end of risk control is never suffering significant losses.
The end of not losing is a positive trading system.
The end of the system is execution.
The end of execution is human nature.
The end of human nature is trading.
The end of trading is practice.
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1. Never chase high prices. When the market experiences FOMO, you need to remain calm. When everyone is panicking, look for opportunities. The downturn is the perfect time for you to quietly position yourself and buy at a lower price.

2. Trading cryptocurrencies requires flexibility. Don't just go all in. You need to learn to adjust based on market changes. Don't get stuck with just one position. The cryptocurrency market changes rapidly, and you need to keep up with the rhythm.

3. Operating with a full position is like digging a pit for yourself. Being fully invested means the risk is so high that you can't breathe, leaving you with no room to maneuver. There are plenty of opportunities in the market. Being fully invested means you have given up all other potentially profitable opportunities.
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In the world of trading, mindset and strategy are like the two wings of a bird or the two wheels of a vehicle; one cannot exist without the other. Trading is far from a simple numbers game; it is a profound test of human nature.

A calm and steady mindset is the key to unlocking the door to successful trading. In the face of the ever-changing market, one must always maintain a clear mind, not let greed blind one's eyes, and not allow fear to consume one's spirit. When profits bloom like flowers, one must not forget oneself, blindly increasing bets; rather, one should understand that 'no flower blooms for a hundred days', and timely locking in profits is the best strategy. When facing losses, do not fall into the quagmire of anxiety and despair; view it as a normal part of the trading journey, calmly analyze, decisively cut losses, and avoid further loss expansion, because each loss is a valuable opportunity for growth.
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Hold firm and wait for sector rotation

Once you decide to buy a certain cryptocurrency, you must hold firm and not be easily swayed by the short-term fluctuations of the market. Because in a bull market, every cryptocurrency has the opportunity to rotate; as long as you can hold on, there will always be opportunities to gain profits. Market trends generally arise from despair, develop in hesitation, and end in madness. ​​​​
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Avoid 15 Common Mistakes in Cryptocurrency Trading:
​1. Rushing to enter the market.
​2. Buying coins on bullish candles and selling on bearish candles.
​3. No stop-loss plan, allowing losses to grow.
​4. Overtrading, frequent buying and selling leading to skyrocketing costs.
​5. Blindly following trends without having your own investment logic.
​6. Ignoring fundamental analysis and relying solely on technical analysis.
​7. Making emotional decisions during market fluctuations instead of based on rational analysis.
​8. Over-leveraging, increasing unnecessary risks.
​9. Ignoring market cycles and going against the trend.
​10. Not learning or summarizing, repeatedly making the same mistakes.
​11. Only focusing on short-term gains while ignoring long-term value.
​12. Reacting after news is released instead of positioning in advance.
​13. Not setting profit-taking points, leading to profit reversal.
​14. Being greedy when prices are high and fearful when prices are low.
​15. Not tracking the latest developments of the coins held, responding sluggishly to directional reversals.
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Timing, location, and harmony among people are the keys to success. In the world of trading, experts understand that 'when the time is not right, the sun and moon lose their light; when the location is not right, plants do not grow; when the water is not right, the winds and waves are not calm; when people are not right, profits do not flow.' Therefore, they know to take action at the appropriate moment, and to patiently wait when the time has not yet come.

Acting without sufficient assurance often leads to losses. Many traders find themselves in trouble due to frequent trading, and when a truly good opportunity arises, they are fearful to act decisively because of previous losses. It's like waiting for a bus; if you randomly board a bus that is not your target, you will only move further away from your destination.

In fact, many traders do not lack effective methods; what they truly lack is the courage to act decisively when opportunities arise and the perseverance to patiently wait when opportunities have not yet come. The reason experts can stand out in trading is that they can remain calm while waiting and act swiftly when the opportunity comes.

Therefore, for every trader, learning to wait and understanding how to seize the moment is crucial. Accumulate strength while waiting, and strike decisively when the time is ripe, so that one can travel further and more steadily on the path of trading.
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I think there will be several scenarios for Bitcoin in 25 years

1. Direct Surge: Bitcoin skyrockets from today, breaking through the historical high of 108,000 in one go, driving other cryptocurrencies to surge as well. This frenzy may last until January 20 when Trump comes into office, and after the good news settles, market enthusiasm fades, causing all cryptocurrencies to plummet together.

2. Fall then Rise: The market drops below 90,000, continuing to dip around 72,000, then rises again after January 20 when Trump comes into office. This means it will keep falling from today until that day.

3. Fluctuate then Surge: The price remains within the current range, not exceeding the previous high of 108,000 nor breaking the low of 90,000. It will begin to surge again on January 20. I believe this scenario is the most likely, as Wall Street's operational strategy usually involves rising and washing out, which can raise prices while saving costs.
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What to do if you lose everything after trading cryptocurrencies with high leverage?

Investing with leverage may seem to bring higher returns, but its risks often far exceed expectations.

Even with 1x leverage, market fluctuations can be enough to evaporate your entire investment.

I have also experienced the peak of becoming rich overnight; ICO investments made me profit from hundreds of thousands to 2 million, but not long after, I lost almost everything, leaving me with less than 60,000.

This process made me deeply realize that good risk control is more important than any profit. The temptation of leveraged investment is great, but once you make an incorrect judgment, the losses can be equally huge.

Especially for retail investors, it is easy to impulsively chase prices and regret stopping losses; emotional fluctuations can lead to irreversible losses. If you have already incurred losses, the best approach is to enhance your ability to make money and avoid investing borrowed money.
Invest with spare funds, steadily improve your investment skills, and do not blindly pursue high-risk contract trading.

In summary: Steady investment, rational decision-making, and avoiding excessive leverage are essential to survive in the cryptocurrency space for the long term.

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