After a decline in market bets on Trump's victory over the weekend, there has been a rebound in the past two days, with the current estimated probability at 58.1%, compared to Kamala Harris's 42.1%, still holding a certain advantage. However, according to polling data from American media, the gap between the two is very close, and whether Polymarket's predictions can be accurate remains to be seen over time.

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美联储利率决议来袭

The election is about to begin today,

The results will likely be out tomorrow!

As of 7:55 AM on November 5, 2024 (Beijing Time),

the voting for the U.S. election has not yet started.

At 12:00 AM Eastern Time on November 5 (1:00 PM Beijing Time on the 5th),

voting will begin in New Hampshire and some other areas.

From 6:00 AM Eastern Time on the 5th (7:00 PM Beijing Time on the 5th), voting will start in states on the U.S. East Coast.

At 7:00 PM Eastern Time on November 5 (8:00 AM Beijing Time on November 6), all polling stations across the nation will begin to close.

Previously, the competition between the two party candidates, Trump and Harris, has been very close.

Polls show a tight race nationwide and in key swing states.

Additionally, there are many uncertainties, such as differences in vote counting rules, potential legal challenges, etc., making the final result difficult to predict.
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美国选情僵持

Dogecoin (DOGE) Market Update: Will the Bullish Momentum Return?

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been experiencing a complex phase characterized by resistance and ever-changing market sentiment. Renowned cryptocurrency analyst Alan Santana published a new analysis on TradingView detailing the current state of DOGE.

Santana stated that after notable resistance in May, DOGE exhibited a bearish trend. In August, this trend changed, leading to a bullish wave that pushed the price toward this resistance level, highlighted on the chart with a strong orange line.

DOGE surpassed its historical high in recent price movements, triggering stop-loss orders and significant sell-offs. The deep red of the last three days' candles indicates the beginning of consolidation, clearly demonstrating this sell-off. From this point, Santana outlined two possible scenarios.

The first scenario corresponds to the trend observed in late October, when several trading days led to a surge in bullish momentum, followed by a quick reversal. Santana leans toward the second scenario, which suggests that the price may decline due to the exhaustion of optimistic momentum.

More general market trends influenced Santana's inclination toward the second scenario. He emphasized that his latest analysis of major cryptocurrencies like Solana and Ethereum showed strong negative sentiment. This sentiment was echoed in several bullish and bearish chart patterns across various enterprises.

Additionally, low trading volume supported expectations of market adjustments before the bull market arrives in 2025. Based on current chart data, Santana claims that a price decline is expected given the market conditions.

Aside from this cautious view, CNF previously noted a significant transaction involving 1.74 billion DOGE being transferred to Robinhood, indicating potential sell-off pressure. Such large-scale movements often raise questions about their impact on market pricing.
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #Doge🚀🚀🚀

Bull Market is Coming! After the US Elections, these 3 altcoins are about to soar, skyrocketing 10-50 times, a wealth opportunity not to be missed!

1. SUI

The Sui blockchain has recently partnered with digital collectibles pioneer Sweet and Major League Soccer (MLS) to launch MLS QUEST. This online platform allows fans to collect "Match Key Moment Medals," which are digital assets that combine exciting game highlights authorized by MLS and the MLS Players Association. Fans can not only trade, sell, and gift these medals but also fully utilize them by participating in match-related tasks, leveling up, and obtaining various rewards.

Choosing Sui as the blockchain foundation for MLS QUEST is primarily due to its excellent transaction speed and efficient minting capabilities, providing users with a smoother and faster experience. Currently, Sui's token value is $1.85, having risen 4.8% over the past week.

2. DOGE

Dogecoin has recently gained widespread attention, currently priced at $0.151, with a daily trading volume reaching $4.35 billion and a market capitalization of approximately $21.33 billion, holding a market share of 0.92%. Despite a 6.85% drop in price over the last 24 hours, it has risen 3.31% over the past week, and increased by 34.31% within a month.

Overall, the market sentiment for Dogecoin shows a bullish trend, with the Fear and Greed Index reaching 69, reflecting a sentiment of "greed." Additionally, Dogecoin's trading price is 25.60% above its 200-day simple moving average, which is typically seen as a positive signal for long-term performance.

3. RAY

Driven by strong trading activity from Solana's top decentralized exchange, Raydium's RAY token has risen nearly 20% this week. Market indicators suggest that this momentum is likely to continue, as Raydium remains a leader in Solana's trading space. Since October 28, the platform has processed a weekly trading volume of $8.9 billion, accounting for 62% of Solana's decentralized exchange activity.

RAY's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 64.8, still below the overbought zone, indicating that the token has more room to rise before encountering resistance.
btc0955
#Doge🚀🚀🚀 #sui链

In recent days, SHIB has been strongly supported around 0.000017 USD. How much longer can it hold on?

I believe that friends who have been following cryptocurrencies recently have noticed that SHIB has been strongly supported around 0.000017 USD these days, which has certainly made many people's hearts race.

Let's first review SHIB's recent situation. Not long ago, the price movement of SHIB was quite turbulent, like a thrilling roller coaster. It was sometimes exciting with sharp increases, and at other times it was nerve-wracking with steep declines. However, recently it seems to have found a temporary "safe haven," stabilizing around 0.000017 USD.

From the perspective of market sentiment, SHIB has a large community support. These loyal holders have strong confidence in SHIB, believing that it will have better development in the future, so they are willing to buy at this price level, providing support for the price.

After all, there is strength in numbers. With so many people optimistic together, it naturally helps keep the price stable to some extent. It's like a group of people working together to support a wobbly plank, preventing it from collapsing immediately.

Secondly, from a technical perspective, the 0.000017 USD price level may be an important technical support level. For those skilled in technical analysis, they will judge the price movement based on various charts, indicators, etc. In their analysis, 0.000017 USD may be a key support level that has been validated multiple times. Once the price approaches this level, a large influx of buying will occur, thus preventing further price declines. It's like a solid city wall that is not easy for the enemy to breach.

However, we cannot be blindly optimistic; there are many uncertainties about how long SHIB can maintain support at 0.000017 USD.

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #SHIBA🚀

November is destined to be extraordinary, with elections and monetary policy meetings, can they prompt Bitcoin and altcoins to embark on a new journey?

Bitcoin is currently undergoing a pullback, with the previously mentioned defense level around 68,500 (on a four-hour chart) still in play. Following the previous strategy, there will be significant news coming soon, and contract players should be aware of the risks.

Technical analysis is ineffective for this type of news because the actual trend is determined by the election results. The market no longer blindly assumes Trump will win; holding onto spot positions while waiting for a result is the current approach.

The cryptocurrency market is gradually maturing, and it is not simply about who wins the election; it’s more about the pace of movement. Regardless of who wins, Bitcoin's status will be acknowledged, and the Bitcoin spot ETF is supporting the market.

Overall, both traditional and crypto markets are showing a degree of optimism, and everyone seems to be waiting for the results to start positioning themselves. In the short term, the political uncertainty during the election often brings about significant price volatility, and players in the primary market should be cautious of risks.

ETH found support around the 2,420 level, but the market's rebound has remained weak. It is advisable to exercise more patience and adopt an aggressive strategy. The current positions should be held, and once it breaks and stabilizes above 2,550, one can consider adding to their positions. The range won’t hold indefinitely; after three months of range-bound trading, a breakout could bring significant opportunities.
Spot players and those using low leverage should continue holding their coins and await the recent news to materialize.
btc0955
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

Peanut this MEME is worth studying and learning for all MEME culture creators and participants — Peanut this information gap and timing is just right!

The essence of MEME: seizing the moment perfectly! The news of the internet-famous squirrel Peanut being 'captured' and subsequently euthanized has evolved into a movement with the help of public figures like Musk. The hottest topics right now are the elections and politics, and the squirrel has upgraded to a weapon of public opinion in political struggles. When Musk vigorously pushed the narrative, smart money should have realized what kind of asset this is!

Starting from November 2, the price of the MEME coin 'Pnut' began to soar, peaking at over 6600 times its launch price.

Election weapons, political movements, rebellious spirit, and Musk, this is simply a natural combination for a MEME blockbuster! I can only say, it's amazing! The squirrel is leveraging the biggest momentum to create the largest impact! If you didn't GET it, I can only say that perhaps the core is not suitable for playing MEME, and I suggest giving up in advance!
btc0955
#meme板块关注热点 #美国大选后涨或跌？

Can PEPE rise to 1 dollar?

The current circulation is as high as 420.69 trillion coins! Just because this number is frighteningly high, it’s too difficult for it to increase in price. If it can really rise to 1 dollar, then the market value would be 420.69 trillion dollars! Can you imagine? Bitcoin (BTC) at its peak had a market value of around 1.2 trillion dollars.

Now let's talk about the coin burning mechanism, which is a way to increase the coin price. Burning coins means reducing the number of coins. If PEPE can burn 99% of its coins, then only 4.2 trillion coins would be circulating in the market. In this case, if PEPE rises to 1 dollar, the market value would be 4.2 trillion dollars. Although this number is still huge, with fewer coins, PEPE would become rarer, and the price could potentially surge.

Also, it's very important if whales and institutional investors are interested in PEPE. Without these large investors' interest, it’s hard for PEPE's price to rise significantly. If PEPE can catch the eye of those large investment funds, with more buyers and increased demand, the price naturally has hope to go up.

The power of the community and viral spread cannot be underestimated either. For such a popular coin, the community is crucial. If PEPE wants to be as hot as Dogecoin or Shiba Inu, it needs to gain traction on social media platforms like Twitter, Reddit, and TikTok. As the community grows stronger, PEPE has the opportunity to be listed on more exchanges, attracting new investors.

The bull market is also key. During a bull market, cryptocurrencies generally see a significant price increase.

If powerful cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum enter a bull market, PEPE, as a popular coin, can also benefit, and its price will rise.

Counterattack moment, 70,000 Bitcoin is not expensive!

Overnight, BTC dropped sharply, once falling below 68k, but by morning it bounced back to 68k and is now attacking towards 69k. Tomorrow is the US election day, and the internet is flooded with propaganda from both sides, overshadowing almost all other news.

On October 29, 2024, the price of Bitcoin was 73,620 USD, and on November 3, 2024, the price of Bitcoin was 67,478 USD. A nearly 8.3% pullback before the election can be considered a very timely and healthy trend. If it doesn't pull back and breaks a new high directly, no matter who gets elected, it will fall. After the pullback, if Trump is elected, it will shoot up to an all-time high instantly~; if Harris is elected, the market will decline in the short term, but the extent of the decline will be limited.

Whether Trump or Harris takes office, there are certain trends that are deterministic and not subject to human will. For example, the scale of US debt will inevitably continue to grow, and the Federal Reserve will continue to print money, which means BTC will inevitably reach for the moon.

Regardless of who occupies the White House, the common approach will drive the Federal Reserve to further implement loose policies, after all, flooding the market is the best way to fabricate political achievements, and perhaps there is no second option. BTC is currently under 70,000 dollars; those who are greedy for more and want it fast only see that BTC is already so expensive, but they do not see that the dollars available to take over are like a massive amount. And these large funds that may take over in the future will basically only consider taking over BTC. For these large funds, Bitcoin really is not considered expensive.
btc0955
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #比特币矿工收入飙升

To put it nicely, the air force is struggling; to put it bluntly, the main force is bullying those who can't read the market, intentionally driving it down to scare retail investors, trying to throw them off the bus before the final launch.

I have always emphasized the importance of market analysis. Market analysis is not about analyzing the current rise or fall; it's not about seeing a decline now and thinking there will be more declines ahead.

In such a volatile market, you analyze the strength of both bulls and bears throughout the entire fluctuation range, using the subtle clues within the fluctuation range to determine whether the bull's strength is strong or the bear's strength is strong. After a comprehensive judgment, if the conclusion is that the bear's strength is weakening and the bull's strength is strengthening, then it indicates that the likely direction for the next breakthrough is upward.

If you see the market falling in the past few days and worry that it will continue to drop significantly, what is the use of such analysis?

The short-term market is meant to numb retail investors; short-term movements don't mean much. You see the market dropping in recent days, and you think the bear is strong, hence your concern about a major drop. However, if you zoom out and look at the period from August 5 till now, for three months, it has not broken new lows. Can that be called strong bears?

So many people lose money; the reason they lose is that they are numbed by the current short-term market, affected by emotional fluctuations and account volatility, their mindset begins to get anxious, they lose patience, and then make judgments. This is definitely wrong.

What appears to be market volatility is actually the turbulence within each retail investor's heart. As market fluctuations become faster, the heart's tolerance of retail investors becomes lower, and under such circumstances, the judgments made are predictable.
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #比特币矿工收入飙升

Tomorrow is the last day of the U.S. election, and by around noon on November 6th Beijing time, we should be able to determine who the president is.

Many people have asked me for my opinion in the past few days, so I'll briefly share my thoughts.

First, the market currently believes that Trump's election would be favorable for the cryptocurrency market, while Harris's election would be unfavorable, right?

Retail investors are all waiting for the election results to make trading decisions, but for me, I will always believe that market trends will reflect changes before news is confirmed.

Because the market cannot be deceived; it is the result of the battle between the buying and selling forces.

If the U.S. presidential election affects the cryptocurrency market trends, then from the market perspective, the probability of Trump being elected is very high, as the market trend is bullish, indicating that the major players are already prepared and waiting for Trump’s election to gradually start a price surge.

If Trump is not elected, there is even less to worry about, as it indicates that the U.S. election does not affect the market trends of the cryptocurrency, whether it is Trump or Harris, the financial groups behind them are optimistic about the cryptocurrency market and have already laid out their positions in this sector.

Because I will always believe in the principles of the universe.

The approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs is continuously attracting funds into the cryptocurrency market,

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle is opening up, leading to a continuous inflow of funds into the financial market,

The market trend also shows signs of major players accumulating at the bottom; once the major players enter, there will definitely be a price increase because their purpose of entering is to make money, not just to park their funds.

Many people think they are losing money because the market is bad, or because the market is currently dropping, but that's not the case.

If you can't understand the market, you won't be able to make money even when the market is rising,

For example, in the upcoming market, if it breaks out and surges, will those who previously cut their losses dare to enter? They won't, because they are still worried that the market will drop back down like before.

Will those who have held on for a long time definitely make money? Not necessarily, because after it rises, any slight pullback will make them worry that the market will drop again, so they leave the market early.
btc0955
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #比特币矿工收入飙升

To some extent, when to hold Bitcoin heavily is always right when viewed over a longer time frame, and any time to hold lightly is wrong.

However, if we look at the timing of heavy and light holdings of Bitcoin from an industry cycle perspective, the most cost-effective strategy is to follow the cycle.

That is to say,
Light holdings in 2022, heavy holdings in 2023, heavy holdings in 2024 (reduced by half a year), heavy holdings in 2025,
Light holdings in 2026, heavy holdings in 2027, heavy holdings in 2028 (reduced by half a year), heavy holdings in 2029,
Light holdings in 2030, ...

Following this pattern, historically, this is the best arrangement for holding Bitcoin positions. Once the positions are arranged well, the fluctuations in between can be completely ignored.

Asset + Position + Time, achieving all three elements will naturally lead to significant results, it is inevitable.
BTC0955
#美国大选后行情预测 #比特币矿工收入飙升

Which stocks are worth preemptively ambushing?

Leaders in the Meme sub-sector: for example, Goat, the leader in Ai Meme, Doge, continuously supported by Musk, Maga, the biggest beneficiary of Trump's trades, Spx, the leader in cult concepts, Ban, the leader in Harry Potter Sotheby's + art concepts, people from Trump's campaign sector, bonk, bome, slerf from the sol sector, Doge series, shib, aidoge, floki, big coin ecosystem, ordi, sats

#你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测

Will the price of Dogecoin reach $1 in 2024?

Dogecoin (DOGE) is a meme-based major cryptocurrency that has seen a slight increase in price during intraday trading as it gains momentum for a short-term upward correction. The recent rise reflects positive buying pressure as DOGE stabilizes near key support levels, indicating market resilience.

Over the past week, Dogecoin's price has fluctuated significantly, showing a clear upward trend. Market analysts are closely monitoring, speculating that if the current trend continues, Dogecoin could surge towards the highly anticipated $1 mark.

Cryptocurrency analysts have sparked excitement among Dogecoin enthusiasts, hinting that a major breakthrough for the cryptocurrency is imminent. Historical data supports this view, as previous breakouts have yielded astounding returns, such as a 92-fold increase in 2018 and an incredible 300-fold increase during the 2021 bull market.

Current charts suggest that Dogecoin may repeat this pattern, making 2024 a potentially milestone year. The possibility of reaching or even exceeding $1 is fueling optimism within the cryptocurrency community.

“I have held DOGE for years, and if it reaches $1, it would be a tremendous victory,” commented a long-time supporter analyst.

This cryptocurrency expert indicated that if Dogecoin's price breaks through a key resistance level, it could see a significant price surge. If Dogecoin can break through the $0.169 mark, it may trigger a potential increase of 27%, with a target price of around $0.209.
btc0955
#你问我答 #Doge🚀🚀🚀

Bitcoin
Can it break new highs?

The recent decline in the cryptocurrency market has been quite severe, dropping from above 72,000 to below 70,000. I see many friends starting to claim that the bull market is over.

Personally, I don't think we need to be too anxious because we are currently in the stage of aiming for historical new highs. Throughout the history of the cryptocurrency market, there have been many phases of attempting to reach new highs, and the outcomes have invariably been successful.

Especially now, with the previous high at 73,777 and this wave reaching a maximum of 73,600, we're just a couple of hundred away from the new high. It's certain that a new high will be achieved, and even in terms of exchange rates, the fiat currencies of countries like Japan and South Korea have already reached new highs, so there's really no need to panic about the corrections.

I know that this bull market is atypical, mainly driven by outside capital, with large funds only flowing into BTC, and altcoins haven't received much positive support, resulting in a relatively small increase in asset values this time. The market sentiment during this bull run is generally low, which contributed to last night's panic, creating a sense of fear among the poor.

However, the economic rules of any phenomenon follow certain patterns. In the 16 years since the birth of cryptocurrency, the cycle of altcoin bull markets every four rounds has not changed. This time is no different; the approval of spot ETFs has led to the timing of new highs being advanced somewhat. According to past cycles, new highs typically occur in the second year after a halving. Due to the early movements in this cycle, altcoins haven't kept pace, but that doesn't mean they won't catch up.

I believe that by Q4 at the latest, or Q1 next year, the traditional altcoin season will arrive. The road to breaking new highs is often thorny, so everyone should prepare their chips and wait patiently.

#你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测

Is Bitcoin about to rise to the 75,000 mark? Three cryptocurrencies to buy at the bottom that could explode 50 times in the future!

PEPE

PEPE is a new meme coin launched on Ethereum. Inspired by the famous Pepe meme created by Matt Furie, it embraces the fun side of cryptocurrency. PEPE aims to join the ranks of popular meme coins like Shiba Inu and Dogecoin. It charges no fees and clearly communicates its simplicity, making things straightforward.
In April and May 2023, PEPE's value surged rapidly. Its market capitalization peaked at 1.6 billion dollars, making early investors millionaires and building a strong fan community. This surge triggered a "meme coin season," where many new meme coins experienced significant fluctuations.

WIF

Dogwifhat (WIF) is the latest dog-themed meme coin that has garnered attention on the Solana blockchain. Inspired by the popular Dogwifhat meme, WIF brings a playful spirit to the cryptocurrency world. Meme coins, especially dog coins, have a history of creating vibrant communities and going viral online. WIF is rooted in internet culture and aims to join the ranks of popular meme coins making waves in the cryptocurrency space.

WIF is built on Solana, known for its fast transactions and low fees, benefiting from reliable technology. The coin's focus on community and fun sets it apart from traditional cryptocurrencies.

Sui

Sui is a Layer-1 blockchain platform built for global adoption. It offers a secure, powerful, and scalable development environment. Comparisons can be seen between Solana and Sui in the cryptocurrency market. SOL experienced rapid growth during the 2021 bull market, increasing by over 900%. At its peak, Solana reached an all-time high of 260 dollars, allowing savvy investors to significantly increase their investments. Cryptocurrency experts now expect Sui to have similar potential, with Sui's token value recently increasing by over 120% in just six weeks.

SUI is still in its early development stages, aiming to attract Web2 users to the Web3 space, with a goal of significantly expanding the cryptocurrency market size, potentially reaching 10 to 100 times its current scale.
btc0955
#sui链 #WIF逆袭 #PEPE创历史新高

Pay attention to the 2 major events next week!

1- The results of the U.S. election on November 5
Remember the day Trump was elected president, the futures market went from limit up to limit down, and many people faced huge losses in just one day.

2- The U.S. interest rate meeting from November 6 to November 7
If there is a rate cut, the stock market may experience another wave of increase. If there is no rate cut, the stock market will likely continue on its original trend.

Based on the U.S. non-farm data, this interest rate meeting is expected to cut by 25 basis points. However, if these two events are combined, the situation becomes complicated. The financial market may experience significant volatility.

#你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测

The election is approaching! If Trump takes office, these 4 mainstream coins could see a 100-fold leap!

1. TIA

Celestia is designed as a modular blockchain network, allowing users to create their own blockchains with minimal effort. Unlike traditional blockchains that handle data storage, consensus, and execution as a single system, Celestia separates these processes. This approach makes it easier for developers to launch custom blockchains without the usual complexities associated with blockchain creation.

Celestia serves as a data availability layer, meaning it stores and provides data access for other blockchains and rollups. The platform uses data availability sampling to ensure data accessibility without the need to execute transactions or settle. This design allows developers to focus on specific functionalities and enables greater flexibility and innovation within the ecosystem.

2. IMX

Immutable is a Layer 2 solution for NFTs on the Ethereum network. It aims to address some common issues associated with Ethereum, such as low scalability, high transaction fees, and a complex user experience. Additionally, the project seeks to provide faster transaction speeds, higher scalability, and zero gas fees for minting and trading NFTs. This approach is designed to make the process easier and more cost-effective for users, while ensuring the safety of users and their assets.

Currently, the trading price of the IMX token is $1.15, having dropped by 14.74% in the past 24 hours. Despite the drop, trading volume has surged by 119.78%, reaching $74.24 million. Over the past year, the price of IMX has increased by 69%, outperforming over 55% of the top 100 cryptocurrencies.

3. OM

MANTRA collaborates with Libre Capital, a financial platform based in the UAE that focuses on tokenization and issuance of financial instruments. This collaboration aims to enable investors to access various investment opportunities through on-chain channels.
btc0955
Additionally, MANTRA users will be able to invest in well-known on-chain funds, including hedge funds, private debt funds, and BlackRock ICS money market funds. This move signifies MANTRA's commitment to building a diversified digital asset infrastructure and solidifying its position in the financial services industry.
#美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌？

The U.S. election is approaching, what are the speculative targets?

High market cap cryptocurrencies: DOGE, People

DOGE

The reason why the first-ever meme coin DOGE is getting involved in politics is closely related to Musk's support for Trump.

On August 20, Musk tweeted that he wants to create a "Department of Government Efficiency", abbreviated as D.O.G.E, and this naming concept was suggested to Musk by the DOGE community.
Trump also responded that if elected, he would establish this department, conduct a comprehensive financial audit of the government, and propose reducing waste. Therefore, the price performance of DOGE has also become linked to the presidential election.

Current market cap: 25.5B, recent 14-day price change: +48%, upward momentum: Musk's posts and mentions during Trump's campaign events.

People

People is not centered around a presidential candidate; it is a token issued by ConstitutionDAO.

ConstitutionDAO is a decentralized organization established in 2021, aimed at fundraising and bidding for a rare copy of the U.S. Constitution at a Sotheby's auction, raising as much as 6000 ETH, approximately forty million dollars.

Meanwhile, the PEOPLE governance token is issued through the blockchain platform Juicebox, allowing investors to exchange 1 ETH for 1 million PEOPLE. Token holders do not directly own the Constitution, but have the power of community governance. After successfully bidding for the Constitution, it will be decided by DAO community vote how to handle this copy.
btc0955
#Doge🚀🚀🚀 #PEOPLE #美国大选后行情预测