小鱼说币
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公众号：小鱼说币。实时更新，行情分析。关注我！不迷路！
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Focus on hot topics to capture leading projects in the track.
Pullbacks are not scary; the key is not to frequently change positions.
Make strict position planning, take profits in batches, and don't put all your funds in at once; leave some room to respond to future opportunities.
Pullbacks are not scary; the key is not to frequently change positions.
Make strict position planning, take profits in batches, and don't put all your funds in at once; leave some room to respond to future opportunities.
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Losing money in a bull market, the biggest reason is: too anxious, too restless
The logic of a bull market is completely different from that of a bear market; in a bear market, there are only a few good assets, so you need to look more, find various information, and identify the true alpha from it;
The biggest problem in a bull market is that all coins are rising; today this one goes up, buy it; tomorrow that one goes up, switch to that; in the end, you end up with nothing.
The logic of a bull market is completely different from that of a bear market; in a bear market, there are only a few good assets, so you need to look more, find various information, and identify the true alpha from it;
The biggest problem in a bull market is that all coins are rising; today this one goes up, buy it; tomorrow that one goes up, switch to that; in the end, you end up with nothing.
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Let's discuss several key points of the current market:
1. The funds for this round of bull market mainly come from the promotion of American capital.
2. The United States is still in a holiday atmosphere (from Christmas to New Year), which has affected the liquidity of the market to a certain extent.
3. It can be inferred that the liquidity of the current market is not sufficient, especially during the weekend. We can observe that there is a negative premium between CB's BTC spot and BN, which further confirms the tight state of market liquidity.
For today's Bitcoin market, a more typical M head pattern appeared in the short term. But it should be noted that this pattern is not suitable as a basis for opening long and short orders alone. We need to combine the current overall market status and find the key position in the pattern to formulate a trading strategy.
1. The funds for this round of bull market mainly come from the promotion of American capital.
2. The United States is still in a holiday atmosphere (from Christmas to New Year), which has affected the liquidity of the market to a certain extent.
3. It can be inferred that the liquidity of the current market is not sufficient, especially during the weekend. We can observe that there is a negative premium between CB's BTC spot and BN, which further confirms the tight state of market liquidity.
For today's Bitcoin market, a more typical M head pattern appeared in the short term. But it should be noted that this pattern is not suitable as a basis for opening long and short orders alone. We need to combine the current overall market status and find the key position in the pattern to formulate a trading strategy.
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I firmly believe that altcoins only have hot seasons
What is a hot season?
1. Not all altcoins surge dramatically
2. Only 1 to 3 sectors are rotating and exploding
The specific performance of the rise in hot coins during each wave of secondary hot seasons is 3 to 5 times
During Bitcoin's volatility, it's a good opportunity for hot altcoins to perform well
Rising one wave, falling one wave is the norm
Sectors that everyone is optimistic about will have delayed explosions
Sectors that people are not paying attention to will have early explosions
This bull market requires making money slowly
Once you want to rush, you will miss the opportunity
What is a hot season?
1. Not all altcoins surge dramatically
2. Only 1 to 3 sectors are rotating and exploding
The specific performance of the rise in hot coins during each wave of secondary hot seasons is 3 to 5 times
During Bitcoin's volatility, it's a good opportunity for hot altcoins to perform well
Rising one wave, falling one wave is the norm
Sectors that everyone is optimistic about will have delayed explosions
Sectors that people are not paying attention to will have early explosions
This bull market requires making money slowly
Once you want to rush, you will miss the opportunity
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1. As we all know, the main driving force of this round of bull market is American capital;
2. Currently, the U.S. is still in a holiday state (Christmas → New Year);
3. Therefore, it can be seen that the current liquidity is very insufficient, especially on weekends. Observation point: there is a negative premium between CB's BTC spot and BN.
2. Currently, the U.S. is still in a holiday state (Christmas → New Year);
3. Therefore, it can be seen that the current liquidity is very insufficient, especially on weekends. Observation point: there is a negative premium between CB's BTC spot and BN.
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One of the characteristics of a big bull market is the frequent sharp declines, but the overall trend is upward. This round of the bull market is already quite good compared to 2017, with more sideways movement or narrow fluctuations. For example, it consolidated for half a year before finally breaking through 74000 and setting a new historical high. Give Bitcoin some time, let the bullets fly for a while, and after some adjustments, Bitcoin will definitely break through 108000 and set a new milestone.
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The anticipated altcoin season may pause before the next boom
The cryptocurrency market capitalization has recently been declining, down 2.06% to $3.33 trillion. However, broader analysis shows a more significant drop, from $3.7 trillion in November to $3.28 trillion on December 24, a decline of 18.33%.
In the past 24 hours, while the market declined, trading volume increased by 3.3%, reaching $121.84 billion. This indicates that the selling pressure from traders is supported by actual momentum.
This downward market trend typically affects the performance of altcoins, especially since these tokens often follow the broader market trends. In fact, according to analysis from AMBCrypto, the decline in capital inflows has played a key role in the ongoing market downturn.
In the past 24 hours, while the market declined, trading volume increased by 3.3%, reaching $121.84 billion. This indicates that the selling pressure from traders is supported by actual momentum.
This downward market trend typically affects the performance of altcoins, especially since these tokens often follow the broader market trends. In fact, according to analysis from AMBCrypto, the decline in capital inflows has played a key role in the ongoing market downturn.
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Market Analysis—BTC🔥
4-hour K-line Trend:
Resistance Level: Around 96027～97516
Support Level: Around 92872～94215
Bitcoin's 4-hour K-line is experiencing a decrease in volume, currently oscillating repeatedly at the high end of the wedge channel. Please pay attention to the Fibonacci resistance level around 96027～97516.
4-hour K-line Trend:
Resistance Level: Around 96027～97516
Support Level: Around 92872～94215
Bitcoin's 4-hour K-line is experiencing a decrease in volume, currently oscillating repeatedly at the high end of the wedge channel. Please pay attention to the Fibonacci resistance level around 96027～97516.
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ETHFI is currently priced around 1.97. Buy the spot, add to the position at 1.9, first take profit level at 2.54
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Actually, there is no need to get too hung up on whether it's a bull market or a bear market!
What you currently see as a bear market may have been seen as a bull market by people in the past, and the current bull market may very well be regarded as a bear market in the future.
Of course, this logic mainly applies to BTC, as most altcoins may not even survive for a month.
What you currently see as a bear market may have been seen as a bull market by people in the past, and the current bull market may very well be regarded as a bear market in the future.
Of course, this logic mainly applies to BTC, as most altcoins may not even survive for a month.
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AERGO
It has been adjusted for a while after the last wave of rise, looking at the previous high of 0.18-0.2!
It is also a very promising one!
It has been adjusted for a while after the last wave of rise, looking at the previous high of 0.18-0.2!
It is also a very promising one!
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The crypto market is about to usher in multiple positives. Are you ready for the surge? [Haha]
FTX 16 billion repayment: Starting from January 3, FTX will first start 6 billion repayments. This huge amount of money will flow into the market, which is expected to become a signal of a rebound in the currency circle
Impact of Trump's inauguration: Trump supports cryptocurrency, attracting traditional financial institutions and investors to enter the market, and funds have already poured in after the election
Ethereum pledge ETF: Ethereum pledge function is coming, enhancing its attractiveness and bringing buying orders. Pledge applications may be opened in January, and 131 million buying orders have appeared before the holiday. "Illusion"
Ethereum Prague upgrade: Ethereum's price has doubled after previous upgrades. This upgrade is expected to drive prices up within one month
In summary, Ethereum may be stronger than Bitcoin in the next few months. Ethereum and its four major ecological currencies will become the focus. The current pullback may be a good opportunity to get on board!
FTX 16 billion repayment: Starting from January 3, FTX will first start 6 billion repayments. This huge amount of money will flow into the market, which is expected to become a signal of a rebound in the currency circle
Impact of Trump's inauguration: Trump supports cryptocurrency, attracting traditional financial institutions and investors to enter the market, and funds have already poured in after the election
Ethereum pledge ETF: Ethereum pledge function is coming, enhancing its attractiveness and bringing buying orders. Pledge applications may be opened in January, and 131 million buying orders have appeared before the holiday. "Illusion"
Ethereum Prague upgrade: Ethereum's price has doubled after previous upgrades. This upgrade is expected to drive prices up within one month
In summary, Ethereum may be stronger than Bitcoin in the next few months. Ethereum and its four major ecological currencies will become the focus. The current pullback may be a good opportunity to get on board!
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Of course, altcoins can be traded, but you must master the rhythm, with precise control over position, timing, and allocation.
First of all, the core value of altcoins is actually quite simple: to take advantage of a strong one-sided market trend to earn a wave, and then exchange it for more BTC. Therefore, the logic of trading should revolve around this goal.
Next, the entry position is very important; you must choose points with particularly high risk-reward ratios under large time windows.
Then, the time dimension is more complex; don’t expect to buy the right position in one go. The most prudent approach is to build your position in batches, buying slowly to cope with the uncertainty brought by time and market fluctuations.
Finally, there is position management. The majority of funds should be concentrated on the leading coins in the sector, while a small portion can be used for higher-risk niche coins, such as CRV or UXLINK, to gamble on potential opportunities.
First of all, the core value of altcoins is actually quite simple: to take advantage of a strong one-sided market trend to earn a wave, and then exchange it for more BTC. Therefore, the logic of trading should revolve around this goal.
Next, the entry position is very important; you must choose points with particularly high risk-reward ratios under large time windows.
Then, the time dimension is more complex; don’t expect to buy the right position in one go. The most prudent approach is to build your position in batches, buying slowly to cope with the uncertainty brought by time and market fluctuations.
Finally, there is position management. The majority of funds should be concentrated on the leading coins in the sector, while a small portion can be used for higher-risk niche coins, such as CRV or UXLINK, to gamble on potential opportunities.
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Daily Morning Post
🔵BTC plummeted, and altcoins fell across the board, losing all their gains in December.
🔵US stocks fluctuated. The current money market expects a 38 basis point rate cut next year, which means that the Fed has a 50% chance of a second 25 basis point rate cut next year.
🔵Platform currency BGB and FTT surged. BGB merged with wallet BWB, and its market value entered the top 20.
🔵Chain dog Mira surged, and the project was retweeted by bio and ai16z. It is the Chinese version of Waterdrop Fund for medical treatment, and the recipient of the donation is an entrepreneur
🔵BTC plummeted, and altcoins fell across the board, losing all their gains in December.
🔵US stocks fluctuated. The current money market expects a 38 basis point rate cut next year, which means that the Fed has a 50% chance of a second 25 basis point rate cut next year.
🔵Platform currency BGB and FTT surged. BGB merged with wallet BWB, and its market value entered the top 20.
🔵Chain dog Mira surged, and the project was retweeted by bio and ai16z. It is the Chinese version of Waterdrop Fund for medical treatment, and the recipient of the donation is an entrepreneur
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Three S-level projects
1、polymarket
2、pump
3、meteora
Three A-level projects
1、Monad
2、Berachain
3、Babylon
1、polymarket
2、pump
3、meteora
Three A-level projects
1、Monad
2、Berachain
3、Babylon
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MEW and POPCAT: Is the meme reversal closer than you think?
Over the past month, the price trends of both Popcat (POPCAT) and cat in a dogs world (MEW) have shown a downward trend.
Their price movements closely follow the broader meme coin market fluctuations, which has been in a slump since mid-November.
POPCAT's market capitalization is approximately $741.9 million, while MEW's market capitalization has reached $563 million. Although an earlier report by AMBCrypto predicted that MEW might surpass POPCAT in market capitalization, this situation has yet to occur.
Although the market generally expects meme coins to experience a major reversal, there is currently no clear indication that MEW will show stronger performance in the coming weeks.
Their price movements closely follow the broader meme coin market fluctuations, which has been in a slump since mid-November.
POPCAT's market capitalization is approximately $741.9 million, while MEW's market capitalization has reached $563 million. Although an earlier report by AMBCrypto predicted that MEW might surpass POPCAT in market capitalization, this situation has yet to occur.
Although the market generally expects meme coins to experience a major reversal, there is currently no clear indication that MEW will show stronger performance in the coming weeks.
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Market Analysis—BTC🔥
4-Hour K-Line Trend:
Resistance Level: Around 97162～98402
Support Level: Around 93025～94278
Bitcoin's 4-hour cycle K-line is experiencing reduced volume and a downward trend. The 4-hour cycle K-line is currently fluctuating and consolidating at the upper level of the wedge channel. Please pay close attention to the pressure and support levels at the top and bottom of the channel.
4-Hour K-Line Trend:
Resistance Level: Around 97162～98402
Support Level: Around 93025～94278
Bitcoin's 4-hour cycle K-line is experiencing reduced volume and a downward trend. The 4-hour cycle K-line is currently fluctuating and consolidating at the upper level of the wedge channel. Please pay close attention to the pressure and support levels at the top and bottom of the channel.
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The coin that makes big money will definitely make you uncomfortable before it takes off.
This is my own experience of making money; every coin goes through a washout process before a surge. At this time, the market makes you feel uneasy, forcing you to cut losses and wash out those uncertain investors.
Especially in a bull market, washouts are particularly common. While others are soaring, your coin remains stagnant, and you will definitely feel anxious, sensing something is wrong, wishing to sell it off.
But you must believe this is the market's strategy; many people cut losses at this time and end up missing out on a big increase. So, if you don't cut losses and persist, you often can welcome the moment it takes off.
This is my own experience of making money; every coin goes through a washout process before a surge. At this time, the market makes you feel uneasy, forcing you to cut losses and wash out those uncertain investors.
Especially in a bull market, washouts are particularly common. While others are soaring, your coin remains stagnant, and you will definitely feel anxious, sensing something is wrong, wishing to sell it off.
But you must believe this is the market's strategy; many people cut losses at this time and end up missing out on a big increase. So, if you don't cut losses and persist, you often can welcome the moment it takes off.
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Five Key Rules of Cryptocurrency Trading
Whale Movements: Rapid rises and slow falls indicate whales are accumulating, while rapid falls and slow rises indicate whales are retreating.
Top Volume: If top volume increases, don't rush to sell; if top volume decreases, quickly withdraw.
Bottom Volume: If bottom volume increases initially, don't rush to buy; if bottom volume continues, it’s time to enter the market.
Market Essence: Cryptocurrency trading is driven by emotions, with volume reflecting consensus and behavior.
Whale Movements: Rapid rises and slow falls indicate whales are accumulating, while rapid falls and slow rises indicate whales are retreating.
Top Volume: If top volume increases, don't rush to sell; if top volume decreases, quickly withdraw.
Bottom Volume: If bottom volume increases initially, don't rush to buy; if bottom volume continues, it’s time to enter the market.
Market Essence: Cryptocurrency trading is driven by emotions, with volume reflecting consensus and behavior.