1. When the MACD is above the zero line, every time a golden cross occurs, the coin price is about to hit a new high. 2. When the MACD is below the zero line, every time a death cross occurs, the coin price is about to hit a new low. 3. A golden cross of the MACD below the zero line indicates a rebound in a downtrend; participate only after rising above the zero line. 4. A golden cross of the MACD above the zero line indicates a bullish trend; high sell and low buy until a top divergence occurs. The MACD sells small; if the coin price rises and the next wave of red bars is not higher than the previous wave, it will decline. 6. The MACD buys small; if the coin price declines or flattens and the next wave of green bars is not lower than the previous wave, it will rise.
At this position, Ethereum will rise to around 3500 tonight, with the pressure level around 3550. The breakthrough will be at 3616, 3720$ETH #2025加密趋势预测
1. Choose altcoins in a bull market and buy bitcoin in a bear market 2. The coins with large volume at the bottom must be paid special attention to. This is a start signal and must be paid special attention to. 3. When the currency with an upward trend pulls back to an important moving average, it is the best time to buy and buy at the bottom 4. Don’t trade too frequently. It’s enough to get the big trends right a few times a year. Greed will lead to big losses. 5. You must control your position well. Never fully invest and leave yourself room so that you can cope with market changes! 6. For junk coins that are losing money, do not cover your position. It is wise to stop loss in time and don’t let yourself get deeper and deeper!
When we are trading, we often make the following mistakes: 1. Can't hold on, wanting to sell as soon as it rises. 2. Chasing prices when they rise, not daring to enter when they fall, passionately buying when they rise. 3. Cutting losses during a downturn, once a mistake is made in a downturn, endlessly denying one's own judgment and questioning whether to cut losses. 4. Too sensitive to short-term gains and lacking imagination for long-term gains. First, I want to ask you, who is reading this article, what is your annualized return target in the cryptocurrency market for one year? A. 50% B. 100% C. 200% D. Over 200% What would you choose? Most people may choose C or D. They think that entering the cryptocurrency market is about getting rich quickly, pursuing the idea that buying means it will rise, and when it rises, it should double. Manual swings, jumping up and down.
1. Don’t trade during the day, it’s better to trade at night. First, your restlessness during the day will affect your trading, and second, it will be difficult to see the situation clearly. 2. After making a profit, do not chase orders and stop profit. Do not think about making a profit on a second order after making a profit on one order, otherwise it is easy to lose money. 3. Going long is conducive to shorting, so never go short unless it is absolutely necessary. 4. If you have time to watch the market, don't set stop loss and take profit. This is to prevent slight fluctuations from triggering the stop loss price and causing forced liquidation, which will affect greater profits. If you don't have time to watch the market, you must set it to avoid being fooled and causing large losses, or even zero.
1. First, it is important to clarify that leverage is not the only standard for measuring your risk in trading. The leverage settings of the platform are only to ensure that the platform does not collapse and have little relation to the risk you can bear. What really matters is that you should calculate risk based on stop-loss, or in other words, your risk exposure should be managed based on sufficient principal. Especially in highly volatile markets like cryptocurrency, opening positions in increments is very necessary. For each position opened, you can control it to about 10% to 20% of your principal, so even if the market fluctuates violently, you can stay calm and not get liquidated by a single fluctuation.
1. Avoid going all in How should funds be allocated? Fund allocation should be understood from two perspectives: firstly, from a risk perspective, clarify how much loss your account can or is prepared to bear. This is the foundational thought for our fund allocation. Once this total is determined, consider how many times you can afford to incur losses in the market if you continuously make mistakes. Personally, I believe that even the riskiest method should be divided into three parts. In other words, you should give yourself at least three opportunities. For example, if the total account funds are 200,000, and the maximum allowable loss is 20%, which is 40,000, then I suggest the riskiest loss plan is: first loss of 10,000, second loss of 10,000, third loss of 20,000. I believe this loss plan has a certain rationality because if you get one right out of three, you can profit or continue to survive in the market. Not being kicked out of the market itself is a success, providing a chance to win.
In an uptrend, go long on strong coins; conversely, in a downtrend, go short on the weakest coins. For example, at the beginning of a bull market, the strongest rising assets are Bitcoin and Ethereum. When pulling back, these two currencies are the first choices for long positions. During a decline, shorting Bitcoin is the preferred option. Even if the final result shows that mainstream coins decline more than Bitcoin, only shorting or chasing Bitcoin can greatly avoid the risk of a violent rebound. Most participants in the crypto market are short-term traders, and it is difficult to hold until the ideal exit points while also not being very skilled in position control. They cannot rely on volatility to average out their positions. Given this situation, for most traders, a good entry price outweighs everything else. Once there is a profit, take some off the table for safety, and set a stop loss at the cost price for the remaining part.
Some people may say that short-term operation is speculation! First of all, Xiaofei wants to say that short-term operation is not speculation. The real short-term operation is an investment behavior that has mastered certain market operation rules and requires strong skills. Short-term operation actually tests a person's skills and patience. People who are proficient in short-term operation must have seen a lot of K-line charts, studied their trends, and summarized the general rules. In addition to reflecting short-, medium- and long-term fluctuations, the most macro point of the candlestick chart is that it can tell you which projects have done a good job in market value management, and which projects have been unable to recover after being smashed and are purely for profiteering. For example, we have mentioned many times before that there are many forked coins of BTC. In fact, except for BCH, the candlestick charts of other forked coins are not worth reading.
Shortcut to Entering Short-term Trading in Cryptocurrency
If you can calm down and do this, you will likely comprehend some of the underlying truths within two months. The volatility in the cryptocurrency market is so great that just surviving can allow you to make money. The specific method is to recharge 200 yuan each time, which is about a little over 27 US dollars. Then, aim for 1000 US dollars and operate boldly. No matter what method you use, try to achieve this goal within a continuous period of time. I have verified that if you immerse yourself in the experience, after about a dozen liquidations over two months, you can complete the last recharge and survive here. The specific methods for opening and closing positions are not important, at least not the most important. The most important goal during this time is to feel the rhythm of the cryptocurrency market and to find the diverse trading strategies of market makers.
1 Profit Dichotomy For every contract with a profit exceeding 100U, divide half of it and transfer it to your spot account. For example, in one order, 2500U-3700U. If you make a profit of 1200U, you can directly transfer 600U to your spot account, and use the remaining 3100U to continue the next order. This is the most important point. The principle is very simple, but it is very difficult to execute because it is against human nature. Human nature is greedy. The advantage of doing this is 1. It will greatly help you get rid of the frustration caused by a margin call due to various reasons. If you have ever had a margin call, you will probably understand what I mean. Mentality is particularly important in the cryptocurrency world.
Five principles for short-term contract operations
Principle 1: Risk avoidance first, making money second This is reflected in: eliminating and filtering out the falling currencies, the currencies that are fluctuating and adjusting, the currencies that are rising very slowly, the currencies that are rising very little, the currencies that have no upward momentum and trading volume, the currencies that have been heavily speculated in history, and the currencies with problems. Only participate in those currencies that can rise and are in the stage of rapid rise. (Choosing familiar currencies can effectively reduce risks and increase the chances of winning.) And see the big picture, identify the trend, and only do things related to the rise. Focusing on the things related to the rise can greatly save manpower, material resources, and financial resources, and can prevent you from doing useless work. At this time, it is natural to keep up with the rhythm of the rise and take advantage of the trend to pursue it, and short-term operations have entered a new realm.
There are no shortcuts in contract trading; success is definitely not easy. Every trader wants to find the path to success quickly, but in reality, the vast majority will fail along the way. The path to success is long, always learning a bit, practicing a bit, understanding a bit, and improving a bit. Failure and pain are your best teachers. Price rises and falls form trends, and the inertia of trends drives prices up and down, while price fluctuations change trends. Trends are such a cycle; the hardest part is still the self-control of human nature and emotions. The establishment of a trend system framework: You have a trading framework; you know when to stop-loss and when not to stop-loss. Most people lose money because they stop-loss randomly, stopping loss on trades that shouldn't be stopped; or because they do not stop-loss, when faced with trades that need to stop-loss, they hold on stubbornly and double down, leading to significant losses.
Contract trading usually involves leverage, which is the most attractive aspect. High returns can easily cause a loss of rationality. Therefore, when engaging in contract trading, you must adhere to safety and controllability as the minimum standard to play contracts long-term and seek survival and development within contract trading. 1. For some investors, the main need is to avoid the depreciation risk of falling coin prices, using a low margin to preserve value. You can open an order with moderate leverage when a downward trend forms, setting the stop-loss at the trend reversal point. 2. For speculative traders, stop-loss must be synchronized with the opening of the order, matching the use of leverage with the maximum tolerable loss for each order.
1. Check the trend in the morning In the morning, first look at the 4-hour, 6-hour, 12-hour and 1-day K-line trends to find out the support and resistance levels. Then combine MACD, KDJ, BOLL, trading volume, naked K-line trend, moving average and other aspects to judge the trend of the whole day. Based on this information, formulate the offensive and defensive strategies for the day and start trading. 2. Watch for volatility at noon After the market fluctuations in the morning, I started to pay attention to the K-line patterns at noon, found the range of oscillation, carried out high-selling and low-buying operations, and seized the opportunity of back and forth fluctuations. 3. Watch the pull-up in the afternoon The afternoon is the time when market makers and institutions are active, usually between 4 and 6 o'clock, the market will rise or fall rapidly. The market fluctuates very quickly, so when operating, you should either stop profit quickly or wait for the confirmation of true or false signals before entering the market.
Contract Trading Skills, Essential for Beginners in Futures Trading
Look at bullish and bearish: Whether you are going long or short, keep an eye on the day's highest and lowest points. If the daily high and low exceed yesterday's highest or lowest points, it indicates a change in the market, making it a straightforward way to determine bullish or bearish conditions. Look at strength: Continuous rises or drops lead to significant changes in trends; however, before breaking key levels, rockets or waterfalls often have limited strength, making it a suitable time for high-altitude low purchases. Look at amplitude: If the amplitude is within yesterday's high and low points, the market is stable. However, when it narrows to the point of not being able to watch the market closely, it often signals an impending change; be particularly attentive. If the day's high and low points exceed yesterday's high and low points, the amplitude increases, so watch for breakthroughs at significant support and resistance levels. If there are no breakthroughs, it remains in a range-bound fluctuation, but there is still room for trading.
Today I will share some insights on contracts; be sure to execute them seriously and familiarize yourself with them, and wealth freedom will surely come. I have experienced the ups and downs in the trading market. From the first time I came into contact with BTC until now, nearly 10 years have passed, and I have learned a lot of things and experiences. Today, I will share with you, which is especially useful for newcomers. First point. The risks of 2x contracts and 200x contracts are the same; lower leverage is more likely to lead to missed exit opportunities due to inner conflict, resulting in liquidation. Second point. Do not open positions at resistance and pressure points; open on momentum breaks. If resistance arrives, exit immediately; do not cling to the battle, and prioritize locking in profits.
Cryptocurrency Contract Trading: Small Bets for Big Gains, A Beginner's Guide
Total Position Setting: The funds I use for contract trading are always fixed, for example, the funds of one account are always 300U. This means my maximum loss is 300U, and once the market trend is favorable, I have the opportunity to gain tens of thousands of U in substantial profits. This setup allows me to keep risks manageable while seizing the profit opportunities presented by larger market movements. Initial Investment: My initial trading amount is always very low, based on the philosophy of stock master Livermore. He believes that if you start off right, it's best to start making money. Therefore, the amount I initially test the waters with is always small; even if my total position is 300U, I often start with only single or double-digit U. This ensures I am in a profitable state from the beginning of the trade.