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Following the strongest prediction of the entire network last year, I will make another prediction this year. Because the recent market panic is too serious, I have not analyzed the market for a long time. Today, I will talk about my judgment on the secondary market of altcoins.
At present, the total market value of Bitcoin is in the vicinity of the monthly line ma120. It was mentioned a long time ago that the probability of a successful breakthrough is not high. It is also the position where the altcoin market bull market begins. Therefore, the current market value share of Bitcoin is extremely unfavorable for Bitcoin. Generally speaking, whoever's market value share decreases will be poor. Refer to the market value share trend of Ethereum in Figure 3 and the price performance of Ethereum in the past two years to get a glimpse of it. In addition, the monthly line is in a serious overbought and needs to be adjusted. Therefore, it is expected that Bitcoin will definitely be poor throughout this year, and the altcoin market will usher in the last wave of dividends for retail investors. There will be no more in the future, or it will be difficult, because from the Bitcoin market value share chart (Figure 2), we can see that after the end of this round of altcoin bull market, it will enter the end of the triangle structure, and the shock range will be greatly reduced, which means that there will be no particularly large profit space, and it also means the complete end of the bonus period of the currency circle. $BTC $ETH

Bought 100 ETH at the bottom, live trading directly
I still have faith in ETH. When BTC was over 20k, I looked at 150k, which seemed like a fantasy, far from reach, after all, it requires a 700% increase. Now, looking at it, we still have 50% to go.

ETH is now over 2400, and it still needs more than a 400% increase to reach 10k.

All of this is based on the end of 2025, and there is still a year left, plenty of time.

Looking at the bull market cycle of a year and a half, the first half is dominated by BTC, while the second half will see ETH lead a rally with altcoins.

Given this, dividing a year and a half in half means 9 months of time. Starting from the end of April this year when BTC halved, pushing forward 9 months lands us in February 2025.

At the end of January 2021, ETH broke the previous bull market high of 1400, and everyone knows what happened next.

Now we have arrived at this critical time point: before things change, everything is more or less the same. If in the next few months, ETH drops to 1500, that would be a significant change.

You can't say you still have confidence at 2100; when it rises from 2100 to 4100, and then drops back to 2800, the confidence is not as strong as it was at 2100.

The correct holding mentality must stem from a firm belief in a positive market ahead, rather than feeling pessimistic about the future market. Holding is due to unwillingness, naively believing it can still break even.

If you believe the bull market is over, then sell everything quickly; you won't recover any capital, so don't torment yourself.

✨The end of the ETH triangle has arrived, hurry up and break through!
#比特币传统四年周期已终结？
$ETH

Dear ETH, I will give you one week to pick me up near 2780😘

What are those who are shouting about a bull market thinking? It's obvious that the bull market has ended. How could it possibly rise like it did in 2021? Back then, there were few people buying coins, and the big players were driving up prices. Now there are too many people buying; who would eat your coins?

✨PEPE is a rising star in MEME. Once its popularity rises, it will be incomparable to DOGE. As long as you believe that the bull is still there! This is definitely a good time
$PEPE

#加密市场回调

In the cryptocurrency market, don't just hold onto spot investments; if altcoins rise 2-3 times, you should be secretly happy.
Market rules are there; don't treat fantasies as meals.
Look at the BTC bull and bear cycles: in 2017, the bull market peaked at 19k, and the bear market fell to 3k. In 2021, the bull market soared to 69k, which was more than 20 times from the bottom of 3k, but from the last peak of 19k, it was only 3.6 times. In this round, the bear market low was 15k; if the bull market peaks at 130k-150k, that's more than 10 times from the bottom, but from the previous high of 69k, it's only a bit more than 2 times. What about the next round? There’s a high possibility of smaller increases.
Now, let's look at altcoins. In the 2017 bull market, hundred-times coins were everywhere, and ten-times coins were abundant; in the 2021 bull market, there were significantly fewer hundred-times coins, but ten-times coins were still quite common. In this round? It's quite good for outstanding altcoins to rise 10 times; for ordinary ones, a rise of 2-3 times is considered reasonable. The key is that most people in the market are buying garbage altcoins; being able to survive is already impressive, let alone expecting a massive surge?
When entering the crypto space, don’t fantasize about easy wealth; accepting your own ordinariness is very important.
New entrants to the crypto space often feel like they are unique trading geniuses, but what happens in the end? They end up doubting life due to losses. To put it harshly, making money is like drinking water; losing money is like breathing; this is the norm in the crypto world.
Every bull market has FOMO emotions at play. For instance, when Bitcoin skyrockets to 100k or 120k, some people shout for 200k or 300k, leading many to chase the highs, resulting in a mess. After the noise, the same saying remains: dust to dust, earth to earth.
So, remember my two points: don’t just hold onto spot investments; knowing when to take profits is more important than holding on without selling; if altcoins rise 2-3 times, don’t be greedy, take some profits and secure them.
This is the true essence of how seasoned players survive in the crypto world!
Follow Uncle Zhao for hardcore insights on the crypto space!

Dogecoin won't sell for less than $1!! Is there a chance??