A letter to all retail investors who are confused and losing money

If the content posted by a blogger is easy to understand, you should be wary. Why does he lower his profile to make you understand? He really wants to cut you off.
If the content posted by a blogger is obscure and difficult to understand, you should be wary of whether your cognitive level is insufficient.
As the saying goes, only by choosing what you don’t understand can you improve yourself.
If a contract blogger is still updating for three to five years, you have to be wary. Why hasn't he been free in the ultra-short-term contract market for three to five years? Why does he still rely on posting some easy-to-understand words to attract leeks? This shows his own strength. It's not enough. His source of income is not the market, but a certain or ten leeks. How do you still expect him to help you make money?

If a spot blogger is still updating after the second round, you have to be wary of whether his method can make money, or whether his method can allow you to eat the full portion of the fish maw. If so, he will do it for you. The second round of experience is still being updated. In the first round, it can be said that the economic strength is insufficient and funds are needed. What about the second round? In other words, if he is really good, he doesn’t need a lot of people’s attention. Ten is enough. One hundred thousand in the first round will become one million, and one million in the second round will become ten million. Then he will look down on those ticket members. The more people there are, the bigger the funds will be. The bigger the funds will be, it will have a fatal change on the market. You will understand the details by yourself.

Pick the ones you can’t understand and read them. Those may be some insights or experiences posted casually by some big guys. He doesn’t care at all whether you can understand them or not. Only those who can understand can resonate with him and can communicate and make progress together. Those who can’t understand are not as good. He, he doesn’t need to communicate with you, because communicating with you is a waste of time and a drag on you.

If you want to make money in this market, you never rely on someone, but on yourself, keep learning, and improve your knowledge, rather than relying on someone to guide you. #BTC #ai $BTC #etf

Continuing from the previous issue, firstly, the spot itself does not require frequent operations, and secondly, I am too lazy to update here.

From the data of multiple holders, we can clearly see the signs of withdrawal of long-term holders. I will not give examples one by one. I will only use Figure 1 for understanding.
The obvious retreat of long-term holders is an established fact, and it is also obvious that short-term holders have temporarily lost momentum (Figure 2).
Although I subjectively believe that the adoption of spot ETFs and the hot money that has not yet arrived will still be the driving force for the next wave of rises, in the face of data, the investment method must be changed from a completely radical holding state to a controlled drawdown state. In the long term, It seems to be one of the healthy and long-lasting practices. If there is a clear exodus of long-term holders caused by a second wave of gains, then I will even switch to a defensive posture with less long-term value.

At this stage, at-the-money options retain the value of the position, sell them on spot, and cope with the retracement of the market to the greatest extent. This is my operating idea.
#灰度撤回以太坊现货ETF申请 #BTC走势分析

From the market, the hourly level is around 63000 and the bottom pattern appears. It is estimated that it will test the lower pressure level upwards. Ethereum also has a head and shoulders bottom pattern. At the small level

But from the data on the chain, the general direction in the future is not very good. The probability of continuing to go down at the large level is still not small. At least in the short term, it is not easy to go up unilaterally. For those who know options, you can sell the previous high call of the week at will. The premise is that you have a covered call, don’t sell nakedly.

Including some big investors who have hundreds of cakes to sell the previous high call#Megadrop #新币挖矿 #比特币减半 #大盘走势 #token2049

What to do if the position is short, what to do if the position is not enough, two solutions:
​Teach you how to make zero-cost pie or aunt#热门话题 #Portal #BTC

The last opportunity to enter the market in the medium and long term. If you miss the future, you will chase the rise.

In the last round of Grayscale, the little Kara opened a position for 20,000 yuan, buying and selling all the way, and it took 40,000 yuan to make a decent correction. In this round, several institutions headed by BlackRock bought more than 100,000 yuan for 40,000 yuan. Where do you expect him to fall?

The exchange rate of ETH against BTC has been rising steadily in the past week. This trend inevitably makes everyone imagine that the bull market engine ETH engine is about to start. The recent continuous rise in the copycat market does have the flavor of a bull market. If the market can stabilize, then ETH is likely to be the first to make a big move. After all, ETH will have many potential benefits such as the Cancun upgrade and ETF expectations, so everyone can look forward to it.

After the adoption of the Bitcoin spot ETF. There are a lot of smart money on the sidelines waiting to enter the market, so I don’t think the next correction will be too big. But once there is a big correction in the market, that is our last chance to get on board in the medium to long term. 47000 starts 43000 stud

The bulls have been strong in this recent wave of sharp rises, but as the points get higher and higher, the strength of the bulls' rebound begins to slowly weaken and the momentum begins to shrink. From the technical structure point of view, the daily line begins to pause after experiencing continuous strength and breaking high. This pause is still defined as a correction structure. However, due to the large upper and lower space, a casual retracement can change the current situation. The strong structure, the daily line still combines the shape and closing strength to determine the strength and continuation. Of course, as long as the 5.1w position does not fall below, the overall trend will continue to rise.

Tell the truth #BTC #热门话题 #STX

The so-called member groups, the so-called analysts, the analysts who are short-term, each group is not as happy as before, and I know that the short-term is short, first the pie is short, and then the ether is short, and then only Choose a copycat or a contract, and the analyst will ask you to re-register on Binance or Oyi step by step, and then help you play with the contract and collect the handling fees. You don’t really think that he has also lost money, right? ? ? Analyst who is bullish for the first time? Is that called an analyst? ? ? Everything is just for the layout of cutting leeks. You can ask him for a screen recording of his account holdings to see if he has missed the mark. A bunch of leeks, meat in someone else’s bowl, just a few words will fool you into becoming buddies. $BTC

It rarely updates. Since I posted the position, I don’t update too much. It is completely consistent at the moment. If it doesn’t fall below 40,000 in January, buy it. If it falls below, wait for 38,000. Obviously it didn’t fall below at the end of the month. If you get the range of 10,000 dollars, wait for selling. Wait, spot operations don’t need to be frequent, V+n_w531704820, just wait patiently, my buying record is #pyth #ai #sol

Two pieces of bad data.
Coins that have not moved for more than 5 years have moved. About 2 billion US dollars, it is basically not a good thing for this kind of old currency to move. Next is the time to test the bull market, which is nothing more than whether there are enough funds to take over the market, and the short-term pressure is not small.
The accumulation trend is no longer there, whales have completely switched from accumulation to distribution, and small traders no longer accumulate chips.

Time + price.
In general, the intention to realize profits is obvious. Although ETF transactions are hot, the three fires will weaken for a while. Wait for the data, it is weak anyway. This decline should be significant and not too long in coming.
However, if it does not fall within the above time, decisively give up the idea of ​​​​going short. You will have sufficient power to take over the order and buy in time.

If it falls below 40,000 in January, buy, if it falls below 38,000, etc., if it falls below 38,000 in March, Stud #热门话题 #Manta #Manta $BTC

It's perfect to eat the pie and eat ether#BTC #etf

Many retail investors shorted the gains of the big pie, and then shorted the Ethereum market in the "good news is bad news". Then they can only choose copycats and contracts, and then return to zero. This is a true portrayal of many retail investors. The so-called bear market loses money. , the bull market also loses money and cannot keep up with the main force.

I have a different opinion, and I have no basis for making any guesses. Just have fun with everyone.

First of all, so far in this round, the market has increased much more than ether. Now when everyone is bearish (all bearish regardless of whether it passes or not), the Iron Air Force clears the spot and opens short, and some people are short on the entire market. Waiting for a callback, if you were the dealer at this time, what would you do? Just smash it? Profit for short orders? Reversing the car to pick up retail investors?

Data on the chain shows that the giant whale has recently made another move to attract funds #BTC #ARB #XAI $ETH $BTC

My personal prediction is that no matter whether it passes or not, it will not fall smoothly. What can be done to maximize the benefits? Micro-pull. The main focus is to shift the ether to its corresponding market value. The data on the chain indicates that retail investors’ ether has changed positions. The action of the main force will pull the ether to catch you off guard. Let the big pie rest for now. It will pull you to chase the high. If you regret it, you can smash it.

Yesterday the exchange rate fell below 0.05, and I communicated with my friends that I would like to exchange the big pie for Ether, or just exchange a little less. Today, the performance of Ether will be better than that of the big pie. You must believe in Ether as much as you believe in the big pie. #BTC #etf

The square has been very lively recently. One side is bullish and the other is bearish. They seem to have their own logic. Obviously, the bullish side has won. Now, with more funds on the sidelines, the main force will definitely make you regret it. The market begins with divergence. What he said is always correct. When you don’t know whether you are long or short, just choose long. The main force will definitely start cutting when most people are chasing after you. Instead of some chasing, some shorting, and some waiting for the fall, you will fall. Chasing in means to be bullish. Go long and buy spot, when many ideas are put into action,

Two untouched updates, I wonder if they have helped some people. The data on the chain is too complicated and there are too many words to describe it. I am too lazy to explain it. The comprehensive judgment from many aspects is that the position has not been moved #BTC #etf

There is nothing to panic, and there is nothing to say. Everyone who knows about it knows my operation. I will not move until the deterministic news comes out. Otherwise, I will lose my chips by chasing the rise and fall in the false news. Wait patiently on the 10th #BTC

Regarding trb, there is nothing worth watching, malicious manipulation, 99% of the audience is losing money, nothing worth paying attention to

Regarding the market, everyone who is familiar with me knows that if the Buddha system is updated, it will not move, wait for erf, liquidate positions in batches after the sudden pull, and use hedging if it does not fall sharply.

I didn’t expect that I bought some ICP in October and it was so hard. The purchase logic is a death-level project. As we all know, it is right to buy decisively when no one is optimistic about it. #BTC #TRB $BTC

As mentioned last Sunday, the issue of distributing chips is obviously not suitable for building a position at this stage. Regarding the bottom-up chips that want to bet on the sudden pull after the ETF passes, I personally think that betting is okay, but it is not suitable for full position betting. This is for small cycles. If your pattern is large enough and you play the big cycle, you don’t need to divide the spot into batches at all, just use financial instruments to hedge. Figure 1 is the current situation, and Figure 2 is what was mentioned last week. #NFP #BTC #Launchpool $ETH

Long-term holders have started to distribute, and this is just the beginning. The whale wallet has stopped collecting funds. You know how to operate it. If you have rich knowledge reserves, you can use options to protect profits. If you don’t have enough reserves, you can find a way to increase your reserves.

#fomc #币安合约锦标赛 #sats According to the data, in addition to the top-level wallets, other level wallets are still accumulating. This accumulation state is still higher than the total amount mined every month, but this energy is weakening. If the market continues to fall and is accompanied by this accumulation, If you continue to zoom in, you can still add positions within the controllable range of your own trading system.

Trend Investment: Seeking the Sword
The so-called trend investment is to guide operations according to various technical indicators. In my opinion, all technical indicators are the summary of past K-line experience. Past situations may repeat themselves in the future, or they may change. For example, before 2010, a very simple moving average system was very effective, but this situation changed a lot after 2010. That was because a major event happened in A-shares in 2010. One-share index futures were launched, and you can short them. The stock index futures have had a great negative feedback on the stock market, making the K-line more complicated, and the effect of the simple moving average has declined.
In addition, even if a certain technical indicator is particularly effective and everyone believes it, where will the opponent's market come from? Therefore, the more effective technical indicators are in the past, the more people believe them, and the faster they will become ineffective.
So far, no single indicator has unified the world, and this is the reason. This paradox is something that no one expected. Therefore, I have been investing for 10 years and I don’t believe in the nonsense in the market that the so-called buying and selling points marked with point S and point B can make a profit. This is a bit similar to Zhao Kuo’s paper talk.
Even if it is effective in the short term, it cannot last long.
Any technical indicator is not the "Holy Grail". Trying to find a sword at the end of the day will bring unexpected losses.

I hope someone can see through these #sats #币安合约锦标赛

The funding rate has never fallen below 0. It can be understood that the contract financing interest rate has always been positive, and the interest rates of various spot stablecoins range from 10 to 30%. The big pie cannot be borrowed, and taking profits is obvious, but the cost is more than 35,000. Retail investors mainly take profits

The speed of capital inflows has slowed down, various FOMO indicators are insufficient, and the previous pullbacks cannot be considered "hot"

25000---44000 does not bring a pullback. A 10% drop is regarded as a healthy correction. However, the current downward purge seems to be average. The plunge is as fierce as a tiger. Looking at the currency price of 42000, there is no good news later. Let’s watch the consolidation. #币安合约锦标赛 #BTC #AVAX