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Rampage Mountain Season (Downward)

The previous bull market's frenzied altcoin season was a violent upward trend, with retail investors rushing in for fear of missing the bus; this round of frenzied altcoin season is a violent downward trend, and retail investors rushing in ended up getting hung on the trees.

Many people understand a lot and know when to buy is undervalued, but in the end, they still can't make money because often everyone is afraid of a pullback, missing out on the huge potential of the subsequent main upward wave, thus wasting a big opportunity. In this bull market, most who can make money are those who seize a big opportunity and go all in, at least benefiting from a main upward wave.

Strongly optimistic about the big market in the first quarter of 2025. Starting from the first quarter of next year, it's important to understand the need to withdraw profits in a timely manner; otherwise, even if you earn a lot of money, you may end up losing it all in the subsequent turbulence.

Many are waiting to bottom out at 90,000, and many are also waiting for the crazy counterfeit season. The main forces will not let these two groups succeed. The counterfeits will rise, but the sustainability will not last too long. Before the New Year, we should not expect to see a significant counterfeit season. This wave up is likely to still be smashed down.

I successfully predicted the pullback and rebound of this imitation in the early stages. If you want to avoid losing money in this bull market, you need to carefully ponder this passage I wrote; otherwise, you will definitely fall into the cost trap set by the main force, and your principal will keep diminishing.

I see many people are frantically shouting about the copycat season. At this position, are you short or fully invested waiting for the copycat season?

Every time the bull market experiences a washout, some people get forced out, and then they buy back at higher prices after it rises again, ultimately getting stuck at the peak and losing everything.

In this round of the bull market, the main players are washing out even harder, and fewer people will make money. It can be anticipated that when this round of the bull market ends, only a small group of people will become rich, while the majority will incur losses. Those who lose are the ones who bought high and sold low, while those who become rich are those who sold all the way up as the bull market rose.

When the main force has collected enough chips, one thing they must do is to start the rise. Even if a large number of retail investors get on board at this time, the main force has no choice but to push up the price because they have already gathered enough chips. At this time, what we need to do is to ride this wave and enjoy the profits.

In the past few days, my predictions have been perfectly validated. A couple of days ago, I observed that altcoins had a 50% pullback from their December peak, and after the pullback, there would definitely be an altcoin market. Now, we can see that altcoins have already started to rebound. Of course, the sustainability of this rebound still needs to be verified. Each bull market's altcoin season occurs in the second year after the halving. For example, the halving in 2016 led to the altcoin season in 2017, the halving in 2020 led to the altcoin season in 2021, and the halving in 2024 will likely lead to the altcoin season in 2025. Therefore, the altcoin market is expected to concentrate and explode in 2025. However, this round of altcoin season may not be like the previous bull markets, where all coins surged by dozens or even hundreds of times. The main players will only pump a few hot sectors, so knowing when and what coins to position yourself in is particularly important.

Effort is still worthless in the face of talent. Some people are born with a silver spoon in their mouth, while others work hard just to survive. Three generations of scholars cannot compete with three generations of businesspeople. Working hard without taking shortcuts is not as fast. The mind of the poor will always have the thinking of the poor. So no matter how hard you try, you will never become rich.

If you are an outsider and your current understanding still views cryptocurrencies as tulips, a game of musical chairs, or money laundering, you are likely to be quickly eliminated by the times. The Americans are trying to turn it into a strategic reserve, even using it to pay off U.S. debt. The University of Tokyo does not recognize the domestic liquidity of cryptocurrencies; it simply does not allow ordinary people to play and influence financial market regulation. However, the government has also confiscated a lot of cryptocurrencies, which can be used as a strategic reserve to counterbalance the United States at any time. Therefore, the question ordinary people need to consider is whether to increase their holdings as a risk-diversification reserve.

Do not have the mentality that you can make money in just a few days of trading; you must completely eliminate this idea. Understand that it takes at least a few years of hard work in the trading world to have the possibility of making a profit, and it requires talent and a relentless daily study to achieve stable profits.

Those who cannot hold on and shout to the top will take over at high prices when the price goes up next and get trapped.

Looking back at my judgment on December 10, I suddenly felt it was extremely fierce. The price of each coin was basically halved from its highest point in December. Most coins rose to 3 from December 3 to 6, and fell back to 1.5 on December 20.

I mentioned on December 13th that the altcoins would need to correct by 30%. Compared to the lowest point yesterday, most coins have adjusted by 30%-40% since the price on December 13th. Moving forward from this position, I am firmly bullish, and there should be a sustained upward trend for a period of time, after which we will face another epic crash. The next decline is expected to be more severe than this one.

The upcoming meat is very delicious, but very few can actually grab it; out of 100 people, no more than 10 can get it. Some people have fallen and broken their bones during the scramble for meat, some have been beaten and ended up in the ICU, and others who couldn't get the meat became so distressed that they ended their lives. In the end, only a small number of people can make it to the finish line, which means only a few can enjoy this delicious meat.

The 30% major correction I mentioned last week has now come true, but the next round of this bull market will definitely proceed like this, causing most people to fall into the cost trap set by the main players. In the previous bull market, a coin went from 1 to 5 without looking back, but this round of the bull market will go from 1 to 5 in a pattern of 1-3-1.5-4-2-5, rising three and dropping two, making those who missed the boat watch the bottom gradually rise and feel compelled to chase the price. Those who are not confident in chasing the price will encounter corrections and cut losses, repeatedly, until the funds are cut down to less and less until they reach zero.