LIVE涵宇ss
@Square-Creator-4a1c71583
（原Msn社区）M哥个人Twitter：@msnclub_btc，短线交易者，专注技术分析的韭菜一枚，所有文章均为技术分析/复盘/教学引导，不作投资建议！
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[The Ultimate Practical Skills of Harmony]——Msn Community
Is the market difficult to trade? Your capital evaporated? Your mentality exploded? Study "Harmonious Trading" head on! ! !
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In the technical analysis of financial markets, harmonic patterns are a method of price pattern analysis based on the Fibonacci sequence. These patterns help traders predict future price movements by identifying specific points and proportional relationships in market price charts. Harmonic patterns emphasize the cyclical and symmetric nature of market prices, providing relatively accurate buy and sell signals.
This article will introduce four common harmonic patterns in detail: Butterfly, Bat, Crab and Shark (Gartley). Each pattern has its own unique structure and Fibonacci retracement and extension ratios. We will focus on analyzing the key points of each pattern (X, A, B, C, D) and the related Fibonacci ratios, especially the values of AC, XD, XB and BD. These values are the key to identifying and confirming harmonious patterns. Understanding them can help traders better grasp market dynamics and make more informed trading decisions.
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In the technical analysis of financial markets, harmonic patterns are a method of price pattern analysis based on the Fibonacci sequence. These patterns help traders predict future price movements by identifying specific points and proportional relationships in market price charts. Harmonic patterns emphasize the cyclical and symmetric nature of market prices, providing relatively accurate buy and sell signals.
This article will introduce four common harmonic patterns in detail: Butterfly, Bat, Crab and Shark (Gartley). Each pattern has its own unique structure and Fibonacci retracement and extension ratios. We will focus on analyzing the key points of each pattern (X, A, B, C, D) and the related Fibonacci ratios, especially the values of AC, XD, XB and BD. These values are the key to identifying and confirming harmonious patterns. Understanding them can help traders better grasp market dynamics and make more informed trading decisions.
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[Drawing and using trend lines]—MSN Community
When performing technical analysis, trend lines are a common technical tool used to depict the direction of price movement and potential support and resistance levels. In an uptrend, prices will continue to make higher highs and lower lows; while in a downtrend, prices will continue to make lower highs and lower lows.
When the trend line breaks out, the easiest way to use it is to trade at the trend line. For example, in a downward trend, the price-performance ratio of high positions must be greater than that of low positions. Since it is always suppressed by the downward trend line, the price-performance ratio is the highest when the downward trend line is the shortest, and a breakthrough is a stop loss. On the contrary, in an upward trend, the price is constantly supported by the upward trend line, so the price-performance ratio of going long at the trend line is the highest, and if it falls below the stop loss.
When the trend line breaks out, the easiest way to use it is to trade at the trend line. For example, in a downward trend, the price-performance ratio of high positions must be greater than that of low positions. Since it is always suppressed by the downward trend line, the price-performance ratio is the highest when the downward trend line is the shortest, and a breakthrough is a stop loss. On the contrary, in an upward trend, the price is constantly supported by the upward trend line, so the price-performance ratio of going long at the trend line is the highest, and if it falls below the stop loss.
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$BTC Make a little progress every day, just a little bit is enough~
The first thing I did when I woke up in the morning these two days was to find that Bitcoin hit a new high. Will it hit a new high tomorrow morning?
---Figure 1, first of all, from the short-term point of view, the low point of 74500 that automatically fell back has not been broken yet, and the possibility of rising is maintained.
---The upper pressure level is not clear, so I can't wait for the right side to break through xxx to go long. My current idea is to wait for the callback before entering the market, and the stage support is 72800/71600.
---The small level shows MACD top divergence, don't chase it randomly.
Support 74500/73500/72800, pressure 76400/78800/unknown
The first thing I did when I woke up in the morning these two days was to find that Bitcoin hit a new high. Will it hit a new high tomorrow morning?
---Figure 1, first of all, from the short-term point of view, the low point of 74500 that automatically fell back has not been broken yet, and the possibility of rising is maintained.
---The upper pressure level is not clear, so I can't wait for the right side to break through xxx to go long. My current idea is to wait for the callback before entering the market, and the stage support is 72800/71600.
---The small level shows MACD top divergence, don't chase it randomly.
Support 74500/73500/72800, pressure 76400/78800/unknown
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In October 2023, news of large amounts of $USDT moving on-chain could be seen at all times. Until one day at the end of October, Bitcoin suddenly surged from 29,500 to 36,000, breaking through the bull-bear boundary and announcing the start of a bull market.
One year later, today, information about large amounts of USDT moving has started to appear one after another. Is this a signal for the start of a new round of a bull market?
$BTC
One year later, today, information about large amounts of USDT moving has started to appear one after another. Is this a signal for the start of a new round of a bull market?
$BTC
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$ETH Criticism aside, in the last six months, I have repeatedly recommended buying Ethereum. The phrase I've used the most is to buy on the 23xx trend line, and I also mentioned that there will be hype around the upgrade by the end of the year, which is worth preparing for.
In fact, from a swing trading perspective, the profits from trading Ethereum are not much less than trading Bitcoin.
2810 has already broken through, waiting for stabilization, and there will be over 500 dollars of upward potential to be realized!
In fact, from a swing trading perspective, the profits from trading Ethereum are not much less than trading Bitcoin.
2810 has already broken through, waiting for stabilization, and there will be over 500 dollars of upward potential to be realized!
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$BTC new historical high!
I have no short-term ideas, I tend to wait for the structure to unfold. According to the Fibonacci trend extension tool in the first image, the 1:1 target for this round of increase has been reached, it's time to start adjusting.
--- The adjustment range is tentatively set at 72700-75700, with a strong/weak level at 73900. The values of this range will be updated once the subsequent structure unfolds.
--- There is a large FVG gap from 72700 to 69200; if 72700 breaks, there is a risk of acceleration. Pay close attention to the support strength at 71600. If it doesn't hold here, a high hanging reduction will occur!
Going to play Mahjong, I currently have no desire to trade short-term, to be honest, I'm a bit afraid of heights.
By tomorrow morning, once the daily K is finished, we should pretty much know the situation, and there’s also a rate cut benefit expected on Friday, so let’s leave it at that~
I have no short-term ideas, I tend to wait for the structure to unfold. According to the Fibonacci trend extension tool in the first image, the 1:1 target for this round of increase has been reached, it's time to start adjusting.
--- The adjustment range is tentatively set at 72700-75700, with a strong/weak level at 73900. The values of this range will be updated once the subsequent structure unfolds.
--- There is a large FVG gap from 72700 to 69200; if 72700 breaks, there is a risk of acceleration. Pay close attention to the support strength at 71600. If it doesn't hold here, a high hanging reduction will occur!
Going to play Mahjong, I currently have no desire to trade short-term, to be honest, I'm a bit afraid of heights.
By tomorrow morning, once the daily K is finished, we should pretty much know the situation, and there’s also a rate cut benefit expected on Friday, so let’s leave it at that~
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#TOTAL3 Altcoin total market value is once again at resistance!
From the recent trends over the past month, it is clear that the closer we get to a 580B market value, the higher the cost-effectiveness of positioning in altcoins; the closer we get to 640B, the more it is worth taking profits.
However, the range will not remain unchanged; it will eventually break through or fall below. Once 640B is effectively broken, I believe it will be a new round of altcoin season!
--- First, define your holding period. If you are a medium to short-term trader, I suggest you can take profits on the altcoins you hold that are in the green.
--- If you are a long-term trader, hold onto your orders well. Once the range breaks upwards, your position will be on the moon! The market is currently extremely strong, and I believe this scenario is not too far off!
$BTC
From the recent trends over the past month, it is clear that the closer we get to a 580B market value, the higher the cost-effectiveness of positioning in altcoins; the closer we get to 640B, the more it is worth taking profits.
However, the range will not remain unchanged; it will eventually break through or fall below. Once 640B is effectively broken, I believe it will be a new round of altcoin season!
--- First, define your holding period. If you are a medium to short-term trader, I suggest you can take profits on the altcoins you hold that are in the green.
--- If you are a long-term trader, hold onto your orders well. Once the range breaks upwards, your position will be on the moon! The market is currently extremely strong, and I believe this scenario is not too far off!
$BTC
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A brief news: According to Fox News, just now, Trump has first obtained 270 electoral votes, successfully elected as the 47th President of the United States!
$BTC #特朗普成功当选美国总统
$BTC #特朗普成功当选美国总统
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$APT continues to play music and dance🎶~
APT, APT, uh-huh uh-huh~
Why can I earn the money from this order? Because I am willing to spend 30 seconds drawing.
APT, APT, uh-huh uh-huh~
Why can I earn the money from this order? Because I am willing to spend 30 seconds drawing.
LIVE涵宇ss
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Bullish
$APT APT, APT, uh-huh uh-huh🎶~~~
This little tune has been quite popular lately, does the namesake brother want to show off too?
Currently trying to reclaim the high point of 'drop - automatic rebound', after reclaiming we can make plans to go up.
$BTC
This little tune has been quite popular lately, does the namesake brother want to show off too?
Currently trying to reclaim the high point of 'drop - automatic rebound', after reclaiming we can make plans to go up.
$BTC
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$BTC Shocking, a young man missed out on a full 6400 dollars due to setting a break-even stop loss!
First, congratulations to Bitcoin for breaking its historical high.
Recently, I missed countless orders because of setting break-even stop losses, it's really been a blur for me. My personal habit is to set break-even stops after hitting the first take profit, but many recent orders have continued to rise after hitting the break-even stop.
I can't just not protect myself, right? 😫
First, congratulations to Bitcoin for breaking its historical high.
Recently, I missed countless orders because of setting break-even stop losses, it's really been a blur for me. My personal habit is to set break-even stops after hitting the first take profit, but many recent orders have continued to rise after hitting the break-even stop.
I can't just not protect myself, right? 😫
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$BTC A wave of risk avoidance, a wave of pure profit, another comfortable day~
On the day of the news, take the profits when you can, protect your capital, don’t wait until it’s too late and your principal is gone.
On the day of the news, take the profits when you can, protect your capital, don’t wait until it’s too late and your principal is gone.
LIVE涵宇ss
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$BTC Back to 70,000! Could it be...
Let me pour some cold water on everyone, before the final result comes out, don't say 'we won,' right now it's just an expectation brewing, and the big funds in the market are playing a game.
--- From the market perspective, there is actually good news, it's not just simply returning to the 70,000 barrier.
Currently, we are seeing a situation where, in a 'downward trend,' it is the 'first time recovering the pressure level.' This situation can be seen as a temporary halt in the decline, at least the bulls' determination is visible.
--- From the perspective of 'expectation.' The financial market has always been about speculating on expectations. Now that it's rising, favorable news might not lead to a significant increase.
So, if the final results are announced favorably, don't chase after it; wasn't it already starting to be speculated? Where are you?
--- Finally, let's talk about the short-term position of 69,200, which has been suppressed for several days and has finally broken through. It is advisable to wait for a pullback test before chasing it again.
Although 70,000 is an integer level, it essentially serves as a position where there are no nearby support or resistance levels, so I wouldn't recommend jumping in here out of FOMO. Those who are in cash might as well wait a bit longer.
Let me pour some cold water on everyone, before the final result comes out, don't say 'we won,' right now it's just an expectation brewing, and the big funds in the market are playing a game.
--- From the market perspective, there is actually good news, it's not just simply returning to the 70,000 barrier.
Currently, we are seeing a situation where, in a 'downward trend,' it is the 'first time recovering the pressure level.' This situation can be seen as a temporary halt in the decline, at least the bulls' determination is visible.
--- From the perspective of 'expectation.' The financial market has always been about speculating on expectations. Now that it's rising, favorable news might not lead to a significant increase.
So, if the final results are announced favorably, don't chase after it; wasn't it already starting to be speculated? Where are you?
--- Finally, let's talk about the short-term position of 69,200, which has been suppressed for several days and has finally broken through. It is advisable to wait for a pullback test before chasing it again.
Although 70,000 is an integer level, it essentially serves as a position where there are no nearby support or resistance levels, so I wouldn't recommend jumping in here out of FOMO. Those who are in cash might as well wait a bit longer.
See original
$BTC Back to 70,000! Could it be...
Let me pour some cold water on everyone, before the final result comes out, don't say 'we won,' right now it's just an expectation brewing, and the big funds in the market are playing a game.
--- From the market perspective, there is actually good news, it's not just simply returning to the 70,000 barrier.
Currently, we are seeing a situation where, in a 'downward trend,' it is the 'first time recovering the pressure level.' This situation can be seen as a temporary halt in the decline, at least the bulls' determination is visible.
--- From the perspective of 'expectation.' The financial market has always been about speculating on expectations. Now that it's rising, favorable news might not lead to a significant increase.
So, if the final results are announced favorably, don't chase after it; wasn't it already starting to be speculated? Where are you?
--- Finally, let's talk about the short-term position of 69,200, which has been suppressed for several days and has finally broken through. It is advisable to wait for a pullback test before chasing it again.
Although 70,000 is an integer level, it essentially serves as a position where there are no nearby support or resistance levels, so I wouldn't recommend jumping in here out of FOMO. Those who are in cash might as well wait a bit longer.
Let me pour some cold water on everyone, before the final result comes out, don't say 'we won,' right now it's just an expectation brewing, and the big funds in the market are playing a game.
--- From the market perspective, there is actually good news, it's not just simply returning to the 70,000 barrier.
Currently, we are seeing a situation where, in a 'downward trend,' it is the 'first time recovering the pressure level.' This situation can be seen as a temporary halt in the decline, at least the bulls' determination is visible.
--- From the perspective of 'expectation.' The financial market has always been about speculating on expectations. Now that it's rising, favorable news might not lead to a significant increase.
So, if the final results are announced favorably, don't chase after it; wasn't it already starting to be speculated? Where are you?
--- Finally, let's talk about the short-term position of 69,200, which has been suppressed for several days and has finally broken through. It is advisable to wait for a pullback test before chasing it again.
Although 70,000 is an integer level, it essentially serves as a position where there are no nearby support or resistance levels, so I wouldn't recommend jumping in here out of FOMO. Those who are in cash might as well wait a bit longer.
See original
$BTC The partners of the gambling news have good fortune!
The next two days will be the second most important news days of the year, #美国总统大选 is about to enter the vote counting stage! Are you fully invested in gambling or watching from the sidelines?
On the market, Bitcoin has shifted from a one-sided decline to a consolidation phase. Since it is an important news day, I suggest trying to find only the most critical positions for trading.
--- First, let's talk about this four-hour EMA moving average, which has not been effectively broken below. Since it is a four-hour moving average, it must be broken in four hours to be considered weak!
--- 65500 is the critical bullish structure breakdown point, and currently, the cycle still maintains a bullish structure. Don’t get confused by this week's pullback!
--- The bull-bear boundary is at 71600; once broken, it is likely to hit new highs!
--- The short-term bull-bear dividing line is at 69200; if it doesn't stand above this level, we cannot expect a stop in the decline.
👉 If Trump can be elected and does not break above 71600, I will look for a pullback; if Harris can be elected and does not break below 65500, I will look for a rebound. This is my thought process for the next two days~
The next two days will be the second most important news days of the year, #美国总统大选 is about to enter the vote counting stage! Are you fully invested in gambling or watching from the sidelines?
On the market, Bitcoin has shifted from a one-sided decline to a consolidation phase. Since it is an important news day, I suggest trying to find only the most critical positions for trading.
--- First, let's talk about this four-hour EMA moving average, which has not been effectively broken below. Since it is a four-hour moving average, it must be broken in four hours to be considered weak!
--- 65500 is the critical bullish structure breakdown point, and currently, the cycle still maintains a bullish structure. Don’t get confused by this week's pullback!
--- The bull-bear boundary is at 71600; once broken, it is likely to hit new highs!
--- The short-term bull-bear dividing line is at 69200; if it doesn't stand above this level, we cannot expect a stop in the decline.
👉 If Trump can be elected and does not break above 71600, I will look for a pullback; if Harris can be elected and does not break below 65500, I will look for a rebound. This is my thought process for the next two days~
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The rebound of $BTC is ongoing, and currently there is no script for recovering the expected resistance level. Bulls are advised to remain cautious.
The important short-term resistance level is 69200, which has been tested multiple times during the day, forming multiple tops before retreating. As long as this level cannot be recovered, we cannot expect a short-term stop in decline!
--- Subsequent declines should still focus on the area around 67400, and we need to wait for a test before entering.
--- If 69200 can be recovered on a four-hour basis, it would be a good stop-loss signal, and plans can be made to move upward. Strengthening requires recovering 71600!
--- If 67400 is broken, the major target below is 65500.
Support at 67400/65500, resistance at 69200/71600
$ETH 2410 precise entry, 2485 precise exit, comfortable or not?
The support level remains at two points, the rising trend line at 2415, and the cycle support at 2150.
The important short-term resistance level is 69200, which has been tested multiple times during the day, forming multiple tops before retreating. As long as this level cannot be recovered, we cannot expect a short-term stop in decline!
--- Subsequent declines should still focus on the area around 67400, and we need to wait for a test before entering.
--- If 69200 can be recovered on a four-hour basis, it would be a good stop-loss signal, and plans can be made to move upward. Strengthening requires recovering 71600!
--- If 67400 is broken, the major target below is 65500.
Support at 67400/65500, resistance at 69200/71600
$ETH 2410 precise entry, 2485 precise exit, comfortable or not?
The support level remains at two points, the rising trend line at 2415, and the cycle support at 2150.
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$BTC The pattern on the short line is very clear, overall it is a converging triangle structure.
Once the structure breaks downwards, long positions can no longer be arranged.
The bull-bear dividing line is 71600, only standing above it can challenge new highs! Otherwise, it is merely in a rebound and has not strengthened.
Is the long position $ETH 2410 accurate or not!
The closer to 2485, the more worthwhile it is to take profits.
Once the structure breaks downwards, long positions can no longer be arranged.
The bull-bear dividing line is 71600, only standing above it can challenge new highs! Otherwise, it is merely in a rebound and has not strengthened.
Is the long position $ETH 2410 accurate or not!
The closer to 2485, the more worthwhile it is to take profits.
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$BTC Both important positions in the near term have shown some rebound, but this is not a showcase, but rather a reminder for everyone.
--- Although a rebound has occurred, a reversal is not so easily achieved. The short-term bearish trend line has not changed at all, and we need to pay attention to several scenarios going forward.
--- For the bulls, the simplest scenario is the formation of a W bottom, meaning a second test of the bottom without breaking it, which may lead to a potential reversal.
--- Otherwise, it would be recovering resistance levels, especially important resistance levels. ETH needs to recover 2500, and Bitcoin needs to recover 69000.
(After a round of decline, it's the first time recovering a resistance level, which is a good potential reversal signal, at least temporarily alleviating the risk of decline.)
👉 Orders can take profit on their own; before a stop in decline, try not to have a position in long orders!
--- Although a rebound has occurred, a reversal is not so easily achieved. The short-term bearish trend line has not changed at all, and we need to pay attention to several scenarios going forward.
--- For the bulls, the simplest scenario is the formation of a W bottom, meaning a second test of the bottom without breaking it, which may lead to a potential reversal.
--- Otherwise, it would be recovering resistance levels, especially important resistance levels. ETH needs to recover 2500, and Bitcoin needs to recover 69000.
(After a round of decline, it's the first time recovering a resistance level, which is a good potential reversal signal, at least temporarily alleviating the risk of decline.)
👉 Orders can take profit on their own; before a stop in decline, try not to have a position in long orders!
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$ETH This year's biggest bubble undoubtedly belongs to Ethereum.
Give the two bulls a chance to be stubborn.
--- The nearby ascending trend line is at 2410, where a drop is allowed, and there is an opportunity for consolidation and accumulation below.
--- 2150 is the support-resistance exchange level on the daily chart, or the dividing line between bulls and bears, very important; if it breaks, it won't just be a simple consolidation! The importance of this level can be referenced to 2810.
Over the next two months, there may slowly be speculation on the benefits of upgrades, will it surge?
Give the two bulls a chance to be stubborn.
--- The nearby ascending trend line is at 2410, where a drop is allowed, and there is an opportunity for consolidation and accumulation below.
--- 2150 is the support-resistance exchange level on the daily chart, or the dividing line between bulls and bears, very important; if it breaks, it won't just be a simple consolidation! The importance of this level can be referenced to 2810.
Over the next two months, there may slowly be speculation on the benefits of upgrades, will it surge?
