Engaged in the cryptocurrency field for nearly seven years, a true bull and bear traverser, witnessed the glory of 73881, and also experienced the lows starting with 3. The cryptocurrency world brings infinite possibilities and endless miracles. If you need me, I am here! Name is Satellite Unique🧣: Riding the Wind and Breaking the Waves - Chenliang
Recently, there has been a chorus of bearish voices regarding BTC, with some predicting it could drop to 80,000, 70,000, or even lower to 30,000 or 50,000. However, upon examining on-chain data, it becomes evident that the actual situation is vastly different from public opinion. Data shows that those going long on BTC account for as much as 61%, while short sellers only make up 39%. This raises questions about where trust between people truly lies. Why is the optimistic trend held by the majority in stark contrast to the prevailing bearish sentiment online? Why does the supposed consensus of bearishness appear so weak in the face of data? #你看好哪一个山寨币ETF将通过? #AI概念币强势反弹 #比特币国家战略储备 #比特币后市 #以太坊现货ETF连续净流入 $BTC $ETH
The market fluctuates back and forth, constantly testing investors' patience, eroding capital, and making people almost lose confidence. However, it is at such moments that a turnaround is often quietly approaching. As long as the price does not break 90,000, my confidence will remain unshakable and the general trend will remain positive. This 25-year investment journey has just begun. I firmly believe that there will be a major opportunity in the first half of the year, and its launch time will not be later than the end of March at the latest. By then, ETH will usher in its dazzling moment, shining brightly and attracting everyone's attention. #币圈翻车日记:我的2024坑爹时刻 $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新 #比特币国家战略储备
Federal Reserve official Logan recently gave a speech discussing the relationship between interest rate cuts and the labor market. He pointed out that a cooling labor market or decreased demand may suggest that the timing for an interest rate cut is ripe. However, if inflation is close to 2% and the labor market remains stable, it does not necessarily mean that a rate cut is imminent. Regarding policy choices for 2025, Logan believes the Fed may 'restore interest rates as soon as possible' or maintain rates unchanged for 'a considerable period of time'.
Although Logan's views are not the official position, they may represent the thoughts of some Fed officials and slightly differ from Powell's remarks last week. Logan believes that rising unemployment, declining non-farm payrolls, and decreasing wage levels would be favorable for the Fed to cut rates.
If the upcoming non-farm data meets expectations, specifically if the unemployment rate remains unchanged, the labor force decreases, and year-on-year wage growth declines, this would align with Logan's expectations for a rate cut. However, the market generally believes that the possibility of the Fed cutting rates in March is extremely low, so this aspect of speculation can almost be ruled out. $BTC $ETH #币安上线BERA #非农就业数据来袭 #美国加征关税 #比特币四年周期将改变?
During the early morning period, the big pie rose to 100777 before encountering a pullback, with a decline of over four thousand points, touching the lower Bollinger Band at 96150 before rebounding, but failing to break through the 99000 mark, and then entering a downward adjustment again.
Observing the four-hour level chart, the Bollinger Band shows a downward opening trend, and the MACD indicator shows that the bearish energy bar continues to dominate. The current market is in a volatile downward phase, with the rebound high points gradually decreasing.
Suggestion: Focus on high fluctuations with low support.
The big pie is fluctuating around the 98500-99000 range, looking down to 95000.
From the perspective of technical analysis, the four-hour K-line structure shows that the short-term momentum of Bitcoin is weakening. In the subsequent trend, attention should be paid to the resistance levels of 96,000 and 97,800, and the lower support levels are 94,500 and 93,000. The one-hour K-line structure shows that the long power of Bitcoin is accumulating. In the short term, the upper resistance level is 96,800 and the lower support level is 93,500.
Operation modification suggestions:
When the price of big cake rebounds to the range of 96,000-96,500, you can consider shorting, with a target price of 94,300-94,000. If the trend is strong, you can look at around 93,500.
When the price of second cake rebounds to the range of 2655-2685, you can consider shorting, with a target price of 2580-2550. If the trend is strong, you can look at around 2500.
I have learned: Many websites selling Trump brand products have started accepting TRUMP payments.
Trump's recent drop from 77 to 25, a decline of nearly 70%, suggests that he won't just throw away the MEME after it's released; there should be more positive news to come. $BTC $ETH #微策略持续增持BTC #特朗普加密政令 #特朗普加密政策承诺
Recent market trends have shown a converging triangle pattern, which has initially emerged over the weekend. The market experienced a brief correction and is currently approaching the 100500 area.
Observing the overall funding rate situation in the market, the current rate is at a relatively low level. Meanwhile, the prices of major cryptocurrencies are still maintaining close to recent highs. It is noteworthy that the current low rate is not caused by a significant drop in prices, which means that under the circumstance of no long-term bearish trend in the market, the space for further price declines is relatively limited.
Although the bearish forces currently hold a certain advantage, the main market funds may intervene to maintain stability.
Based on the above analysis, the intraday trading suggestions are as follows:
When the market price is in the range of 100700 to 101100, consideration can be given to entering a long position. The initial target can be set around 104000.
On January 26th, Sunday, early morning, Big Cake and Second Cake Analysis:
The current market shows that after Big Cake experienced a surge in the previous days, it has undergone a significant pullback and has once again entered a high-level oscillation within the 104000 range. Although trading volume is relatively low over the weekend, leading to smaller fluctuations, the overall trend still displays a momentum of continuously breaking through resistance levels.
From the four-hour chart, although the Bollinger Bands are in a contracted state, the momentum is still strong. Every time it pulls back to a low, it triggers a large rebound. Currently, the Big Cake's trend is once again pulling back to the 105000 level and showing signs of a breakout.
Big Cake: It is recommended to trade within the 104000-104500 range, targeting around 106000-107000.
Yesterday's liquidation map shows that the explosion zone 106000-107000 has been significantly cleared. The market currently expects that the lower support will concentrate around the 103000 liquidity area. However, it is important to note that the current market is highly volatile and unstable, posing significant risks in intermediate trading. Therefore, it is recommended that investors maintain a wait-and-see attitude and determine trading direction only after the market clearly breaks upward or downward. In this situation, patiently waiting for the market trend to clarify is a wise move. $BTC $ETH #BSC生态活力释放 #牛回速归,晒晒你的持仓? #美国大选前行情观察
Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled. Due to the fact that the interest rate factors have already been priced in by the market and there is a broad consensus, the impact on BTC (Bitcoin) is limited. Investors need not overly worry about significant market fluctuations; it is recommended to stay calm and closely observe subsequent developments. $BTC $ETH #比特币行情聚焦 #山寨季何时到来? #BTC触及7W Participate in the trading league to share a $10 million prize pool.
🇺🇸 Latest News: President Trump stated at Davos that he will make America the "World Capital of Artificial Intelligence and Cryptocurrency". 🚨 Now: Trump says he will demand lower interest rates.
【1.23 Key Focus on Economic Data and Events】 Thursday
① 19:00 UK January CBI Industrial Orders Balance ② 21:30 Canada November Retail Sales MoM ③ 21:30 USA Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending January 18 ④ 23:00 Eurozone January Consumer Confidence Index (Preliminary) ⑤ 23:30 USA EIA Natural Gas Inventory for the week ending January 17 ⑥ Next Day 01:00 USA EIA Crude Oil Inventory for the week ending January 17 ⑦ Next Day 01:00 USA EIA Cushing Crude Oil Inventory for the week ending January 17 ⑧ Next Day 01:00 USA EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve Inventory for the week ending January 17】$BTC $ETH #币圈翻车日记:我的2024坑爹时刻 #特朗普就职后行情怎么走? #比特币行情聚焦 #BTC触及7W #山寨季何时到来?
Today's market continued the downward trend of yesterday's shock, but rebounded to 108000 after strong support at 100000, and then fell back again. The current market is sideways at 101500.
Evening operation suggestions:
Big cake can be intervened at around 101800-101000, and the upper target is 105500.
Second cake is looking for entry opportunities around 3200-3180, and the upper target is 3300.
After 12 hours of continuous decline, the hourly trading volume has been consistently increasing since last week. Currently, the 1-hour chart has first broken below the long-term moving average, and the technical pattern shows a narrow convergence trend, indicating that the market may continue to decline slowly and experience fluctuations.
For intraday trading strategies, it is recommended to conduct short-term trades along the short-term trend line. On the daily level, the pullback trend has not yet ended, so one should avoid excessive positions when going long. The key level to watch today is around 104000; if a bullish candle can form within 6 hours and maintain fluctuations, then if there is further volume-less decline in the evening, one can wait for a short-term buying signal at the bottom to appear.
The support levels for intraday trading are 100400, 99500, and 98700; while the resistance levels are at 104000 and 105100. Traders should flexibly adjust their strategies based on these key levels to respond to market changes. #特朗普就职后行情怎么走? #比特币行情聚焦 #莱特币ETF通过预期 #特朗普上台概念币有哪些? #币安HODLer空投CAT、PENGU $BTC $ETH
1.23 Early Morning Bitcoin and Altcoin's Latest Operational Strategy Analysis is as follows:
From the current market observation, Bitcoin has recently maintained a range-bound operation. In the short term, the bearish momentum has clearly weakened, and the support levels below are showing strong and effective performance. In recent days, the price has tested these support levels multiple times without achieving significant breakthroughs, with signs of rebound each time it touches the support. At the same time, there is also significant space at the resistance levels above. Therefore, the subsequent operational strategy should adhere to the principle of selling high and buying low. Once it touches the resistance or support levels, one should decisively reverse the operation to avoid the influence of greed.
From the four-hour chart, although Bitcoin is currently in a continuous decline, the bearish momentum has shown significant signs of weakening, and the bullish rebound trend is gradually strengthening. The Bollinger Bands are gradually showing signs of upward extension, bringing some positive signals to the market. In terms of operations, we should still insist on buying low and selling high between the resistance and support levels.
Specific operational suggestions for the early morning are as follows:
Bitcoin: Buy low in the range of 102500-103000, with the target looking towards around 104500-105000.
Altcoin: Similarly, buy low in the range of 3230-3250, with the target looking towards around 3350-3380.
This chart reflects the price movements of BTC/USDT over the past month. The current price is $106,414.12, up from the previous day, with an intraday high of $106,500.99 and a low of $100,119.04.
In terms of trading volume, it reached 48,067.04 BTC in the past 24 hours, with a trading value of up to 4.965 billion USDT, indicating an active market.
Overall, the trend shows that BTC/USDT has significantly risen from $66,835.00 to $109,588.00 over the past month. The trading volume has fluctuated alongside price changes, reflecting market participation. In technical indicators, the short-term moving average is above the long-term average, suggesting that the short-term market may continue to strengthen.
However, it is important to note that both the RSI and KDJ indicators have entered the overbought zone, indicating an increased risk of price correction.
Trading Strategy: Short-term traders may consider buying when the price pulls back to near MA(5) or MA(10), selling when facing resistance, and strictly setting stop-loss orders. Medium to long-term holders can continue to hold and consider adding positions when the price pulls back to key support levels. At the same time, proper risk management should be in place, with stop-loss levels set and investments diversified. #加密市场回调 #币圈翻车日记:我的2024坑爹时刻 #加密友好Uyeda接掌SEC #TRUMP上线币安合约 #特朗普妻子发币 $BTC $ETH