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曾任加拿大Swift Trade公司交易员,CCTV证券资讯频道《外汇市场》栏目特约嘉宾,魔鬼交易系统创始人,2008年进入外汇市场,2012年开始,操作的外汇交易账户实现每年翻倍收益。市场陷阱远多于机会,不追求每次必须盈利,只追求做正确的交易;不追求账户净值暴涨,只求严格控制风险的前提下实现持续稳定盈利。
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Bullish
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$BOME is this line again, I didn't go last time, can I go today?
$BOME is this line again, I didn't go last time, can I go today?
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Bullish
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$1000PEPE PEPE had a spike in the early trading, and then pulled up. Yesterday, the daily line stood on the five-day moving average again, and the bottom pattern was established. Let's see whether it can move out of the daily line in one stroke. The key to the short-term is that after the 30M turns long, there must be a continuous rise, and the four-hour chart must be brought up to break away from the divergence.
$1000PEPE PEPE had a spike in the early trading, and then pulled up. Yesterday, the daily line stood on the five-day moving average again, and the bottom pattern was established. Let's see whether it can move out of the daily line in one stroke. The key to the short-term is that after the 30M turns long, there must be a continuous rise, and the four-hour chart must be brought up to break away from the divergence.
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Bullish
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$BOME 30M moving average turned bullish, I couldn't help but took it back. At present, the 4H moving average is still bearish. We have to pay attention to whether the 30M rise can break through yesterday's high of 0.01015. If it breaks, a double bottom will appear in the four-hour chart. If it doesn't break, the 30M top divergence will leave.
$BOME 30M moving average turned bullish, I couldn't help but took it back. At present, the 4H moving average is still bearish. We have to pay attention to whether the 30M rise can break through yesterday's high of 0.01015. If it breaks, a double bottom will appear in the four-hour chart. If it doesn't break, the 30M top divergence will leave.
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Bearish
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$BOME 30M The 250 moving average on the chart has always been below, after the 4-hour moving average turned bearish, it rebounded to the second position of the bears, with both the moving average and trend line acting as double resistance. Here, the 4-hour chart needs to go down another leg. Luckily, I exited around 0.01005; I originally planned to buy back on a slight pullback, but now the 30M has also turned bearish, so in the short term, it’s best to wait for the 30M to complete its decline before making any decisions.
$BOME 30M The 250 moving average on the chart has always been below, after the 4-hour moving average turned bearish, it rebounded to the second position of the bears, with both the moving average and trend line acting as double resistance. Here, the 4-hour chart needs to go down another leg. Luckily, I exited around 0.01005; I originally planned to buy back on a slight pullback, but now the 30M has also turned bearish, so in the short term, it’s best to wait for the 30M to complete its decline before making any decisions.
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$ETH Ethereum is currently very important for short-term trading, here the 5-minute moving average is applying pressure, if it can't go up then it will be considered a sell signal. Overall, on the 30-minute chart, it is set to transition from small to large downward. In the following 30 minutes, it is expected to go down and up three times, and will likely approach the 52 moving average on the 30-minute chart, buyers can consider entering at that time.
$ETH Ethereum is currently very important for short-term trading, here the 5-minute moving average is applying pressure, if it can't go up then it will be considered a sell signal. Overall, on the 30-minute chart, it is set to transition from small to large downward. In the following 30 minutes, it is expected to go down and up three times, and will likely approach the 52 moving average on the 30-minute chart, buyers can consider entering at that time.
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Bullish
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Among the clones followed by $ORDI , in the short term, ORDI is slightly stronger. Currently, the daily moving averages have turned bullish, and it has retraced to the upper boundary of the previous channel, with the retracement being a bit deep. The hourly chart has turned bullish at the second position, showing relatively strong short-term momentum. For now, only the 4-hour period remains bearish and has not reversed. Today, we mainly need to see if the hourly bull can bring the 4-hour moving average into a golden cross.
Among the clones followed by $ORDI , in the short term, ORDI is slightly stronger. Currently, the daily moving averages have turned bullish, and it has retraced to the upper boundary of the previous channel, with the retracement being a bit deep. The hourly chart has turned bullish at the second position, showing relatively strong short-term momentum. For now, only the 4-hour period remains bearish and has not reversed. Today, we mainly need to see if the hourly bull can bring the 4-hour moving average into a golden cross.
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$BOME The resistance at this position is too strong. The 30M250 MA, 1-hour 250 MA, and 4-hour MA are all around 0.0101. Last night, I said that the 30M wave would reach this line at most. I guessed it right again. It's really difficult.
$BOME The resistance at this position is too strong. The 30M250 MA, 1-hour 250 MA, and 4-hour MA are all around 0.0101. Last night, I said that the 30M wave would reach this line at most. I guessed it right again. It's really difficult.
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Bullish
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$BOME bome After tonight, whether it will drop back is very important. If it can maintain above, and does not drop back, the 30M moving average will turn bullish, forming the third buying point of the 30M central axis below, confirming the small to large turn in 4H. Thus, reasoning that 8909 is the bottom. It is best to stand back on the upward trend line after the rise, then it needs to return above 1040, so that it will rise again. If it cannot stay above the moving average, it will still need to consolidate.
$BOME bome After tonight, whether it will drop back is very important. If it can maintain above, and does not drop back, the 30M moving average will turn bullish, forming the third buying point of the 30M central axis below, confirming the small to large turn in 4H. Thus, reasoning that 8909 is the bottom. It is best to stand back on the upward trend line after the rise, then it needs to return above 1040, so that it will rise again. If it cannot stay above the moving average, it will still need to consolidate.
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$BOME BOME yesterday fell along with other clones, after receiving at 9950 according to the last plan, it rebounded to 10530 without selling, then broke below the upward trend line, going from a profit of 6% to a floating loss of 5%, this operation has significant issues. In the morning, I told a friend that the 30M entered the divergence phase, and we could add a position when it goes down, so I placed an order to add at 8900 but it wasn't filled. However, it did rebound afterwards, with decent strength, breaking the last consolidation zone high from this morning's 30M. Currently, the 4-hour is also above the 5 moving average, so it depends on whether it can stabilize above the 5 moving average by 4 PM. If it can stabilize, this wave can still be profitable without adding a position; if it can't stabilize, I plan to take small rebounds and let it run, possibly hitting lower again after expanding the 4H center before adding again.
$BOME BOME yesterday fell along with other clones, after receiving at 9950 according to the last plan, it rebounded to 10530 without selling, then broke below the upward trend line, going from a profit of 6% to a floating loss of 5%, this operation has significant issues. In the morning, I told a friend that the 30M entered the divergence phase, and we could add a position when it goes down, so I placed an order to add at 8900 but it wasn't filled. However, it did rebound afterwards, with decent strength, breaking the last consolidation zone high from this morning's 30M. Currently, the 4-hour is also above the 5 moving average, so it depends on whether it can stabilize above the 5 moving average by 4 PM. If it can stabilize, this wave can still be profitable without adding a position; if it can't stabilize, I plan to take small rebounds and let it run, possibly hitting lower again after expanding the 4H center before adding again.
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Bullish
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The adjustment on the $BOME 4 hour chart has been nearing a week now. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are tightening, indicating that the adjustment is about to end. The recent low points of the adjustment have been continuously rising, while the recent upward movement has been consistently blocked near 0.01120. Now, the adjustment period for Bitcoin is also about over; the bullish trend in the market has not changed. However, everyone knows that during an upward movement, there might be a slight dip first. Additionally, the BOME moving averages on the 1-hour period and below are still bearish, with moving averages suppressing the price. Therefore, the intraday plan is to wait for a pullback to 0.01-0.0099 to take a short position (currently, the 4-hour Bollinger Band lower boundary and the upward trend line are both near 0.0099), with a 10% stop loss. If there is a rebound afterwards, we will see if 0.01120 can be successfully broken.
The adjustment on the $BOME 4 hour chart has been nearing a week now. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are tightening, indicating that the adjustment is about to end. The recent low points of the adjustment have been continuously rising, while the recent upward movement has been consistently blocked near 0.01120. Now, the adjustment period for Bitcoin is also about over; the bullish trend in the market has not changed. However, everyone knows that during an upward movement, there might be a slight dip first. Additionally, the BOME moving averages on the 1-hour period and below are still bearish, with moving averages suppressing the price. Therefore, the intraday plan is to wait for a pullback to 0.01-0.0099 to take a short position (currently, the 4-hour Bollinger Band lower boundary and the upward trend line are both near 0.0099), with a 10% stop loss. If there is a rebound afterwards, we will see if 0.01120 can be successfully broken.
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Since the 11th, when $ETH Ethereum reached the target level of 3256, it has been consolidating for nine days. Aside from the brief spikes on the 11th and 12th, the recent week has been consolidating below the target level, which is considered a relatively weak consolidation. On the 13th, it closed below the 5-day moving average, and by the 15th, it completed a downward movement on the daily chart. After that, until yesterday, it showed an upward movement on the daily chart, and now it has to continue consolidating, with the potential for the consolidation range to become smaller. On the 4-hour chart, we can clearly see a support line with a very low slope below. The short-term pullback to this support level remains effective, and after that, a rebound towards last night's high point around 3220 should continue to short. Overall, the medium-term perspective still treats it as a consolidation.
Since the 11th, when $ETH Ethereum reached the target level of 3256, it has been consolidating for nine days. Aside from the brief spikes on the 11th and 12th, the recent week has been consolidating below the target level, which is considered a relatively weak consolidation. On the 13th, it closed below the 5-day moving average, and by the 15th, it completed a downward movement on the daily chart. After that, until yesterday, it showed an upward movement on the daily chart, and now it has to continue consolidating, with the potential for the consolidation range to become smaller.

On the 4-hour chart, we can clearly see a support line with a very low slope below. The short-term pullback to this support level remains effective, and after that, a rebound towards last night's high point around 3220 should continue to short. Overall, the medium-term perspective still treats it as a consolidation.
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Bullish
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$BTC The big cake has been sideways for a week, and the adjustment pattern has gradually converged into a triangle. The 1-hour positive line just broke through the upper track of the triangle. Temporarily wait for the 1-hour chart to confirm that the upper track has turned from resistance to support. After confirming that the breakthrough is effective, you can re-enter the long position. The specific signal can be paid attention to the 10M chart. The stop loss can be set at 90300. The stop loss indicates that the price has returned to sideways consolidation. If it breaks through the previous high of 93265 in the evening, wait for the 1-hour chart MACD top divergence to exit
$BTC The big cake has been sideways for a week, and the adjustment pattern has gradually converged into a triangle. The 1-hour positive line just broke through the upper track of the triangle. Temporarily wait for the 1-hour chart to confirm that the upper track has turned from resistance to support. After confirming that the breakthrough is effective, you can re-enter the long position. The specific signal can be paid attention to the 10M chart. The stop loss can be set at 90300. The stop loss indicates that the price has returned to sideways consolidation. If it breaks through the previous high of 93265 in the evening, wait for the 1-hour chart MACD top divergence to exit
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Bullish
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$BOME BOME Currently, the 4-hour Bollinger Band is gradually narrowing, and the triangle consolidation has reached a critical moment. We should pay attention to whether this variety will start again. The previous two callbacks were below the middle track, but did not touch the lower track. Yesterday, it was pulled above the middle track again. Currently, the middle track supports the price trend. Radicals can try to intervene at the current position, with a stop loss below today's low of 1020. If it breaks through the upper track of the triangle today, move the stop loss to protect the principal and hold. If the stop loss is hit, wait until it falls back to the lower track of the triangle before intervening.
$BOME BOME Currently, the 4-hour Bollinger Band is gradually narrowing, and the triangle consolidation has reached a critical moment. We should pay attention to whether this variety will start again. The previous two callbacks were below the middle track, but did not touch the lower track. Yesterday, it was pulled above the middle track again. Currently, the middle track supports the price trend. Radicals can try to intervene at the current position, with a stop loss below today's low of 1020. If it breaks through the upper track of the triangle today, move the stop loss to protect the principal and hold. If the stop loss is hit, wait until it falls back to the lower track of the triangle before intervening.
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Bullish
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#Solana涨势分析 Sol weekly chart has expanded the monthly level center in the past year, and then broke upward. Then, starting from 1, there will be a weekly level. At present, it is only on the daily level, and the daily line has not yet been completed, so Sol's rise is still early to the top. At least there will be a pullback on the weekly chart and then a pull-up before we can consider the top. In the small cycle, there are two possibilities for the short term. One is to pull up again after sideways trading above the current position of 230, and there is still a pullback on the 4-hour chart. After the pullback, observe the strength of the small cycle. If the pullback is insufficient and the volume is reduced, you can boldly do it near 230. If it falls back to 225, that is, it falls back to the position of 4, and touches the high point 3, then wait for two more trends on the 4-hour chart, one up and one down, and then continue to boldly go long.
#Solana涨势分析 Sol weekly chart has expanded the monthly level center in the past year, and then broke upward. Then, starting from 1, there will be a weekly level. At present, it is only on the daily level, and the daily line has not yet been completed, so Sol's rise is still early to the top. At least there will be a pullback on the weekly chart and then a pull-up before we can consider the top.

In the small cycle, there are two possibilities for the short term. One is to pull up again after sideways trading above the current position of 230, and there is still a pullback on the 4-hour chart. After the pullback, observe the strength of the small cycle. If the pullback is insufficient and the volume is reduced, you can boldly do it near 230. If it falls back to 225, that is, it falls back to the position of 4, and touches the high point 3, then wait for two more trends on the 4-hour chart, one up and one down, and then continue to boldly go long.
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Bearish
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$ETH Yesterday, when we said that we should be alert to over-buying, the 4-hour chart turned to short and the 30M chart turned to short. After that, it did go down a bit, with the lowest at 3043, but it did not break 3016. Today, it pulled up again and the 30M chart pulled back above the moving average. However, the 4-hour chart is still the second short position, and the 1-hour chart is also the second short position. According to the model, we should wait for a rebound to short at this point. The second long position on the 10M chart may pull up for a while in the short term, but because of the situation of the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, the upward momentum cannot be expected to be too high. According to the model, we should look for opportunities to short after the rebound until the 1-hour and 4-hour charts turn around. I personally think that the MACD top divergence after the 10M chart rebounds to a new high is the first entry point for short-term short selling. Stop loss after breaking through yesterday's high.
$ETH Yesterday, when we said that we should be alert to over-buying, the 4-hour chart turned to short and the 30M chart turned to short. After that, it did go down a bit, with the lowest at 3043, but it did not break 3016. Today, it pulled up again and the 30M chart pulled back above the moving average. However, the 4-hour chart is still the second short position, and the 1-hour chart is also the second short position. According to the model, we should wait for a rebound to short at this point. The second long position on the 10M chart may pull up for a while in the short term, but because of the situation of the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, the upward momentum cannot be expected to be too high. According to the model, we should look for opportunities to short after the rebound until the 1-hour and 4-hour charts turn around. I personally think that the MACD top divergence after the 10M chart rebounds to a new high is the first entry point for short-term short selling. Stop loss after breaking through yesterday's high.
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$ETH Ethereum has not rebounded strongly at present. It is rebounding for the second time on the four-hour chart, but the double rebound did not drive MACD to cross the 0 axis. Be careful with long orders. If MACD still cannot cross the 0 axis during this rebound, 3016 will definitely be broken later.
$ETH Ethereum has not rebounded strongly at present. It is rebounding for the second time on the four-hour chart, but the double rebound did not drive MACD to cross the 0 axis. Be careful with long orders. If MACD still cannot cross the 0 axis during this rebound, 3016 will definitely be broken later.
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$ETH continue to track the short-term trend of Ethereum. After rebounding above 3120, it will pull back. After the pullback, you can continue to short-term long, but be wary of the strength of the next wave, mainly because the 4-hour and 30M moving averages have turned empty. This trend is not friendly to short-term bulls. If you are prudent, you can not operate this time.
$ETH continue to track the short-term trend of Ethereum. After rebounding above 3120, it will pull back. After the pullback, you can continue to short-term long, but be wary of the strength of the next wave, mainly because the 4-hour and 30M moving averages have turned empty. This trend is not friendly to short-term bulls. If you are prudent, you can not operate this time.
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$ETH According to the previous post, ether has fallen. What we need to see next is whether this wave of decline can break through 3016, and the short-term long position after the bottom. If it falls below 3016, the subsequent rise cannot be expected too high. In the previous post, it is difficult for 7 to break through 5. If it does not fall below 3016, there will be a decent rise later. So under what circumstances will it bottom out today? Two ways: one is blue, after consolidation, the new low MACD bottom divergence enters, and the other is red, now it rebounds strongly above 3120, and then falls back to enter
$ETH According to the previous post, ether has fallen. What we need to see next is whether this wave of decline can break through 3016, and the short-term long position after the bottom. If it falls below 3016, the subsequent rise cannot be expected too high. In the previous post, it is difficult for 7 to break through 5. If it does not fall below 3016, there will be a decent rise later.

So under what circumstances will it bottom out today? Two ways: one is blue, after consolidation, the new low MACD bottom divergence enters, and the other is red, now it rebounds strongly above 3120, and then falls back to enter
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Bearish
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$ETH Ethereum fell back to the moving average yesterday, but did not break the high point of the first section yesterday, and ultimately did not drive the 4-hour MACD double line across the 0 axis, which is a bad signal for bulls. On the 13th, I drew a chart for you. At that time, the daily line went down to 4. From 2 to 4, the final movement was basically the same as what I drew on the 13th. Yesterday, from 4 to 5, the daily line formed a bottom pattern, and the final closing did not stand on the 5-day line. It cannot be confirmed that the daily line started from 4 and went up in one stroke, that is, it cannot be confirmed that the high point from 6 to 7 must be higher than 5. Given that the 1-hour bulls did not drive the 4-hour MACD across the 0 axis last night, and the 4-hour moving average also crossed, there will be a decline from 5 to 6 during the day. This is the focus of today. Also because of the bottom pattern formed last night, the probability of 6 directly breaking 4 today is not high, and then there will be a rebound from 6 to 7. Of course, the possibility of 6 being lower than 4 cannot be ruled out. If 6 is lower than 4, then this bottom pattern becomes a relay pattern, and the second target of 2830 mentioned on the 13th will definitely be reached (the first target of 3068 has been reached).
$ETH Ethereum fell back to the moving average yesterday, but did not break the high point of the first section yesterday, and ultimately did not drive the 4-hour MACD double line across the 0 axis, which is a bad signal for bulls.

On the 13th, I drew a chart for you. At that time, the daily line went down to 4. From 2 to 4, the final movement was basically the same as what I drew on the 13th.

Yesterday, from 4 to 5, the daily line formed a bottom pattern, and the final closing did not stand on the 5-day line. It cannot be confirmed that the daily line started from 4 and went up in one stroke, that is, it cannot be confirmed that the high point from 6 to 7 must be higher than 5. Given that the 1-hour bulls did not drive the 4-hour MACD across the 0 axis last night, and the 4-hour moving average also crossed, there will be a decline from 5 to 6 during the day. This is the focus of today.

Also because of the bottom pattern formed last night, the probability of 6 directly breaking 4 today is not high, and then there will be a rebound from 6 to 7. Of course, the possibility of 6 being lower than 4 cannot be ruled out. If 6 is lower than 4, then this bottom pattern becomes a relay pattern, and the second target of 2830 mentioned on the 13th will definitely be reached (the first target of 3068 has been reached).
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Bullish
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$ETH Ether, if it continues to fall above the moving average band in the next hour, and stabilizes above 3100 instead of falling below the moving average quickly, you can continue to go long. If it rises again, before the end of the 1-hour rise, the 4-hour MACD double line must pass the 0 axis. If not, sell it. If it passes, you can hold it. The 4H moving average pattern is not very good. If the next wave of rise, the 4-hour MACD cannot pass the 0 axis, and the 4-hour moving average crosses. Even if it does not fall later, it will be a consolidation, and long orders can only be made in the short term.
$ETH Ether, if it continues to fall above the moving average band in the next hour, and stabilizes above 3100 instead of falling below the moving average quickly, you can continue to go long. If it rises again, before the end of the 1-hour rise, the 4-hour MACD double line must pass the 0 axis. If not, sell it. If it passes, you can hold it.

The 4H moving average pattern is not very good. If the next wave of rise, the 4-hour MACD cannot pass the 0 axis, and the 4-hour moving average crosses. Even if it does not fall later, it will be a consolidation, and long orders can only be made in the short term.
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