Continuous oscillation, but the overall approach is still proceeding as expected, continuing to face pressure at the 98000 mark, and even testing the 96000 mark again, with another 2000 points of space.
There was a slight rebound when touching the 96000 mark, but the strength is not strong. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance around 97200, and continue to monitor the support situation at 95000 below, maintaining a high short strategy.
Short near 97200, target around 95000, synchronized with Ethereum!
This week's market continues to adjust, with neither upward nor downward breakthroughs being thorough. After all, as the year comes to an end, all the enthusiasm and main capital are weakening, which is also the inertia of the financial market.
On Friday, it was reminded during the US trading session to watch the 95000-98000 range for adjustments over the weekend, and to maintain a strategy of shorting high and buying low. Since the US market yesterday, there have been two shorting opportunities near 98000; if you seized them, there would be a space of 2500+ from both.
The weekend is still in adjustment, and in the short term, pay attention to the resistance around 98500, with support at 97000 below. Continue to follow the strategy of shorting high and buying low, but do not be overly greedy, as weekend fluctuations are limited.
On Friday, it maintained a sideways movement near 97,000, with little fluctuation; the longer this persists, the greater the test. Since there have been no breakthroughs at 95,000-98,000, it should be viewed as a weak range adjustment.
The four-hour BOLL is in a flat state, and the expected oscillation trend will likely continue, especially approaching the weekend. Keep an eye on the resistance at 95,000/98,000. In terms of operation, it is advisable to maintain a strategy of shorting high and buying low, and to follow up with a low-buy approach as much as possible during the weekend.
The PPI growth in January released on Thursday exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year increase reaching a nearly two-year high. However, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, the PCE, saw a monthly decline in its related components, easing inflation concerns and leading to a dovish overall market reaction to the PPI report.
Additionally, Trump's decision to impose reciprocal tariffs, though not to be implemented immediately, has temporarily relieved the market. The cryptocurrency market continues to fluctuate, with Bitcoin attempting to approach the $98,000 high yesterday but failing to hold that level and quickly retreating, ultimately stabilizing around $96,000. Market sentiment remains cautious, and the price at the time of writing is $97,000, down 1.07% in the last 24 hours.
In the altcoin space, the entire market currently lacks a unified consensus to guide it, resulting in insufficient investor confidence and light trading. Capital continues to flow out. However, the BSC ecosystem and related MEME tokens are becoming new market hotspots.
This week's market continues to maintain a weak consolidation. Despite several positive news from the U.S. government, the market is not buying it, and the implied volatility (IV) has dropped to its lowest level in nearly a year.
Since BTC effectively fell below the $100,000 mark, option whales have been continuously selling short- to medium-term call options. The volume of large call option transactions has increased significantly, while the volume of large put options has decreased, indicating that despite the market's pessimism about rising prices, the panic about falling prices has also weakened. Institutions generally believe that February will be a boring time without market movements, and indeed, the market seems to lack hotspots and capital.
God, short directly near the morning price of 98000, madly collecting 1500+/45+, another order to eat to the full, really爽!
Continuous large bearish candles down, reduce positions on short orders and hold, target near 96000, if broken, look at around 95000, synchronized with Ethereum.
According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in March is 97.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.5%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate until May is 86.8%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 12.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.3%.
CPI data performed well, and Bitcoin plunged in the short term. Powell's speech did not mention the crypto market and interest rate cuts. In addition to the impact of tariffs and geopolitical risk aversion, Bitcoin is still under pressure.
Short all the way and make money all the way. After effectively breaking the 95,000 support tonight, the lowest level reached 94,072. It has now rebounded above 95,000, but the rebound is still weak. The focus below is still on the break of 95,000. The decline is not as good as expected, but it is only a matter of time before it falls.
This week, the market has been falling all the way, and there has been a rebound when it meets support. This is normal. In the early morning, focus on the resistance level of 96,000-96,500. If it does not break, continue to short. The target below continues to look at around 94,000/93,000. If it breaks, chase it directly, and synchronize with Ethereum!
Horrible data is bullish for the US dollar and bearish for the market. We have been emphasizing short positions and chasing after the breakout. Even if you bravely chase short positions at 95,000, there is still 1,000 points of space.
Medium and long-term short positions at 105,591/3,290 to 94,051/2,561, and close at 11,540/729
Short-term short positions at 96,500 to 94,000, and continue to take 2,500 points of space.
The simplest way to make money is to be steady, accurate and ruthless, and follow Sister Ying's ideas...
Lantern Festival, CPI (scary data) is coming, followed by Powell's semi-annual monetary policy testimony at the House Financial Services Committee. We are bound to witness a breakout in the market tonight, so please position yourself in time to seize the opportunity.
Tonight, let’s walk with the market and join hands with Sister Ying. Limited to three spots only, let's kickstart the dream of getting rich in 2025!
The bears continued to test downward under pressure, shorting around 97800/98500, repeatedly taking 3000+ space, and the bears won perfectly.
After the weak rebound in the morning, the pressure retested, and the next support is 95000. If it breaks, the next target will be around 93000.
As for whether it can reach 93000 today, it remains to be seen, but the bearish thinking remains unchanged, because there will be "horror data" tonight and Powell's semi-annual monetary policy testimony in the House Financial Services Committee. The former may bring a wave of welfare market, and the latter may trigger a roller coaster trend.
Once again, the decline has broken 95000, bears have won again...
Short positions at 100000 down to around 95000, short positions at 97800/98500 down to around 96000, emphasizing countless times that shorting can turn one's life around.
There has been no breakthrough above or below the 95000-98000 range, treat it as a fluctuation; effective breakouts can be pursued, focus on short positions today.
Short above 96800, target around 95000, pursue on breakouts, synchronized with Ethereum.
Short near 100,000 non-farm, target around 95,000, crazy to take down 5,000 points of space.
Reminded four times to short near 97,800, even reminded in real trading to short near 98,500, with a minimum drop to around 96,500, repeatedly taking down 3,000+ space.
Short on rebounds above 100,000, main short below 100,000, speaking from 2024 to 2025, even if you listen to Yinger's advice once, then the big winner in the Year of the Snake will definitely be you!
Many friends have been asking me how I see it? Yesterday, I shorted near 97800, taking down about 900 points of space for real account reduction, and continued to hold today. Today, it rebounded to around 98500 at the highest, which made many friends continue to short, and some hesitated, ultimately leading to the saying 'the grapes are sour because they can't be reached.'
You didn't dare to short at 97800, and you also didn't dare at 98500, you didn't dare to hold more, nor did you dare to short, but you still think about making money? Do you think money just comes flowing in? Hesitation will only lead to defeat.
This week has a lot of data and market movements, with major movements happening after Wednesday, so both this week and Tuesday are maintaining a small range adjustment. Why does Yingjie always lean towards shorting? Because since Trump took office, the couple has been issuing currency to reap huge profits, leaving only 'tricks'. Plus, with the tariff issue, how can you expect to rise? A key point is that interest rates may decrease or may not decrease in 2025, so how will you respond?
This week has many important macro events, with the Federal Reserve and US economic data being quite prominent. The semi-annual monetary policy and CPI data are worth paying attention to.
The EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) has come into full effect, and compliant exchanges like Kraken are gradually delisting stablecoins such as USDT in Europe.
The crypto market remains sluggish, with Bitcoin continuing to fluctuate below $100,000. Altcoins have generally seen significant declines over the past month, and the market's wealth creation effect has weakened, with enthusiasm gradually turning into pessimism.
As the global financial system transitions to a multipolar and decentralized future, stablecoins, Bitcoin, and U.S. Treasury bonds serve as complementary tools to collectively address the vulnerabilities of the fiat system. Together, they form a framework capable of sustaining the financial dominance of the United States, ensuring stability, and promoting resilience in a rapidly changing landscape.
There were repeated fluctuations on Monday, and the decline was not drastic enough. The short position near 97800 of Bitcoin will continue to be held...
In the morning, I gave a short position near 97500, and sold it at 96800, winning 700 points. At present, the European market rebounded, and the current price is around 97800, and the short position is still around 96000, and the Ethereum is synchronized!