🕯 A few recent trades from the channel with trading setups, from traders from our team.
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- Bitcoin around $90,691; - Ethereum around $3,114; - Fear and Greed Index: 90 [peak since March 5, after which there was a correction of 5%+, but in 2021 such marks were ~ 1.5 months]; - Bitcoin dominance: 60.21%; - Altseason index: 35; - Capitalization: $2.98 trillion.
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🟠 The positive sentiment around Bitcoin that surged on November 11 is now cooling. Meanwhile, negative sentiment is gaining momentum again.
🟠 Bitcoin's monthly RSI is breaking the trendline. Bitcoin is showing a clear bullish structure on higher timeframes.
🟠 A significant spike in#Bitcoin$BTC buying pressure on#Binanceover the past few hours signals growing bullish sentiment, suggesting that an upside price move could be in the future.
🟠 $300k in $BTC was sold by long-term holders. About a third of what we saw at the March 2024 highs. The selling pressure is much less, but as the price rises, we are faced with more selling pressure.
🟠 Almost $60B in BTC open interest. The market could be in for a major shakeout.
• In 2016, this parabolic uptrend (green) lasted 357 days. However, the re-accumulation phase (red) lasted 154 days. → In 2020, the parabolic uptrend (green) lasted 385 days. However, the re-accumulation phase (red) lasted 163 days. → If history were to repeat itself in 2016 in terms of a 357-day parabolic uptrend in this cycle, the parabola would end in late October 2025.→ If history in 2020 were to repeat itself in terms of the 385-day parabolic uptrend in this cycle, the parabola would end in late November 2025. → The problem here is that the 2016 and 2020 post-halving re-accumulation phases were shorter (154 and 163 days)..... → Assuming this affects the parabolic uptrend phase of the cycle, the number of days would shrink from 334 to 322, bringing the bull market peak closer in time to late September or early October 2025. What do you expect from next week for BTC❓
🤩 The rally will continue. 😱 Correction. 🤷♂️ We will linger in the new range. 😁 A combination of the above.
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• Trader spent $7.84 SOL ($1.6K) to buy $40.31M BITCAT on Pump. fun , then sold it all for $2213.5 SOL ($460K), making ~$ 458K.
➡️ If you're looking at smart money/other wallets - here's the address on Solscan [note that this is a high-frequency trader, where he's made 341 meme coin trades in the last seven days alone, accumulating a total profit of $857,000].
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💬 BCA Research's Chief Global Strategist has raised his forecast for a 75% chance of a US recession in the next 12 months after Trump's election.
📌Quick notes from the article:
🔖POSITIVE FACTORS:
• Extension of tax cuts (TCJA). • Corporate tax cut to 15% for domestic producers. • General deregulation of business.
🔖 NEGATIVE FACTORS:
• Risk of a new trade war (60% tariffs on Chinese imports and 10% on other countries). • Large-scale cuts to social programs (Medicaid, food stamps, housing assistance). • Import tariffs (especially on China), which will reduce real household incomes by $1,900-$7,600. • Tightening immigration policies will lead to wage growth and inflation.
🔖 In his opinion, the negative factors will outweigh the positive ones, because:
1. A possible trade war could reduce the EPS of S&P 500 companies by 3.2-4.7%. 2. The reduction of social programs will hit consumer spending of the poor hard. 3. New tariffs will mostly affect low-income consumers. 4. The Fed may postpone rate cuts due to inflation risks.
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❗️The Russian government has approved a bill on the taxation of cryptocurrencies:
⚫ Cryptocurrency is recognized as property. ⚫ Income from mining will be taxed taking into account expenses. ⚫ Income from cryptocurrency transactions will be taken into account together with income from securities. ⚫ Personal income tax rate: 13% up to 5 million rubles per year, 15% on income above this amount (30% for non-residents). ⚫ VAT does not apply to cryptocurrency transactions. ⚫ Mining operators will have to report on miners to the tax office.
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🫥 About: BTC and ETH ETF, Tim Cook, BTC, Powell, SEC, XRP, ZKsync, ETH, Safe, Goldman Sachs, mining in Russia, Hex Trust & Injective, funding rounds and more.
💱 Exchange/buy cryptocurrency.
🫥 Matrixport: three key dates in December that could further stimulate institutional investor participation.
🫥 South Korean financial regulator FIU has found 500-600 thousand suspicious cases of KYC violations at the country's largest crypto exchange Upbit.
🫥 Matt Huang, co-founder and managing partner of Paradigm, on BTC as a federal reserve.
🫥 According to FOX Business, the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Act introduced by the Pennsylvania House of Representatives on Thursday is the first of its kind and would allow the state Treasury to allocate 10% of its roughly $7 billion in state funds to Bitcoin.
🫥 About Ethena.
🎁 10,000,000 COOK giveaway on Bybit.
🫥#Bitcoinminers have moved $45,000 BTC [~$4 billion] to exchanges in the last 3 days.
🫥 Vivek Ramaswamy has announced the dissolution of the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E) in 2026.
🫥 Senator Lummis has introduced the "Bitcoin Act of 2024" in the US Congress.
🫥 Elon Musk's Dogecoin Fraud Trial Ends
🫥 ZetaChain(ZETA) becomes the sixth token recognized by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA).
🤨 $16 → $3 million $10K → $9.4 million
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• The user invested $16.20. At that time, the capitalization of Peanut the Squirrel ($PNUT) did not exceed $10 thousand.
• Two weeks later, the memecoin made a powerful leap. One of the main factors for this was the listing of the token on Binance. Against the backdrop of the news, the price of PNUT soared by almost 300% in a day, and the capitalization exceeded $500 million.
• Instead of selling all the tokens at once, the trader began to gradually fix the profit. Within three days, the wallet "6r3W" sold all the Peanut the Squirrel tokens on it. During this time, the market value of PNUT reached $2 billion.
• As a result, the total profit was $3 million.
➡️ If you are looking for smart money / other wallets - here is the address on Solscan.
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😞 The trial accusing Elon Musk of fraudulent Dogecoin is ending.
ℹ️ A stipulation to dismiss the appeal and motions from both sides was filed in Manhattan federal court. It requires approval from U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein. Lawyers for the investors and Musk did not respond to requests for comment.
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👱♀️ Senator Lummis introduced the "Bitcoin Act of 2024" to the US Congress, which would:
(A) Purchase no more than 200,000 bitcoins per year for 5 years, for a total of 1,000,000 bitcoins; (B) Conduct purchases transparently and strategically to minimize market shocks; (C) Store purchased bitcoins in a US trust.
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😐 Vivek Ramaswamy announced the dissolution of the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E) in 2026.
🗣 Reagan said, “A government bureau is the closest thing to eternal life we will ever see on this earth.” No longer true. Exhibit A: DOGE will be disbanded on July 4, 2026, after we downsize the government. This will be our birthday present to America on the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence.
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🤵 Ethena Labs founder Guy Yang reported on social media that USDe supply has seen parabolic growth, with over $700 million in new supply added in the last three weeks, exceeding the total PYUSD supply from PayPal or BUIDL.
ℹ️ An Aave integration is expected to be announced today, which will drive billions of dollars of demand for USDe next month. → Collateral listings on two new centralized exchanges are also planned for next week.
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📣 According to FOX Business, the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Act introduced by the Pennsylvania House of Representatives on Thursday is the first of its kind and would allow the state Treasury to allocate 10% of its roughly $7 billion in state funds to Bitcoin.
🟠The bill will be introduced to the Republican-led Senate in the coming weeks and, if passed, will go to the governor for his signature.
ℹ️ It's not so much the amount as the nominee and the subsequent "ripples in the water."
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