$BTC

Looking at the monthly chart, this cycle is very fast and urgent. There has basically been no effective technical pullback in daily trading, and a 40% increase on the monthly line usually indicates the final sprint of the cycle, followed by a 2.3-year pullback.
This time, the institutions were too greedy, wanting to consume all the small institutions, but forgot that without the consensus of retail investors, who will take over BTC? It feels like the crypto market is going to collapse after this cycle ends, there is no patience for a rally, and they have directly ruined it.

Today's BTC Analysis (11.20)

Direction:
From the perspective of ETF spot purchases of BTC, basically only BlackRock has been continuously purchasing, and other institutions have appropriately reduced their positions. BlackRock's control of the market is relatively solid, but as the price continues to hit new highs, retail investors' psychological expectations of taking over are not that high, so the higher the price is, the less trading volume there is, and the high liquidity is exhausted, so you will find that the increase of several thousand points is completed in a few minutes.
In most cases, it is not scientific to pay attention to technical indicators and news, or to say that the bull market is coming is actually not scientific. This round of rise is just institutions using the newly issued USDT to pull the market, using institutional funds, and constantly setting new highs, thinking that it can attract countless retail investors to continue to chase the rise, but the reality can only be said to be a lonely pull. There are very few new retail investors and new funds, and there are more old leeks, so relatively speaking, this round of pull-ups did not attract too many leeks and funds. If it is pulled to 100,000 at one time, ask yourself, who will buy it? To be honest, those who say that it will reach 1 million or 1.5 million, those who shout this slogan are worse than fools. Institutional purchases of BTC ultimately require someone to take over, either you or me. Trump's slogans are just for fun, how many of the politicians' words are true?

Back to the market, after a rise of nearly 30,000 points without a deep correction, this round of highs should require a new round of deep corrections, and then pull the market:
The first order position is between 90,000-90,200, which is to go long and bet on a rebound of about 1,000 points. It can be closed around 900,800, and the pattern is around 901,500. The stop loss is generally set at 89,950

The second position is around 88,500, and the stop loss is generally set around 100 points.

The third position will be seen later.

At this stage, it depends on whether the 90,000 point is broken.

$BTC

$BTC

BTC trend is no longer a pure indicator issue, but BlackRock funds continue to buy. In November alone, there was basically a net inflow, with a maximum net inflow of nearly 10,000 coins a day. Some other ETF funds were sold for profit. It is relatively conceivable that this round of rise is no longer the so-called consensus of everyone, but is driven by fund institutions with BlackRock as the core. It costs hundreds of billions of dollars to promote this cycle. The return that institutions want can be imagined. For small cycles, you can do contracts, and for large cycles, you can only buy spot. But to be honest, the current price is very high, and there is a high probability that it will break new highs. If you have not entered the spot before, you can accept a large loss. You can start.

This round of rise is very fast and there is a sense of crisis. You want to push it up quickly and get a large profit, and then get out directly before the crisis breaks out. It is likely to be similar to the 2008 financial crisis. If it is fast, it will be in December, and if it is slow, it will be next year. This is no longer the so-called good news and Trump's support for cryptocurrency.

[Today's order opening] 11.16
$BTC
BTC opening 91000-91200
BTC closing 91600-91800
Stop loss price 90950
Go long
The profit and loss ratio is basically 2:1-3:1

Do BTC long position band, you can open a position.
$BTC

$BTC

BTC sentiment has risen. To be honest, this is not the so-called bull market; institutional control is too severe. BTC is no longer the decentralized currency it used to be; it has become a centralized currency. The increase is significant, but it hasn’t actually allowed most people to make money. Most profits are made by perpetual earners. One can only say that sentiment has risen, and both sides are fuel. This cycle is likely to end this year, and the virtual currency may have completed its mission of harvesting, just like the US dollar.

$PEPE
Pepe brought news today that the market has risen significantly, which does not align with the overall bull market expectations; the performance is still quite poor. Do not chase highs, do not chase highs, if it's time to go, then go. Yesterday, those who were advised to enter the spot market around 0.8 should directly liquidate.

Trump is stabilizing, big surge, are you using your brain?

The results of the U.S. elections are mainly determined by the votes from swing states. The key issue is that there is a possibility of vote fraud in these votes, and nothing is 100% certain. What is this big surge about, and what does breaking 80,000 mean? Do you have a clue in your mind? Don't just listen to what others say; take a moment to search for yourself. Understand the composition of the U.S. election votes, which states the Democratic and Republican parties are guaranteed to win, and which states are possible to win. Figure that out. Then look at the articles those people are posting, they seem foolish, and the key is that many fools actually believe it.

Don't open positions mindlessly when you're emotionally charged. Even if you do open a position, don't let your stop loss exceed 2%. The driving force of a bull market comes from new capital inflows, not from temporary news events. Are you only playing for a few days? Definitely not, most people play for a long time, considering the long-term.

Are you all confident that Trump is a sure thing? Let's take a look at the current votes.

Continuing from the previous article, what do you think? Has the gap narrowed a lot? Last year, Biden's election was all fake. Do you think there will be fake votes this time? Today, there are good news every day. How many of them are institutional water armies? When you see a bunch of people talking about it, you should exit. It's so good to pull it up, but it's so miserable to be stuck later.

Invest rationally. This kind of news is too short-lived. It's easy to get stuck in a few minutes. It takes money to pull up the market. Are institutions willing to pay for this money? Isn't it us retail investors who take over the market?

Do you think Trump is secure just because he is leading in the votes?

If you think that way, I can only say you are still a novice. Go search for last year's election votes and you'll see that Trump was also leading significantly, but in the end, Biden won. Now, without any guarantees for Trump, Bitcoin is soaring 📈. If Trump is confirmed to win, the good news will be priced in. If Harris wins, you can imagine what this price will be.

Don't let the emotions of the majority in the square influence you. You need to be responsible for your own assets; if you make a wrong investment, no one will compensate you. Even if you didn't make a profit this time, your principal is still there. Don't make reckless investments that could damage your principal.

$PEPE

PEPE's short-term rebound can be considered a gamble, now let's talk about the trend.

PEPE's trend is still oscillating within a triangular pattern, already at the bottom position of the triangle. From the daily level, it has formed a triangular pattern and a descending wedge, indicating a rebound trend. Currently, around 0.8 is a good point to buy some spot.

The 4-hour pattern is basically consistent with the daily line, but the overall trend is influenced by BTC. As long as BTC does not drop below 675, it is generally not recommended to operate. The overall trend belongs to the bearish trend, and the cost-performance ratio of spot is higher.

The 1-hour chart has formed a bearish flag and double top structure, and has broken below the bottom of the triangle. In the short term, the probability of decline is greater, but the decline space is not too large according to its price trend. Further declines can be used to catch some rebounds, and PEPE is recommended to focus on spot.

$BTC

BTC is back in an awkward position.

BTC's previous operations have suggested short positions, but the recent trend remains in a balanced state, hovering around 68500. For short-term operations, it’s generally necessary to open low-leverage short positions around 69000 and low-leverage long positions around 68000, and a rebound is expected near the support level of 67500.

From a long-term investment perspective, the three-top structure on the weekly and daily charts has not ended, but it is still within the fifth wave. Whether it can complete is beyond doubt. Despite the significant impact of the recent U.S. election on BTC's movement, institutional investors still need to make profits. Continuous pumping and dumping align with institutional expectations, rather than pure pumping. Therefore, when investing, stop-loss levels should generally be controlled within a relatively large range. For instance, if opening a short position at 70000, the stop-loss should be around 715. If opening a long position at 68000, the stop-loss should be around 665.

In terms of short-term trends, wave c has completely ended. Whether an extended wave can occur is subject to discussion. There will likely be significant fluctuations around the results of the U.S. election, whether it rises first and then falls or falls first and then rises largely depends on the election results. However, my personal suggestion is to focus on short positions; if 69500 is not broken, one can short.

$PEPE

PEPE, the daily level oscillation pattern and descending wedge, potential rebound trend, but the current overall direction has turned downwards with BTC.

The daily level support is at 0.8. Breaking below its triangular pattern and descending wedge would lead to another round of decline, still heavily influenced by BTC's trend. If BTC's price remains stable, there is a high possibility of range oscillation. Overall, the spot market is a relatively suitable entry point, while contracts require a certain rebound trend to be more appropriate for entry.

For short-term entry, one can gamble on a rebound, with an entry point around 0.82 and a stop-loss around 2%. If following the major trend, high shorts are generally more suitable. Overall, altcoins at this stage are heavily influenced by BTC's declining trend. Considering BTC's daily triple top and 4-hour wave changes, if it does not drop below 750000, one can bet on a short-term rebound after a new round of rapid decline.

$BTC

Let's continue discussing the operations after this BTC decline.

The 1h trend wedge of BTC did not resist the 4h wave a rise and the daily three-top structure, with its 1h wedge lower boundary approaching around 67800, and its support level coming to 67500, which is basically consistent with what was mentioned before.

It is important to note that intraday operations and daily operations have different cycles and need to be entered based on demand.

$BTC

BTC, is the bottom you copied the bottom?

BTC price fell below the 4h short-term support of 69500 ​​and came to around 69000. 69000 formed the first support level for intraday operations.

1. From the 1h trend, a short-term double bottom structure and a descending wedge are formed, and its current wedge boundary is 68800-70200. Its 69000 forms a new round of support, but the most important support is still at its boundary position, and 69900 forms a resistance level. There is a short-term rebound trend, but the volume is not enough. When the trend is upward, it is not a big problem to start with a large volume.

2. From the 4h trend, it is at the end of wave a and the beginning of wave b, but if it falls below 69000, it will directly turn to wave c from wave b, and its daily level triple top structure has not yet ended.

$SOL

When should I buy sol?

Yesterday, the price of sol reached 162.1, which was the short-term support level of 162 mentioned yesterday. Then it rebounded by more than 3 points, which was in line with expectations.

However, intraday operations and daily line operations need to start with a good point. The investment cycle is also different.

$SOL

SOL, the bull market will not be absent, nor has it ever been.

1. The daily level of SOL is in a wave 4 correction, with price support at 161, and its upward trend is still present, making it likely that wave 5 will complete.

2. The 4-hour trend of SOL is transitioning from wave 4 to wave 5, with price support generally consistent with the daily level, and resistance levels at 165 and 173.

3. SOL's short-term support level is at 162, resistance level at 167, and the transition point between support and resistance is a very good investment price.

#SOLFI #SolanaETF

$WLD

WLD, in the short term, still oscillates within a range, with limited downward space.

After a round of selling pressure and rebound in July, WLD has continued to decline, with the price dropping to a low of 1.2. Recently, there has been no new token unlock, so the overall trend does not need to consider the issue of token unlocks.
1. From the daily level, it is generally in a phase of multi-directional conversion, requiring another pullback to enter a position near 1.7.
2. From the 4-hour trend, a triangle pattern has formed, with 1.82 and 2.0 serving as its support and resistance levels, which can be traded in conjunction with the conversion of its support and resistance.
#wldusdt #WLD未来的世界虚拟货币 #美国大选后涨或跌？

$BTC

BTC, three peaks structure, daily trend is downward.

1. From the daily trend, it is still hovering between the rising wave 5 and the declining wave a, with support at 685 and 655,
resistance at 73,000. After a certain correction, the possibility of moving to wave b is higher.

2. From the 4-hour trend, it is in the transition phase between Elliott wave a and b, with intraday support at 695 and 685, and resistance near 715. In the short term, it remains predominantly high for short positions. Operations are still at the support and resistance conversion points.

$BTC

BTC, long and short double kill.

I haven't posted for a long time, today I will talk about the idea of ​​BTC.

At this stage, the price of BTC is hovering around 69,000. I was bearish when it rose to around 69,000 on October 21, because it was obvious that the volume and price did not match, and it was obviously a market crash later. This Tuesday, the price came to around 71,000, and I was also bearish. I set a stop loss of 5k, and the probability of a 95% profit was guaranteed. Later, I didn't expect it to rise to around 73,000, but it fell as expected later. There was no technical analysis for this order, it was purely because of insufficient consensus, the price could not be pulled up, and the institutions were not kind.

Recently, the idea of ​​Bitcoin contract ordering is either long or short, that is, the time span of high-altitude and low-long is generally arranged around 3 days. High-altitude is generally above 70,000, and low-long is generally around 6.5. The leveraged liquidation price is very close, which is not suitable for the current market. People who can make money without any big market can only make money on one-sided market.

The bull market is undeniable, but it requires consensus. Only when most people think that 70,000 is not high at all, most people are willing to take over. This is determined by human nature. This time, the so-called technical indicators are not used. Most technical indicators are only used to explain their own judgments, rather than to influence your judgment based on technical indicators.

If you need professional and effective analysis, everyone is welcome to make progress together.

$WLD

WLD, the eight-wave pattern is coming to an end.

WLD's recent daily level C wave and descending wedge are about to usher in the end of the C wave. After a weak rebound and then a round of selling pressure, it will find a price balance point. The current fully diluted market value is around 24.9 billion, which is still high overall. Low circulation is still the biggest failure. It's a pity that such a good company is not doing human work.

WLD reminded in June that there will be a new round of selling pressure in July, and now it is found that there is no bottom at the end of the month.

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