This is the experience I have accumulated over ten years. I have organized the following fifteen rules. Please read patiently, and I believe you will gain something!
A sharp decline is the touchstone for quality coins. When the market crashes, if your coin only drops slightly, it is clear that the whales are protecting it, refusing further declines. Such coins can be held with confidence, and there will surely be returns in the future.
Advice for beginners on buying and selling If you are a beginner, the simplest operating method is: when holding coins in the short term, use the 5-day moving average as a reference. If it falls below the 5-day line, sell; when holding coins in the medium term, use the 20-day moving average as a basis. If it falls below the 20-day line, sell. There are many methods, but choosing the one that suits you best is the most important. The difficulty in trading lies not in the methods but in the execution. Many people fail because they cannot stick to simple methods. As long as you operate repeatedly, 90% of problems can be avoided. The greater the principle, the simpler it is.
Operation strategy for the main upward trend When the main upward trend forms and there is no significant increase in volume, you can decisively enter. Continue to hold when the price rises with volume, maintain your position during a decrease with lower volume as long as the trend is not broken, and reduce your position promptly if a significant decline occurs and breaks the trend line.
Exit strategy for short-term operations After a short-term buy, if there is no significant fluctuation within three days, consider selling. If the price does not rise after buying and instead drops, incurring a 5% loss, you should decisively stop loss.
Opportunities for rebounds after overselling If a coin drops more than 50% from its peak and continues to decline for more than 8 days, it has usually entered the oversold zone, and a rebound is imminent. This is an opportunity to follow up.
Advantages of leading coins During the trading process, always pay attention to leading coins. Leading coins usually rise the strongest when the market is up and are the most resilient when the market is down. Do not be afraid to enter when the market is falling, nor miss opportunities because a coin has risen too much. Trading coins is often counterintuitive; the more timid you are, the more likely it is that an increase will come; the more blindly you dare to enter, the more likely you are to face a decline. The strong remain strong; the most important strategy in trading leading coins is "buy high, sell at super high."
Go with the trend and embrace it In the market, following the trend is the most important operating principle. Choosing a suitable price to buy is much more important than simply pursuing a low price. Because a decline does not indicate a bottom, and an upward trend can reverse at any moment. Abandon those poorly performing coins; the market trend is always the most powerful force.
Let's talk about four cryptocurrencies: PEPE, SHIB, BONK, and FLOKI, and see who is most likely to break through the $0.01 price point. First, let's look at their current prices:
PEPE: priced at $0.00002, still a few decimal places. SHIB: current price is $0.00002414, slightly higher than PEPE but still in decimal places. BONK: priced at $0.00003462, slightly higher than the first two. FLOKI: priced at $0.000199, although still far from $0.01, it is relatively higher compared to the other coins. Next, let's look at their supply and market capitalization:
PEPE: supply exceeds 420 trillion; to rise to $0.01, market capitalization needs to exceed $4 trillion, which is higher than the current total market cap of the entire crypto market. SHIB: circulating supply is close to 600 trillion; market cap needs to exceed $5 trillion, making it extremely difficult. BONK: although the supply is unclear, the market cap needs to be in trillions, still facing significant challenges. FLOKI: supply is 900 trillion; to rise to $0.01, market cap needs to be $96 billion, which is relatively more realistic. Then, let's examine their communities and applications:
PEPE: mainly relies on meme culture; although the community is enthusiastic, it lacks practical applications. SHIB: has its own ecosystem and community support, gradually acquiring application scenarios, with great development potential. BONK: active community, especially in the Solana ecosystem, but still exploring direction. FLOKI: involves not only DeFi, NFTs, and the metaverse but also has a strong community and is more application-oriented. Predictions for these coins in 2030:
PEPE: predicted to reach $0.00843 by 2030, but still full of uncertainty. SHIB: expected average price of $0.0008 by 2030, a significant gap from $0.01. BONK: expected to reach $0.00015 by 2030, with limited potential. FLOKI: expected to rise to $0.0012 by 2030, closer to $0.01 than the other coins. In summary, FLOKI seems most likely to break through $0.01 first. It has not only expanded into DeFi, NFTs, and the metaverse but also has an active community and abundant applications. If it can continue to develop, it may bring higher returns.
Conclusion: Among these four coins, FLOKI has the greatest breakthrough potential. Despite facing significant challenges, its application scenarios, community support, and relatively low market cap pressure make it more likely to achieve significant increases in the future.
Clear signals of market reversal, BTC bullish trend continues, opportunity for pullback needs to be grasped
The cryptocurrency market indeed makes people feel pain. Whether it's a rising trend, falling trend, or sideways fluctuation, there always seems to be someone trapped or missing out on opportunities. I have previously reminded that the downtrend has ended and the market is beginning to show signs of reversal.
Starting this week, Wall Street's holiday has also ended, and the market returns to normal trading hours, with retail investors gradually returning to the market. However, it’s important to note that the US stock market will be closed on January 9th to commemorate the passing of former President Kate, which is a traditional practice in the US where certain historical events lead to a day of trading halt.
In 2025, the cryptocurrency market may experience a massive bull market, which could be the 'last chance' for retail investors. As someone who has been in the cryptocurrency space for ten years and has experienced three cycles of bull and bear markets, I have transformed my initial capital of 8,000 yuan into financial freedom, transcending social classes. This bull market may be the last opportunity for retail investors to achieve substantial returns in the cryptocurrency space. I will elaborate on the background of the 2025 bull market and how retail investors can seize this opportunity to share in the profits.
2025 Bull Market in Cryptocurrency: Retail Investors' 'Last Chance' There are several key reasons why 2025 may be the 'last chance' for retail investors, particularly the following points:
1. The U.S. economy is highly linked to the cryptocurrency market.
2. The liquidity cycle following the U.S. presidential election.
3. Domestic policy risks are becoming more stable.
4. The influx of capital from the younger generation.
5. Approval of Bitcoin ETFs leads to a surge in funds.
6. Bitcoin halving becomes a market signal.
7. 2025 may replicate the bull market of 2016.
Conclusion: The Final Opportunity for Retail Investors Overall, 2025 will be an important opportunity for retail investors to gain returns in the cryptocurrency space. From the policy environment to capital inflow and the participation of young investors, all these factors could drive rapid growth in the crypto market. However, as institutional investors gradually dominate the market, the advantages for retail investors in the cryptocurrency space may diminish over time. The bull market of 2025 may be the last chance for retail investors to achieve wealth transformation through market fluctuations. Therefore, if retail investors can seize this opportunity, they may welcome a period of substantial returns. #比特币预测
If SHIB's price can drop a few zeros, your returns will indeed increase significantly. Simply put, the value of your 1 million SHIB will greatly increase as the price rises. Let's calculate it more clearly:
1. Current price: 0.00002447 USDT Current total value: 1 million SHIB × 0.00002447 USDT = 24.47 USDT 2. If one zero is dropped, the price becomes 0.0002447 USDT: Total value: 1 million SHIB × 0.0002447 USDT = 244.7 USDT 3. If two zeros are dropped, the price becomes 0.002447 USDT: Total value: 1 million SHIB × 0.002447 USDT = 2447 USDT 4. If three zeros are dropped, the price becomes 0.02447 USDT: Total value: 1 million SHIB × 0.02447 USDT = 24470 USDT Points to note: Token burning: The price increase of SHIB is often related to the burning mechanism. The supply of SHIB is large, and only when a sufficient number of tokens are burned, reducing the circulating quantity of SHIB, can it potentially drive the price up. Increased demand: If SHIB can gain more practical applications (such as payments or other uses), the increase in demand will drive the price up. Overall market: The overall atmosphere of the crypto market and the trends of mainstream coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum will also affect the price fluctuations of SHIB. Although whether SHIB's price can truly drop a few zeros and achieve a significant increase depends on multiple factors in the market, it is noteworthy that SHIB's price has indeed experienced significant fluctuations over the past few years, so there is potential for the future.
However, remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and it is essential to be aware of risks when investing, avoiding over-reliance on the price increase of a single coin.
DOGE Major News! A Market Storm is Coming! The crypto market is finally starting to warm up!
Dear investors, there has just been a shocking announcement: After the DOGE price broke through $0.32292, some short sellers were forced to close their positions, selling approximately $61,242 worth of their stake.
This means that those who originally bet on a decline in DOGE's price now have to cut their losses, or they will face even greater losses.
Will this event become a turning point for DOGE's rebound? Let’s analyze together and predict the upcoming trends!
Short positions have been liquidated, buying sentiment surges The clearing of shorts means that a large amount of capital is starting to enter the market, driving prices up. If this buying momentum can be sustained, DOGE's price may see a significant rise.
Currently, DOGE's price fluctuations are gradually intensifying; if buyers can continue to push prices up, DOGE is expected to experience a strong rebound!
Suitable entry timing and future target prices If you plan to enter, the range of $0.310 to $0.320 seems like a good buying opportunity.
In the short term, target prices are $0.340 and $0.360 respectively. If market sentiment continues, DOGE's price is expected to hit higher levels.
However, it should be noted that if the price falls below $0.300, you should withdraw in time to avoid further losses.
Key market observations If DOGE's trading volume rises sharply and breaks through $0.330, the price may continue to rise until it reaches $0.360. But if it falls below $0.310, one needs to be vigilant as the market may reverse.
In terms of upcoming investment strategies, I will continue to look for other opportunities in the market; the profit potential of altcoins still exists, and it’s expected that there may be more than 10 times the growth in the future. Check my personal homepage, and I will guide you in seizing the upcoming bull market opportunities!
Stunning Reversal? Will Biden Really Pardon FTX Founder? Musk's Statement Ignites the Crypto Circle!
When many people thought the cryptocurrency market had calmed down, a shocking news suddenly broke, causing the entire crypto circle to boil over! Is it true that U.S. President Biden intends to pardon the founder SBF, who is in trouble due to the FTX exchange's collapse? Is this news true or false? Billionaire Musk's remarks have further complicated the situation!
On Monday, Musk responded to this rumor on Twitter, stating, 'I would be very surprised if this doesn’t happen.' As soon as this comment came out, the price of the FTT token immediately soared over 20%, as if the entire market was anticipating this potential 'miracle.' However, the increase quickly receded, leaving countless questions and speculations.
ENS Order Strategy Sharing (12.24) Good evening everyone! Wishing you all a Merry Christmas Eve, remember to eat apples, as peace and health are the greatest blessings! The market has experienced fluctuations and slight declines in recent days, but yesterday's closing of US stocks saw a rally, driving most cryptocurrencies to rebound slightly. Based on the current trend, I personally predict that there might be a wave of upward movement around Christmas, but it may test lower levels again afterwards.
Current Technical Analysis of ENS Breakthrough of the downward channel followed by resistance and pullback
Current Trend: ENS has recently successfully broken through the downward channel, but encountered strong resistance afterward, leading to a price pullback. From the 4-hour chart, the current preliminary support level is around 31.68, and the price may oscillate and pull back to around 33. A second pullback cannot be ruled out to confirm the validity of the subsequent rise. Pullback to confirm bullish trend at JOC bottom
Trend Verification: After breaking through the downward channel, ENS may pull back to the JOC bottom to confirm the formation of an upward trend. According to the KDJ indicator, the three lines are about to expand parallelly, and the momentum for a rebound in the short term is relatively limited. Therefore, it is not recommended to chase after prices in the current market environment. MACD Indicator Analysis
Insufficient Bullish Strength: From the MACD indicator, the current bullish momentum does not show significant expansion. The enthusiasm for buying in the market is low, possibly reflecting that traders are waiting for clearer rebound signals. This means that prices may experience certain pullbacks rather than a rapid rise. Support Level Indicated by Liquidation Chart
Pay attention to the support area around 34: According to the liquidation chart data, bullish positions are relatively concentrated around 34, so this area may become a key support level. If prices fall to this area, a certain rebound may be welcomed. Recommended Order Strategy Long Entry Point: It is recommended to place long orders between 33-34. For spot trading, consider gradually entering the market in this area. The target price can be set around 43.
Order Reference: If the price pulls back to around 34, consider placing an order to enter at this point. If the market rebounds close to the target price of 43, it is advisable to take profits in a timely manner.
Subsequent Sharing I will share some order strategies regarding Ethereum and Bitcoin later, so interested friends can pay attention and prepare in advance.
Wishing everyone smooth trading during the Christmas period, and have a pleasant Christmas Eve!
In the past five years (2019-2023), Bitcoin experienced bull markets after Christmas for four years, with the exception of 2021 when there was a decline after Christmas. This year's situation is similar, as market volatility is expected to ease with the approach of the holidays.
Currently, the U.S. market has essentially entered the Christmas holiday, with lower trading volumes. As the holiday progresses, many investors may not return to work until January 2, when more market activity is expected. Therefore, the market may remain relatively calm in the short term, without significant fluctuations.
Looking ahead, the second phase of the Bitcoin bull market is expected to officially begin on January 2, 2025, which is a moment many investors are looking forward to.
As for recent performance, Solana (SOL) has seen a substantial increase, with a doubling in value. Other altcoins, such as SUI, PNU, USUAL, etc., are also worth paying attention to, as these currencies may perform well in the future.
Overall, regardless of market trends, we can operate flexibly based on different trends. I believe that in the upcoming market, whether through conservative operations or bold layouts, suitable strategies can be found. If you also want to participate, seize the opportunity, and comment '111' to follow along and prepare for the upcoming bull market!
Current Market Correction Layout Recommendations: Selected Leading Projects and Potential Coin Analysis
Many cryptocurrencies in the current market are approaching strong support levels, and it's time to start positioning. It is recommended to focus on leading coins within specific sectors. For example, in the MEME sector, PEPE remains worth attention; for Ethereum-related projects, they can be considered as Ethereum continues to attract significant capital, and its future potential has not been fully realized. Additionally, inscription projects like ORDI and WIF are also worth a look, especially since their performance has continued to improve since the last black swan event, and a price level of $4 is still achievable.
Recommended altcoins with long-term potential: DOGE (Dogecoin)
There may be many factors that may be responsible for the recent market crash. Musk and the military review of the incident Musk has reportedly been censored by the U.S. military for some security issues, especially the technology and sensitive information involved in his companies in various fields (such as SpaceX, Tesla, etc.) may have caused security concerns. Such news usually causes market uneasiness because Musk's business empire has a huge influence, especially his companies are closely related to national security, military technology and other fields. When the market is concerned about the increased regulation of technology giants, it may cause fluctuations in investor sentiment, which in turn affects the cryptocurrency circle.
The CTO of Ripple ($XRP) warns XRP investors to be cautious of potential market volatility this week. Here are the key points revised:
Price Volatility Warning: The CTO of Ripple indicates that XRP's price may experience significant fluctuations this week, with large ups and downs. Investors need to remain highly vigilant to avoid impulsive actions.
Regulatory Pressure: As the global cryptocurrency regulatory environment changes, any news or policy adjustments regarding Ripple could lead to substantial shifts in market sentiment. Investors should carefully assess the risks.
Ripple's Partnerships and Legal Challenges: Ripple has recently entered into partnership agreements with several companies, which may bring positive impacts but could also lead to price declines. Meanwhile, Ripple and XRP's legal disputes remain unresolved and could erupt at any time, thus affecting the market.
Investment Advice: Investors should not blindly trust unverified news and should closely monitor official information while conducting thorough market analysis. Trading should be rational, taking personal investment goals and risk tolerance into account, avoiding blind following of trends.
In summary, this week could be a critical moment for XRP, and investors need to pay special attention to market dynamics to make rational decisions. #xrp新纪元
I have a friend whom I met in early 2019, and at that time he had 1500 ETH in hand. After more than a year of market fluctuations, he ultimately chose to exit the market before March 12, 2020.
However, by 2023, he bought 10 bitcoins by selling his house, and now he always brags about how correct his decision was back then.
I actually believe that he just happened to catch a good opportunity, and the current market is already different. The current version has less frequent deep washouts compared to before, allowing him to hold his coins without selling.
In fact, I have a few old investors around me, and they have also sold off part of their assets. To be honest, many people no longer want to experience those extreme drawdowns from before, especially the feeling of dropping 80% from the peak, which is really exhausting.
Thunder Community Wealth Code: BTC/USDT The market remains weak. Pay attention to the support zone at 103500/102500. Do not place orders. We are considering entering the altcoin market if there is a rebound on the hourly level.
Breaking news! The market may face significant fluctuations! A giant whale recently conducted a large-scale Bitcoin transfer on the Binance platform, attracting widespread attention in the market. In the past 24 hours, this major player quietly withdrew 1,000 Bitcoins, with an average transfer price close to $96,934. Notably, after the transfer, 600 Bitcoins were allocated to a brand new wallet, while he retained 400 himself.
Such large-scale transfers usually lead to two interpretations in the market: one is that the whale may be optimistic about the market, believing the current price is attractive and intends to hold long-term; the other possibility is that he is preparing for some more complex investment strategy or private trading. Therefore, the market may develop a keen interest in this transfer, speculating on the motives behind it.
The implications of the whale transfer The whale choosing to withdraw a large amount of Bitcoin at this moment without immediately selling may convey a signal: he is satisfied with the current market price and is willing to make further moves at an appropriate time. However, diversifying funds into multiple wallets may also be a strategy to mitigate potential risks arising from market fluctuations, avoiding excessive exposure during market volatility.
Potential market impacts Short-term fluctuations: If these Bitcoins are later transferred back to the exchange, it could trigger price volatility in the market. Particularly, large sell orders often induce panic among investors, causing prices to drop rapidly. Long-term trends: If these Bitcoins remain inactive in multiple wallets, the market may stabilize in the short term. Although these funds are not entering the market, they can still provide some support. Investor focus Investors should closely monitor on-chain transfer data, especially the flow of funds from major players. Whale activities often serve as a barometer of market sentiment; each movement of their funds has the potential to influence the future trend of the market. Especially in the current 'quiet period', the market may be on the verge of change, and investors need to be prepared for the upcoming potential fluctuations.
Thunder Community Password Recommendation: SSV Currently $26.7, pulled back 25% from the high Market value is less than $200 million. If ETH surges, SSV will rise sharply, so it can be bottomed out It is recommended to bottom out 5% position, target $40 @everyone