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【12.6 Wanbing Third Edition】
Large Pancake 🔥 608 Classic
Large Pancake 🔥 608 Classic
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After many years of trading cryptocurrencies, I turned an initial capital of 100,000 yuan into 20 million yuan using this one trick, with a winning rate of 99%, suitable for everyone!
Today I want to share this very simple method, which even beginners in the crypto space can easily profit from as long as they strictly follow the steps.
First, set three moving averages on the candlestick chart: the 5-day moving average, the 15-day moving average, and the 30-day moving average. Among them, the 30-day moving average is a very important support and resistance line. We will use these three moving averages to determine buying and selling opportunities.
1. Choose the right cryptocurrency:
The best choice is cryptocurrencies in an upward trend; if the price is in a consolidation phase, it can also be chosen, but if the cryptocurrency is in a downward trend and the moving averages are opening downwards, it should be avoided.
2. Allocate funds:
Divide the funds into three parts, with no more than one-third used for each purchase.
When the price breaks above the 5-day moving average, buy in with one-third of the position.
When the price breaks above the 15-day moving average, buy again with one-third of the position.
When the price breaks above the 30-day moving average, buy the last one-third of the position. Each operation must strictly adhere to this rule.
3. Position holding and selling rules:
If the price breaks above the 5-day moving average but fails to continue breaking above the 15-day moving average and experiences a pullback, as long as it doesn't break below the 5-day moving average, maintain the position. If it breaks below the 5-day moving average, sell.
Similarly, if it breaks above the 15-day moving average but does not break above the 30-day moving average and experiences a pullback, continue to hold as long as it doesn't break below the 15-day moving average. If it breaks below the 15-day moving average, sell one-third of the position. If it doesn't break below the 5-day moving average, continue to hold the remaining position.
When the price breaks above the 30-day moving average and experiences a pullback, you can gradually sell according to the previous method.
4. Selling strategy:
When the price is at a high and breaks below the 5-day moving average, first sell one-third of the position. If it does not continue to decline, maintain the remaining position. If the 5-day, 15-day, and 30-day moving averages are all broken, sell everything to avoid wishful thinking.
Although this "foolproof" trading method is simple, the key is strict execution. After buying, the buy-sell system has been formed; only by executing trading discipline can real profits be earned.
Today I want to share this very simple method, which even beginners in the crypto space can easily profit from as long as they strictly follow the steps.
First, set three moving averages on the candlestick chart: the 5-day moving average, the 15-day moving average, and the 30-day moving average. Among them, the 30-day moving average is a very important support and resistance line. We will use these three moving averages to determine buying and selling opportunities.
1. Choose the right cryptocurrency:
The best choice is cryptocurrencies in an upward trend; if the price is in a consolidation phase, it can also be chosen, but if the cryptocurrency is in a downward trend and the moving averages are opening downwards, it should be avoided.
2. Allocate funds:
Divide the funds into three parts, with no more than one-third used for each purchase.
When the price breaks above the 5-day moving average, buy in with one-third of the position.
When the price breaks above the 15-day moving average, buy again with one-third of the position.
When the price breaks above the 30-day moving average, buy the last one-third of the position. Each operation must strictly adhere to this rule.
3. Position holding and selling rules:
If the price breaks above the 5-day moving average but fails to continue breaking above the 15-day moving average and experiences a pullback, as long as it doesn't break below the 5-day moving average, maintain the position. If it breaks below the 5-day moving average, sell.
Similarly, if it breaks above the 15-day moving average but does not break above the 30-day moving average and experiences a pullback, continue to hold as long as it doesn't break below the 15-day moving average. If it breaks below the 15-day moving average, sell one-third of the position. If it doesn't break below the 5-day moving average, continue to hold the remaining position.
When the price breaks above the 30-day moving average and experiences a pullback, you can gradually sell according to the previous method.
4. Selling strategy:
When the price is at a high and breaks below the 5-day moving average, first sell one-third of the position. If it does not continue to decline, maintain the remaining position. If the 5-day, 15-day, and 30-day moving averages are all broken, sell everything to avoid wishful thinking.
Although this "foolproof" trading method is simple, the key is strict execution. After buying, the buy-sell system has been formed; only by executing trading discipline can real profits be earned.
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Some fans ask how to start contract trading with only 1000U. Here is a suitable beginner strategy:
Some fans ask how to start contract trading with only 1000U. Here is a suitable beginner strategy:
Capital Allocation and Leverage Usage:
It is recommended to divide 1000U into 10 parts and trade with 100U each time, choosing 20x leverage. For beginners, never use excessively high leverage; 20x leverage is sufficient. If losses occur, avoid blindly averaging down; first reflect and summarize experiences before making adjustments. If capital shrinks to 900U, divide it into 10 parts to continue operations. **When profits reach 300U, keep 100U as principal, withdraw 200U to consolidate profits, and avoid leaving all profits in the account.
Capital Allocation and Leverage Usage:
It is recommended to divide 1000U into 10 parts and trade with 100U each time, choosing 20x leverage. For beginners, never use excessively high leverage; 20x leverage is sufficient. If losses occur, avoid blindly averaging down; first reflect and summarize experiences before making adjustments. If capital shrinks to 900U, divide it into 10 parts to continue operations. **When profits reach 300U, keep 100U as principal, withdraw 200U to consolidate profits, and avoid leaving all profits in the account.
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【12.6 Wanbing Key Focus on Economic Data and Events】
Friday
① 15:00 Germany October Seasonally Adjusted Industrial Production MoM
② 15:00 Germany October Seasonally Adjusted Trade Balance
③ 15:00 UK November Halifax Seasonally Adjusted House Price Index MoM
④ 15:45 France October Trade Balance
⑤ 18:00 Eurozone Q3 GDP Year-on-Year Revision
⑥ 18:00 Eurozone Q3 Seasonally Adjusted Employment Change QoQ Final
⑦ 21:30 Canada November Employment Change
⑧ 21:30 US November Unemployment Rate
⑨ 21:30 US November Seasonally Adjusted Nonfarm Payrolls
⑩ 21:30 US November Average Hourly Earnings Year-on-Year
⑪ 21:30 US November Average Hourly Earnings MoM
⑫ 22:15 Federal Reserve Governor Bowman Speaks
⑬ 23:00 US December 1-Year Inflation Rate Expectations Preliminary
⑭ 23:00 US December University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Preliminary
⑮ Next Day 01:00 Federal Reserve Harker Speaks on Economic Outlook
⑯ Next Day 02:00 US Oil Rig Count as of December 6
⑰ Next Day 02:00 Federal Reserve Daly Speaks
Friday
① 15:00 Germany October Seasonally Adjusted Industrial Production MoM
② 15:00 Germany October Seasonally Adjusted Trade Balance
③ 15:00 UK November Halifax Seasonally Adjusted House Price Index MoM
④ 15:45 France October Trade Balance
⑤ 18:00 Eurozone Q3 GDP Year-on-Year Revision
⑥ 18:00 Eurozone Q3 Seasonally Adjusted Employment Change QoQ Final
⑦ 21:30 Canada November Employment Change
⑧ 21:30 US November Unemployment Rate
⑨ 21:30 US November Seasonally Adjusted Nonfarm Payrolls
⑩ 21:30 US November Average Hourly Earnings Year-on-Year
⑪ 21:30 US November Average Hourly Earnings MoM
⑫ 22:15 Federal Reserve Governor Bowman Speaks
⑬ 23:00 US December 1-Year Inflation Rate Expectations Preliminary
⑭ 23:00 US December University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Preliminary
⑮ Next Day 01:00 Federal Reserve Harker Speaks on Economic Outlook
⑯ Next Day 02:00 US Oil Rig Count as of December 6
⑰ Next Day 02:00 Federal Reserve Daly Speaks
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【Wan Bing said】
The monthly seasonally adjusted U.S. non-agricultural data will be revealed soon! This data is released once a month, usually on the first Friday of each month. Its importance is top-notch and has a profound impact on the price movement of the pie at night.
At present, this important moment is less than seven hours away. During this period, the market is expected to remain relatively stable and wait for the official release of data before making a decision.
In addition, today coincides with "Black Friday", a day known for extreme movements, and experienced investors understand this tacitly. There are even rumors that a black swan event may occur unexpectedly again! If you are interested in this, you may wish to get in touch with Wan Bing and we will make a careful layout for you in advance!
The monthly seasonally adjusted U.S. non-agricultural data will be revealed soon! This data is released once a month, usually on the first Friday of each month. Its importance is top-notch and has a profound impact on the price movement of the pie at night.
At present, this important moment is less than seven hours away. During this period, the market is expected to remain relatively stable and wait for the official release of data before making a decision.
In addition, today coincides with "Black Friday", a day known for extreme movements, and experienced investors understand this tacitly. There are even rumors that a black swan event may occur unexpectedly again! If you are interested in this, you may wish to get in touch with Wan Bing and we will make a careful layout for you in advance!
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According to Coinglass data, on December 6th, Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline, with a total of 210,800 liquidations across the network in the past 24 hours, amounting to a total liquidation value of $1.09 billion. From the liquidation chart and liquidation statistics, the following characteristics and reasons can be analyzed:
Liquidation Chart Analysis:
• Number and Amount of Liquidations: In the past 24 hours, the number of liquidations across the network reached 210,800, with a total liquidation amount of $1.09 billion, indicating a large scale of liquidations, reflecting the severe impact of market volatility on Bitcoin investors.
• Market Changes: There are increasing short positions, with sellers controlling the market, leading to continued price declines.
Liquidation Statistics Analysis:
• Long Position Liquidations: $414 million, which is $137 million more than short position liquidations, indicating that those who bought long positions have suffered greater losses.
• Reasons for Liquidation: a. Leverage Trading: Leveraging Bitcoin for trading amplifies both gains and losses. If the market trend is unfavorable, liquidations can easily occur. b. Long-term Holders Selling: Those who have held Bitcoin for 6 to 12 months choose to sell when they see the price rise, increasing selling pressure in the market. c. Capital Migration: Some investors are moving funds to other cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum, leading to a decrease in the capital within the Bitcoin market, causing price drops.
Liquidation Chart Analysis:
• Number and Amount of Liquidations: In the past 24 hours, the number of liquidations across the network reached 210,800, with a total liquidation amount of $1.09 billion, indicating a large scale of liquidations, reflecting the severe impact of market volatility on Bitcoin investors.
• Market Changes: There are increasing short positions, with sellers controlling the market, leading to continued price declines.
Liquidation Statistics Analysis:
• Long Position Liquidations: $414 million, which is $137 million more than short position liquidations, indicating that those who bought long positions have suffered greater losses.
• Reasons for Liquidation: a. Leverage Trading: Leveraging Bitcoin for trading amplifies both gains and losses. If the market trend is unfavorable, liquidations can easily occur. b. Long-term Holders Selling: Those who have held Bitcoin for 6 to 12 months choose to sell when they see the price rise, increasing selling pressure in the market. c. Capital Migration: Some investors are moving funds to other cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum, leading to a decrease in the capital within the Bitcoin market, causing price drops.
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【12.6 Wan Bing Morning Silk Road】
Bitcoin over 96,000, looking at 98,000-100,000.
Ethereum 3,740-3,760, looking at 3,900-4,000.
After the price of Bitcoin soared to 104,000 USD yesterday, it began to decline. After the trading session in the U.S. market, the price of Bitcoin plummeted, dropping to nearly 90,000 USD.
This kind of plummeting phenomenon is the first time in Bitcoin's history, and the washout is too obvious; describing it as a 'Heaven and Earth Needle' is just about right.
Currently, from the 4H line technical indicator chart, the running channel continues to form a downward opening state, with prices testing weak recovery up and down. The short selling volume is arranged in a shrinking consolidation, and the moving average has a certain retracement indication. In the small cycle shape, it continues to show weakness, entering a phase of oscillation and repair. Therefore, we can start to lay out long positions at low levels and wait for the rise.
Bitcoin over 96,000, looking at 98,000-100,000.
Ethereum 3,740-3,760, looking at 3,900-4,000.
After the price of Bitcoin soared to 104,000 USD yesterday, it began to decline. After the trading session in the U.S. market, the price of Bitcoin plummeted, dropping to nearly 90,000 USD.
This kind of plummeting phenomenon is the first time in Bitcoin's history, and the washout is too obvious; describing it as a 'Heaven and Earth Needle' is just about right.
Currently, from the 4H line technical indicator chart, the running channel continues to form a downward opening state, with prices testing weak recovery up and down. The short selling volume is arranged in a shrinking consolidation, and the moving average has a certain retracement indication. In the small cycle shape, it continues to show weakness, entering a phase of oscillation and repair. Therefore, we can start to lay out long positions at low levels and wait for the rise.
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【12.6 Wanbing Midnight Silk Road】
In the hourly chart, after a violent surge in the morning, the price consolidated at a high level, and in the evening, it fell close to 3000 points, but still held above the significant 100,000 mark. The likelihood of breaking below this level in the short term is low. The daily chart shows a long upper shadow, indicating strong resistance above; however, the market trend has not ended. If stability can be achieved in the future, there is hope to regain lost ground, making it suitable to establish long positions when prices are lower.
Operational Guidance:
• Bitcoin: When the price pulls back to the range of 100,200 to 100,500, consider entering long, targeting 103,000 points.
• Ethereum: If the price pulls back to the range of 3,860 to 3,880, consider entering long, targeting 4,000 points.
In the hourly chart, after a violent surge in the morning, the price consolidated at a high level, and in the evening, it fell close to 3000 points, but still held above the significant 100,000 mark. The likelihood of breaking below this level in the short term is low. The daily chart shows a long upper shadow, indicating strong resistance above; however, the market trend has not ended. If stability can be achieved in the future, there is hope to regain lost ground, making it suitable to establish long positions when prices are lower.
Operational Guidance:
• Bitcoin: When the price pulls back to the range of 100,200 to 100,500, consider entering long, targeting 103,000 points.
• Ethereum: If the price pulls back to the range of 3,860 to 3,880, consider entering long, targeting 4,000 points.
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News on December 5: As Bitcoin breaks the $100,000 mark, Professor Luo Mei from Tsinghua University has launched a 6-hour revealing course on Bitcoin titled "Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies," which has garnered widespread attention and successfully reached the seventh spot on Douyin's trending search list.
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Nigel Green of financial services consulting firm deVere Group expects that after breaking through psychological barriers, Bitcoin may experience a short-term sell-off. "It's natural for some investors to lock in profits after such a significant rise in such a short time. This sell-off may only be temporary, and then Bitcoin's momentum will further strengthen, potentially soaring to $120,000 as early as the first quarter of next year." "Bitcoin's extraordinary performance comes as the market anticipates that Trump 2.0 will create a more favorable regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies. Investors are betting that the incoming U.S. president will support the stance on cryptocurrencies."
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Bitcoin mining company MARA Holdings, Inc. announced that the issuance of its 0.00% convertible preferred notes maturing in 2031 will end on December 4, 2024. The total principal amount of the notes sold in this issuance is $850 million. MARA also granted the initial purchasers the option to purchase an additional $150 million in principal amount of the notes within 13 days from the date of the initial issuance.
After deducting the initial purchasers' discounts and commissions, but before deducting the estimated issuance expenses payable by MARA, the net proceeds from the sale of the notes are approximately $835.1 million. MARA expects to use approximately $48 million of the net proceeds from the sale of the notes to repurchase approximately $51 million in principal amount of its existing convertible notes maturing in 2026 through privately negotiated transactions, with the remaining net proceeds to be used for purchasing more Bitcoin and general corporate purposes, which may include working capital, strategic acquisitions, expansion of existing assets, and repayment of additional debt and other outstanding liabilities.
After deducting the initial purchasers' discounts and commissions, but before deducting the estimated issuance expenses payable by MARA, the net proceeds from the sale of the notes are approximately $835.1 million. MARA expects to use approximately $48 million of the net proceeds from the sale of the notes to repurchase approximately $51 million in principal amount of its existing convertible notes maturing in 2026 through privately negotiated transactions, with the remaining net proceeds to be used for purchasing more Bitcoin and general corporate purposes, which may include working capital, strategic acquisitions, expansion of existing assets, and repayment of additional debt and other outstanding liabilities.
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A giant whale (possibly Abraxas Capital Management) deposited 5,433 ETH (approximately $21.27 million) to Binance and Bitfinex.
Within 13 hours, he deposited a total of 11,753 ETH (approximately $45.79 million) to the aforementioned exchanges. His average entry fee was $2,968, resulting in an estimated realized profit of $10.9 million.
Within 13 hours, he deposited a total of 11,753 ETH (approximately $45.79 million) to the aforementioned exchanges. His average entry fee was $2,968, resulting in an estimated realized profit of $10.9 million.
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Geoff Kendrick, the global digital assets research director at Standard Chartered Bank, stated in a report that this year's Bitcoin capital flows are mainly driven by institutional investors, and this situation is expected to continue. After breaking $100,000, Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025. So far this year, institutions have purchased 683,000 Bitcoins through US spot ETFs, and MicroStrategy has bought 245,000 Bitcoins, a significant portion of which was acquired after the US presidential election. Kendrick mentioned, 'By 2025, we expect institutional inflows to remain at or exceed the pace of 2024.' Furthermore, the proportion of Bitcoin ETFs currently held by pension funds is relatively small, but it is expected to increase by 2025 due to changes in US regulatory policies.
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In the past month, 9 Ethereum ETFs have accelerated their accumulation of ETH, totaling 362,474 ETH (approximately $1.42 billion). This is an increase of 4,363% compared to last month, when only 8,121 ETH (about $31.8 million) were added. The price of ETH has risen by 64% in the past month.
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The nominal value of approximately $2.885 billion in BTC options and ETH options will expire tomorrow. Among them, the nominal value of the soon-to-expire BTC options reaches $2.3 billion, with a Put Call Ratio of 1.08 and a maximum pain point of $96,000; the nominal value of the soon-to-expire ETH options reaches $585 million, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.53 and a maximum pain point of $3,450.
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BlackRock's official update on Ethereum ETF holdings, as of December 4th, the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF holds 760,978.68230 ETH, valued at approximately $2,947,042,142.98.
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