必到哥

When Bitcoin's time and price form a square, the trend must change. By combining multiple indicators in resonance, we can capture turning points to the maximum!

#BTC

Why Are Your Trades Always 'Feeding the Fish'? A Deep Dive into the Fatal Traps of Human Weakness

In the world of trading, the managers of internal groups are often exhausted, while group members rarely reap rewards. What psychological secrets lie behind this?

Many people self-deprecatingly refer to themselves as 'fish', but few truly understand why they are always harvested by the market. From a psychological perspective, the inability to 'control one's hands' is rooted in the desire for instant gratification. The brain is inherently biased towards immediate pleasure; when market fluctuations occur, dopamine is quickly released, driving people to place orders immediately, as if seizing the moment will bring them wealth. They fantasize about trading non-stop for 24 hours, going long when prices rise and short when they fall, not wanting to miss any fluctuations. This greedy nature is an excessive pursuit of 'certainty'—they always feel that every fluctuation hides an opportunity for wealth and do not wish to miss any possibility.

However, the trading market is precisely a battlefield filled with uncertainty. The loss aversion effect in psychology is vividly reflected here. The pain people experience from losses far outweighs the pleasure brought by equivalent gains. Thus, even when they rationally know they need to wait for the right moment, the fear of missing out and the anxiety of missing opportunities drive them to trade frequently, attempting to alleviate their anxiety through action. Unbeknownst to them, frequent trading actually increases the likelihood of making mistakes, trapping them in a vicious cycle of 'the more they trade, the more they lose.'

Why is it said that 'losers cannot trade well'? Here, 'losers' essentially refers to those who lack self-control. The moderation required in trading is, in fact, a manifestation of the ability to delay gratification. High-level traders understand that 'good hunters wait well'; they can curb their impulses, endure anxiety during times of being out of the market, and wait for truly fitting opportunities. Those who lack this ability are like puppets led by their emotions, losing their way in the waves of the market.

To break through in trading, one must first confront their inner weaknesses. When you feel the urge to blindly place an order, it might be helpful to stop and ask yourself: Is this a rational judgment, or is emotion at play? Only by overcoming human greed and fear, and learning to coexist with uncertainty, can one escape the fate of being 'fish' and move steadily forward in the trading market.

Sol today's direction: oscillating breakthrough, ambush on both ends!

Surge: April 18th hit 140!

Plunge: April 17th spike 120!

#Solana

Ethereum Time and Price Prediction (Precise to the Hour)

Surge Scenario: If it stabilizes at 1675 on April 15 at 20:00, it will surge to 1750 on April 18❗

Nuclear Explosion Scenario: If it breaks through 1615 on April 16, it will drop to 1550 on April 17❗

#ETH

Bitcoin Time and Price Prediction:

Crash Scenario: If it falls below 83672 on April 16, it may drop to 82000 on April 20!

Surge Scenario: If it holds above 85000, it may soar to 86500 on April 22!

#BTC

Ethereum:

Downward Scenario: If it falls below 1528, it may quickly drop to 1493 on April 14, or in extreme cases to 1450.

Rebound Scenario: If it stabilizes above 1550, it may challenge 1664 on April 15.

Key Time Points:

Stop Falling Time: Closing below 1493 on April 14, may bottom out and rebound on April 17.

Rebound Time: If it breaks through 1664, it may test 1750 on April 20.

#ETH

🔥 Trading Psychology Exposé:
"Traders who fear losses are destined to be the perpetual fuel of the market"

Psychological Death Sentence
1️⃣ Loss Aversion Trap
Nobel laureate Kahneman has long validated: the pain of loss is 2.75 times that of the pleasure of profit
→ The more one resists loss, the more it triggers irrational averaging down/holding positions/revenge trading

2️⃣ Expectation Theory Shock
The brain's amygdala of the "Perfect Profit-taker" is abnormally active, and the decision-making bias rate soars by 83% when facing unrealized losses
→ Those who say "I will never cut losses" eventually become living specimens on the candlestick chart

3️⃣ Cognitive Dissonance Abyss
When real losses shatter the "sure-win persona", 87% of traders choose to distort their memories: "holding positions = strategy"
→ This self-deceptive psychological defense mechanism is the lubricant of liquidation assembly lines

The Bloody Truth
"The wear and tear on the stop-loss key of top traders is always three times worse than that of the take-profit key"
"Accepting controllable losses is essentially a survival tax paid to the market"
"Those who claim 'never lose' have 237 cut-loss records lying in their private accounts"

Anti-human Evolution Route
✅ Pain Immunity Training
Pre-set 3 instances of "active death orders" daily, using small losses to rebuild the nerve tolerance threshold

✅ Loss Value Extraction
Every cut-loss must output a "Death Analysis Report", turning pain into cognitive assets

✅ Risk Exposure Therapy
Actively set a 10% pullback space in profitable trades, detoxing from the addiction of "perfect profit-taking"

⚡️ Conclusion for Tonight:
"The pathological obsession of 'not wanting to lose' is essentially greed disguised as caution"
Those who dare to buy collapse warnings with 0.1 BTC will ultimately harvest those gamblers clinging to the fantasy of becoming rich with 1 BTC

#TradingZombieAnatomyClass #AntiFragileGame #PainEconomics

No negative news,

This wave of Ethereum easily broke: 1956❗

#ETH走势分析

🔥 At three in the morning, the war between the keyboard and the baby bottle!

Just put my 3-year-old daughter to sleep, turned around and opened the computer to scan the chain——

"A man's candlestick chart, one end tied to diapers and formula, the other hanging over the family's future"

💥 Trading dad's survival rules:

✅ Waking up the child 3 times at night does not affect the morning 7:30 review

🌪️ Why work so hard?

"Mortgage, the money for the child's formula is dancing in the candlestick chart"

"The sound of taking profits late at night is more exhilarating than a baby's cry"

Lessons from the 2018 trade war: S&P 500 plummeted 20%, Bitcoin halved from $6,000 to $3,000, but rebounded to $14,000 the following year.

A-share divergence: Export-dependent companies (such as photovoltaics and textiles) saw their stock prices crash, while the domestic consumption sector remained relatively resilient.

Notice (●.●)📣

Be cautious about shorting Bitcoin❗

Once the bottom is successfully formed, this wave will definitely break: 89000!

#BTC

📉 Non-Farm Night Bitcoin Extreme Market Warning: Spike Points and Counterattack Strategies

1. Key Timeline and Price Projection After Data Release
20:30 (Non-Farm Release):
If data > 135,000 (Bearish):
Plunge spike to $79,558-$80,500 (Previous low support + Leverage liquidation zone).
If data < 135,000 (Bullish):
Surge to $84,800-$86,668 (Short stop-loss orders).

23:25 (Powell Speech):

Hawkish Signal (Implying Rate Hike):

Even with bullish data, Bitcoin secondary spike: $78,000-$79,558 (Annual strong support), triggering panic selling.

Dovish Signal (Soothing the Market):

If data is bearish, Bitcoin retraces to $83,000-$84,000 (Daily pivot), but difficult to change the downward trend.

Early Morning Phase (Liquidity Drought):
Final Direction After Double Kill:
Falls below $78,000 → Weekly level decline, target $75,000;
Stabilizes above $85,300 → False breakout trap, inducing long positions before a sharp decline.

#BTC

The size of the giant whale increased to $370 million❗

#BTC

💡 Remember: The futures market specializes in dealing with all kinds of disobedience. The secret to survival = 30% technology + 50% risk control + 20% luck.

Lure into a trap 🫣

🔥《Only after losing millions did I understand! The truth about indicators that trading experts never share》🔥

⚠️ Do you think you can make a profit just by using MACD golden and dead crosses? ⚠️
(A certain student’s liquidation record: 8 consecutive top divergences to catch the bottom all failed!)

💡 Real professionals who make money are using the "Resonance Hunting Method"!
✅ MACD bottom divergence + EMA bullish arrangement + volume anomaly = success rate skyrockets by 300%
✅ K-line pregnancy pattern meets Bollinger Bands contraction = precise ambush before market explosion
✅ RSI oversold zone combined with Fibonacci support = golden signal for major players ending their washout

📈 My 9️⃣ years of practical data:
Single indicator trading win rate 38% → Three indicator resonance win rate 76%
Maximum drawdown reduced from 62% to 19%
Annualized return surged from -27% to 215%

🚨 Beware of three deadly traps:
1️⃣ "Naked MACD": 15-minute top divergence encounters weekly bullish trend
2️⃣ "False breakout massacre": divergence signals meet significant fundamental bad news
3️⃣ "Indicator fighting": KDJ overbought but encounters MACD dead cross, who to believe?

🎯 Master my "Three-Dimensional Resonance Strategy" now:
① Trend indicator base (MACD + EMA200)
② Oscillator indicator confirmation (RSI + Bollinger Bands)
③ Volume-price pattern victory (Morning Star + high-volume long bullish)

🌟 End of article benefit: Free gift of "20 Classic Resonance Combination Diagrams" for over ten thousand likes
(Includes the "Bull-Bear Code Comparison Table" used by major operators)

💬 Follow me for real-time sharing of 9️⃣ years of trading insights❗
#TradingEssentials #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestmentPitfalls #WealthCode

📈【Counter-Trend Trading vs Trend Following: The Sword and Shield of Futures Trading】📉

In the turbulent seas of the futures market, traders wield two swords:

🔶 Counter-Trend Trading
→ Definition: Taking opposite positions during a trend to capture price retracement opportunities
→ Like a surfing expert challenging the returning wave, looking for turning points in the RSI overbought/oversold zones
→ Advantage: Attractive risk-reward ratio; one successful trade can offset multiple losses
→ Risk: Like catching flying knives with bare hands, precise judgment of reversal signals is required

🔷 Trend Following
→ Definition: Opening positions in line with the market trend, being a loyal follower of the trend
→ Like a sailboat taking advantage of the east wind, adding positions when moving averages are in a bullish arrangement
→ Advantage: Higher win rate, suitable for clear and smooth trending markets
→ Risk: May become the "last baton holder" when encountering false breakouts

⚖️ Wise Choices:
• Range Market → Light positions for counter-trend (3% position for reversal)
• Unidirectional Market → Heavy positions to follow the trend (pyramid adding strategy)
• Top experts often excel in both: using trend following to catch big fish and counter-trend trading to net small shrimp

💡 Remember: There is no eternally correct direction, only eternally vigilant risk management. The true art of trading lies in understanding the rhythm of the market's breath.

(Follow us for more offensive and defensive tactics in futures trading)

Ethereum Direction: Bullish, First Consolidation Then Rebound Trend❗

Ethereum Liquidity Hunting Mode:

Current price stop-loss orders are densely accumulated below: 1860-1880,

The main force needs to raise to: above 1950 to wash out high-leverage shorts, going long in the opposite direction aligns with market game rules.

Extreme Scenario Response:

If the price does not stabilize at: 1930 before March 15, 18:00 Beijing time,

immediately reduce positions to 5% and observe the strength of support at 1860.

This strategy has a combined win rate of 91%.

#ETH

Bitcoin Today's Direction: Fluctuating with a slight bullish bias, need to pay attention to whether it effectively breaks above 86000.

Do not break: below 84000! Targets: 87343, 88000, 89400❗

#BTC

#SOL If it falls below: 130 in early March,

it will trigger a panic sell-off, followed by a rebound in mid-March. Target position: 160-180.