#LayerZero
Token Opening Price Prediction Analysis
In order to predict the price of the ZRO token when it is launched, we need to find the following data: expected FDV (full release value) and total supply of tokens. The total supply of ZRO tokens is 1 billion, so the price of ZRO when it is launched can be calculated by dividing FDV by total supply.
[Estimation method]
Reference $STRK
and $W
STRK
:
Raised: $282 million Valuation: $8 billion Launch FDV: $28 billion
W
Raised: $225 million Valuation: $2.5 billion Launch FDV: $17 billion
ZRO:
Raised: $263 million Valuation: $3 billion Launch FDV: To be estimated
By comparison, we can see that:
STRK's FDV is 3.5 times its valuation. W's issue price is 6.5 times its valuation.
Considering how bad the current market conditions are, we think it is reasonable for ZRO's FDV to be at least 2-3 times its $3 billion valuation, which means that ZRO's FDV could be between $6 billion and $9 billion.
【Price Prediction】
Based on the above analysis, we can predict the price of ZRO when it goes online:
$6 billion FDV = $6
$7 billion FDV = $7
$8 billion FDV = $8
$9 billion FDV = $9
Based on the above predictions, we can formulate the following investment strategy:
If the FDV is $5 billion or less, I will buy more. I will consider partial profit taking when the FDV reaches around $8 billion. When the FDV is between $15 billion and $20 billion, I will sell completely.
【Buy and sell strategy】
$5 or below: Buy
$8: Partially take profit
$15 to $20: Sell completely
The above analysis is compiled from the tweet of Twitter user @Axel_bitblaze69 for reference.