An article about position management written in March for your reference #仓位管理 #BTC走势分析 #PEPE创历史新高 #WIF

Position management 2024.3.17

Everyone will do the one-sided trend market, and everyone is making money lying down. The difference is how much you make. Making money in this market is like taking the elevator upstairs. Whether you move or not, you are going up. In the volatile market, in the falling market, there is no wind. Whether the pig can still fly depends on the position management. Good position management can allow us to wait until the next take-off. Poor position management can only lose our chips again and again in this volatile market, and the principal is getting less and less. When the wind blows, we can only sigh that I have also bought xx yuan of xx

The following is my own position management, with 1 100,000 yuan as an example, it may not be suitable for everyone, for reference only

In 10w, I will choose 40% of the position for deterministic Beta returns, and this part of the position is for long-term holding. This part of the position is just like what Mr. Kuang did in the previous article, directly hiding the amount and retracement, "watch it every day, and can't hold any increase in spot prices." This part of the position is held when the bull market appears extremely Fomo sentiment, such as the last round of 10 billion zoo, and the Fomo of more than ten times a day, and people outside the market can't hold back when they can't hold back. Clear the position, for example, Mr. Cai holds Stx, and the wizard buys Ckb, which is to buy Btc ecosystem B eta effect

20% of the positions will choose tracks with airdrop effects, such as modularization. After buying, they will eat the passive currency price increase on the one hand, and the airdrop share on the other hand

The remaining 20% ​​will be used as spot mobile positions, and 20% will be used as contract mobile positions. After the contract position makes money, it will be transferred to the spot immediately. After losing money, it will take a break for 1-2 days to re-order. If all the losses are lost, wait for the spot part of the profit to make up for the contract position, instead of selling the spot to continue to hold the contract

For mobile positions, my approach is,

The spot mobile position has a longer holding time, and only looks at the daily line to enter the market. When the increase exceeds 10%, it will be judged according to the K-line situation Continue to hold or sell to cash in, but when it exceeds 10%, you must stop loss in place to prevent being trapped and losing opportunity costs. Here are two examples. For example, PEPE. After PEPE's weekly line broke through, it actually fell by -14% on February 29. Many spot parties or long contracts will be washed away here, but looking at the trading volume, this is a large-volume breakthrough of the weekly line. After the large-scale trend suppression, it is normal for early profit-taking or being trapped to rush to sell. In fact, this decline looks like -14%, but judging from the trading volume of the previous K line, it is completely a K line with no volume.

For example, Sei

Sei has a continuous cross shadow when it rushed to the trend line 1.14 after reaching a new high on the daily line. In the previous period, it had been continuously increasing in volume when it was pulled to the trend line. It is time to leave when the volume increases in advance to the trend line and the cross shadow continues. The attached picture is a screenshot of the chat in the group at that time

For PEPE, I will choose to stop loss in place or even a small loss to gamble for a larger profit space, and for Sei, I will decisively take a dozen points to pocket and use the compound interest money to gamble the power of the trend

For the flexible position of the contract, in the volatile market, I will repeatedly play in the wild to make short-term profits, and leave after taking 3-5 points, without pattern, even if there is a high probability that it will continue to rise in the future, maintain trading discipline

Earn money in the volatile market The profit cushion taken is the wear and tear of trend trading. The trend does not come out at once. It requires us to use positions to feel it over and over again. Therefore, trend trading wears a lot. If there is no profit cushion, the mentality will be greatly affected. For example, this section of Jup. There were four false breakouts at the daily level, and there were more false fallbacks at the small level. If you did not do the previous four times, then you are likely to miss the fifth real breakthrough. For example, Ltc. After this breakthrough, not only did the daily level repeatedly break through falsely, but it also consolidated for more than a week. When it rose by 18% in subsequent volume, it deceived a lot of longs. Now there is a trend of continuing to fall back to the trend line. Trend trading does not mean that you wait for it to rise after buying, nor does it mean that you regret why you did not buy it when you saw PEPE Doge rise several times. For most people, they will sell it if they buy it. If you do contracts, it is strongly recommended to accumulate profit cushions in the short term before going to the pattern and then gambling on the trend. It is very helpful for the mentality of holding positions.