According to Jinshi Data on September 30, the latest survey of economists showed that if the Federal Reserve makes a mistake in setting interest rates in the final stage of its fight against inflation, it will be the main risk that may weaken the economy in the coming year.

A recent survey of 32 professional forecasters by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) showed that 39% of them believed that "monetary policy mistakes" were "the biggest downside risk facing the U.S. economy over the next 12 months."

In contrast, 23% of respondents believe that the outcome of the U.S. presidential election on November 5 is the biggest downside risk, and 23% believe that intensified conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East are the biggest downside risks.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech is expected to detail the considerations behind the Fed's expected series of interest rate cuts for the rest of this year and into 2025.