The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 92.2%.

According to Jinshi Data, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 92.2%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 7.8%.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by September is 0.0%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 90.4%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 9.4%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 75 basis points is 0.2%.