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Crypto飞哥
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Has the market dropped to the right level??? The last drop???
The overall trend is clear; even if it drops further, it will move towards a bull market. The weekly chart has clearly formed a double top, while the daily chart is currently approaching the bottom.
1. There are currently four types of people in the market: 1. Bulls continue to see a bull market, 2. Bears are now strongly bearish here, 3. Many believe the bull market is over, 4. Many are afraid that the bull market is over.
2. How to make all four lose money is the path that the main force most wants to take.
1. Bulls continue to be bullish, but they won't chase after it; they follow the principle that a drop is just a chance to acquire assets (almost fully invested). The bullish stronghold is at 85000, so when the bulls reach 85000, they will strongly buy, so either it doesn't reach 85000 and quickly bounces back, or it quickly breaks below 85000, wipes out the bulls, then bounces back and observes while moving.
2. Bears are strongly bearish, but as long as it breaks the previous high, the bears will immediately cut losses, so the bears here are not firm; if it rises, they will turn into bulls. (At most one-third position) So even if there's a pullback here, it's highly unlikely to be a high point; the bears will be scared and won't dare to short, turning into bulls again as it drops because the main force wants opponents that can be wiped out. The main force can control the short- to mid-term trend but cannot control the long-term trend, or rather, a long-term bull market is a win-win situation.
3. Those who think the bull market is over do not dare to short with a large position here; they will only chase shorts as it goes down. To make this group lose money, there needs to be a sharp drop that makes them unable to resist chasing shorts. When this group becomes firmly bearish, it is basically the time for a counterfeit bull market. (Almost empty positions)
4. Those who are afraid the bull market is over will chase after it rises and short after it falls, so here we will see ups and downs, making them lose at least twice. (Large position counterfeit). There will definitely still be a bull market; the best way to ensure they miss out on the big upward trend is to make them sell off when it rises, waiting for a bear market to take over.
Let’s take a look at this wave of market activity in January, which rebounded to 102800, successfully stopping the bears' losses, then dropped to a low of 91500,
successfully wiping out the bulls. Those who think the bull market is over are now even more convinced that the bull market is finished, basically holding empty positions and waiting. Those afraid of the bull market ending experienced a drop in the counterfeit market in December, followed by a rebound in January, then another drop, washing out the spot traders who are now basically disheartened. Currently, all four types of people in the market are mostly losing, just a matter of how much they are losing, and the main force's goal of washing out positions is essentially achieved ✅.
I judge that this is not the bottom, but it is not far from the bottom.
The overall trend is clear; even if it drops further, it will move towards a bull market. The weekly chart has clearly formed a double top, while the daily chart is currently approaching the bottom.
1. There are currently four types of people in the market: 1. Bulls continue to see a bull market, 2. Bears are now strongly bearish here, 3. Many believe the bull market is over, 4. Many are afraid that the bull market is over.
2. How to make all four lose money is the path that the main force most wants to take.
1. Bulls continue to be bullish, but they won't chase after it; they follow the principle that a drop is just a chance to acquire assets (almost fully invested). The bullish stronghold is at 85000, so when the bulls reach 85000, they will strongly buy, so either it doesn't reach 85000 and quickly bounces back, or it quickly breaks below 85000, wipes out the bulls, then bounces back and observes while moving.
2. Bears are strongly bearish, but as long as it breaks the previous high, the bears will immediately cut losses, so the bears here are not firm; if it rises, they will turn into bulls. (At most one-third position) So even if there's a pullback here, it's highly unlikely to be a high point; the bears will be scared and won't dare to short, turning into bulls again as it drops because the main force wants opponents that can be wiped out. The main force can control the short- to mid-term trend but cannot control the long-term trend, or rather, a long-term bull market is a win-win situation.
3. Those who think the bull market is over do not dare to short with a large position here; they will only chase shorts as it goes down. To make this group lose money, there needs to be a sharp drop that makes them unable to resist chasing shorts. When this group becomes firmly bearish, it is basically the time for a counterfeit bull market. (Almost empty positions)
4. Those who are afraid the bull market is over will chase after it rises and short after it falls, so here we will see ups and downs, making them lose at least twice. (Large position counterfeit). There will definitely still be a bull market; the best way to ensure they miss out on the big upward trend is to make them sell off when it rises, waiting for a bear market to take over.
Let’s take a look at this wave of market activity in January, which rebounded to 102800, successfully stopping the bears' losses, then dropped to a low of 91500,
successfully wiping out the bulls. Those who think the bull market is over are now even more convinced that the bull market is finished, basically holding empty positions and waiting. Those afraid of the bull market ending experienced a drop in the counterfeit market in December, followed by a rebound in January, then another drop, washing out the spot traders who are now basically disheartened. Currently, all four types of people in the market are mostly losing, just a matter of how much they are losing, and the main force's goal of washing out positions is essentially achieved ✅.
I judge that this is not the bottom, but it is not far from the bottom.
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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