According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January is 93.1%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 6.9%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by March is 61.4%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 36.2%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 2.4%.