The economic situation in the United States is very complex, which indicates that the Federal Reserve's system is likely unable to adjust. The situation of stagflation in the 1970s may reoccur, during which a USDT crash event could happen, leading to USDT decoupling, with all currency pairs against the US dollar plummeting. The only way out is to exchange for USDT in advance, while using part of the funds to short USDT/BTC and USDC/BTC for a glimmer of hope.

A complex situation cannot simply be adjusted by raising or lowering interest rates, and the only outcome that can't be managed is a decline. A decrease in crude oil inventories and an increase in gasoline inventories present contradictory data; raising interest rates won't work, and lowering interest rates leads to inflation (raising oil prices). Lowering interest rates also doesn't work, as it leads to a poor economy (high gasoline inventories indicate a weak economy).

Looking back, the first round of relief funds and the increase in new jobs are also a contradictory set of data. The sales of used cars and automobiles also present contradictory data overall favoring interest rate hikes, as they indicate a strong economy with active transaction volumes.

The mortgage data from the real estate market, on the other hand, suggests a case for lowering interest rates (which is very weak).

In summary, in a situation so complex that cannot be resolved by the tools of lowering or raising interest rates, a decline will definitely resolve it!