According to Xinhua News Agency, New York, January 7 - Judge Ellen Gesmer of the New York State Supreme Court's appellate division rejected a request from the elected president Trump's side to temporarily suspend the ruling in the 'hush money' case. This means that on January 10, local time, Trump must accept the ruling in the 'hush money' case as planned. However, Trump and his legal team stated that they will continue to seek legal avenues to delay or cancel the sentencing.
Possible sentencing outcomes
New York State Judge Juan Merchan has stated that he is not inclined to sentence Trump to prison but to impose 'unconditional release.' However, the final ruling remains full of uncertainty. If the penalty is light, such as fines or probation, Trump may downplay its impact and continue to perform presidential duties, but will still face ongoing pressure from domestic political opponents and public opinion. If a longer term of confinement or severe penalty is imposed, even if not executed immediately due to presidential immunity, it will trigger political turmoil in the United States and exacerbate political opposition and social division.
Subsequent impacts
- Political aspects: The sentencing issue of Trump will deepen the rift between the two parties in the United States, making political opposition more acute, complicating internal government cooperation, and obstructing policy formulation and implementation. The United States has always considered itself a 'beacon of democracy,' and this incident may lead the international community to question the American political system and the rule of law, damaging its international image and influence, and affecting its leadership position in international affairs and its cooperative relationships with other countries.
- Legal aspects: Trump and his supporters may use their political influence to pressure the judicial system, interfering with case hearings and verdicts, challenging the independence and fairness of American justice, and triggering a crisis of trust in the judiciary. Moreover, regardless of the January 10 ruling outcome, Trump and his legal team may continue to appeal, extending the legal process of the case, consuming a large amount of judicial resources, and potentially affecting the hearings of other related cases, testing the efficiency and stability of the American judicial system.
- Social aspects: If Trump's supporters are dissatisfied with the verdict, it may trigger large-scale protests or even violent conflicts, threatening social order and public safety, putting pressure on local communities and law enforcement. This incident will also exacerbate social division and opposition in the United States, intensifying conflicts between groups with different political positions and values, reducing social cohesion, and damaging trust and cooperation among the public, resulting in long-term negative impacts on social stability and harmonious development in the United States.
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