Before Trump takes office, how will the market go next?
The expectation of a rate cut in January was hit, mainly because the labor market and ISM manufacturing PMI data were not very strong. Although the market is quite pessimistic now, this pessimism may be a good opportunity to enter the market. Thursday's unemployment rate data will determine how the market will go. This pessimism may continue until the final result comes out on January 29.
If there is really no rate cut in January, and the expectation of a rate hike has not returned (for example, inflation has not rebounded, and the labor market is not tight), then every time the market falls, it is a good time for us to build positions in batches.
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