An analysis as fierce as a tiger, the rise and fall all depend on Trump.

During the Trump 1.0 era, a humorous poem circulated in the capital circle:

"An analysis as fierce as a tiger, the rise and fall all depend on Trump. If the operation fails without Trump, sooner or later one will become a fool."

With only two weeks left until Trump 2.0 officially takes office, the global capital markets have once again felt his influence.

On the evening of January 7, global capital markets experienced widespread fluctuations. European and American stock markets rose across the board, the FTSE A50 index surged more than 1%, the dollar index fell, non-dollar currencies rose, and the renminbi jumped by 300 points.

This volatility stemmed from a report by the Washington Post, which stated that the Trump team is reworking the tariff policy, marking a significant shift in the tariff plan promised during the 2024 election. Trump had promised a universal tariff of 10% to 25% on all imported goods to the U.S., but informed sources revealed that the team is considering narrowing the scope of tariffs, focusing only on national security and economic security fields.

The new tariff policy will focus on areas that Trump plans to bring back to the U.S., such as the defense and military industry, medical and pharmaceutical manufacturing chains, as well as new energy industry chains like batteries, rare earth elements, and solar panels.

However, the report from the Washington Post did not last long, as Trump quickly denied the leak on social media, asserting that the tariff policy remains unchanged and that he is still the only decision-maker in the U.S.

The global capital markets experienced intense fluctuations for a time, but were quickly brought back to normal by Trump's denial.

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