Cryptocurrency Investment Strategy: Waiting for the Right Moment According to Bull and Bear Cycles

According to the cyclical patterns of the cryptocurrency market, we are currently in the later stages of the fourth bull market.

The cryptocurrency market operates on a 4-year cycle: 3 years of bear market followed by 1 year of bull market. The first 8 months of the bull market are often characterized by a washout decline, followed by 2 months of significant gains, and finally 2 months of peak formation.

This round of the bull market began around October 2023, and we are now in a "halftime" period, with approximately 5 months left until the explosive phase, which is expected to occur from February to May, concluding around July 2025. However, this is merely an observation based on past patterns and not a definitive conclusion.

The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, requiring rapid increases to maintain the vitality of the market cap; thus, within the 4-year cycle, the true explosive period lasts only 3 to 4 months, and missing it can lead to losses.

The bear market will eliminate worthless projects and speculators. Besides BTC and ETH, it is recommended to liquidate other cryptocurrencies during the bear market, as most struggle to survive the cycle.

Currently, the wise move for investors is to patiently wait for the bull market to erupt, avoiding blind operations, and remaining inactive is advisable.

If you have already made your position allocation and have confidence in your chosen projects, minor adjustments can be made, but avoid recklessly changing heavily invested positions to stand firm in the cryptocurrency market.

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