A quiet environment allows for continuous contemplation. Currently, there is a deep game of divergence in the market, which is also confusing. Bitcoin is constantly fluctuating here. Some are bullish, while others are bearish, with significant divergence between bulls and bears, and some even insulting each other. Since March this year, the correlation between Bitcoin and Ethereum altcoins has actually weakened. Especially when Bitcoin rises, Ethereum altcoins tend to decline instead of rise. Altcoins have basically not experienced any sustained bull markets. Therefore, it's essential to analyze Bitcoin and altcoins separately. Here, we mainly analyze Bitcoin.