Market view clash: the battle between bottom-fishing and wait-and-see
The current market's views on future market trends are divided into two camps, each with its own logical support:
Viewpoint 1: The market has bottomed out, and it is time to increase positions
• Core logic:
• The market has been adjusted for a long time and sentiment is low, but on-chain data and capital flows show obvious signs of bottom accumulation.
• The low valuation of altcoins provides an opportunity for oversold rebounds, especially after the capital rotation of mainstream coins (such as Bitcoin).
• Bitcoin is expected to challenge a new high of $120,000 in the next bull market.
• Support points:
• Historical cycle: After each big drop, the market has ushered in a strong rebound.
• Institutional layout: Large institutions such as Grayscale and BlackRock have continued to increase their holdings of mainstream coins, indicating confidence in the long-term prospects.
Viewpoint 2: Market risks still exist, so wait and see
• Core logic:
• Macroeconomic uncertainties still exist, such as the Fed's interest rate hike policy, which may lead to market capital outflows.
• Bitcoin's recent rebound may only be a technical correction, and may not form a real trend of rising.
• Support points:
• Low trading volume: reflects insufficient market participation and is difficult to support a strong rebound.
• Severe differentiation of altcoins: some projects have broken through, but the overall market sentiment has not yet fully recovered.
Suggestions:
1. Build positions in batches: If you agree with the bottoming point of view, you can prioritize the layout of mainstream coins (such as BTC, ETH), and pay attention to high-quality altcoins in popular tracks.
2. Be cautious: If you are conservative, you can wait for further confirmation of market volume and trends before intervening.
Although there are differences in market views, the direction and trend of funds will ultimately determine the direction of the market. Only by responding rationally can we find opportunities in uncertainty! $BTC