Since the Federal Reserve announced the interest rate and the number of potential rate cuts for next year on December 18, it has triggered a global financial market sell-off. The last two days of the month are also critical for this year's closing battle. Currently, after the update of the weekly K, Bitcoin's price is again running below the MA5 daily moving average, with the 10-day moving average showing a slight upward trend. Although the MACD and KDJ indicators still show bullish upward sentiment, trading volume has started to slow down. The decline of the MA5 daily moving average has further hindered the price increase. From a weekly K perspective, Bitcoin cannot stabilize above the MA5 weekly moving average, which is around 98500-100000. Therefore, in the month before the New Year, a range oscillation downtrend will continue. If it can stabilize above the 98500-100000 line, the upward channel will open again.
Looking at Bitcoin from the 5-day and 3-day lines, it is still in a downward trend. When compressed to the daily level, the current MA5 and 10-day moving averages show a slight resonant downward trend. The MACD and KDJ indicators are in a bearish arrangement, and combined with the TD indicator, Bitcoin at the current daily level tends to show a slight oscillation downtrend.
Currently, on the 4-hour line, the price is near the lower Bollinger Band, and the MACD and KDJ indicators show a bearish oscillation downward trend. Looking at the hourly line, Bitcoin tends to oscillate in a small range during the day, with resistance at the high point around 94500-96000 and support at the low point around 92500-92000. Only if the bearish pressure breaks below the 92500-92000 line will the lower space open again. Judging from the larger direction, my personal view is that during the day until evening, as long as Bitcoin's rebound cannot effectively break through the resistance at the high point of 94500-96000, the price will again oscillate downwards, and dropping below 90000 is just a matter of time. For intraday operations, my personal perspective is still focused on short-term fluctuations, with a focus on high short positions during rebounds, guided by real-time advice.
Operation suggestion: Bitcoin: short at 94500-95500. Target: 93200-92500. Stop loss at 95900.
Ethereum's recent trend basically follows Bitcoin, but the short-term market has shown good resistance to declines, resulting in a tendency for the market to adjust in a sideways range. The resistance at the high point is around 3560-3600, which is also a strong resistance at the weekly K level. If the market fails to stabilize above the 3560-3600 line in the next two days, the price is expected to move in a boxed range adjustment. The support at the low point is around 3200-3110. For intraday operations, my personal view is still focused on short-term fluctuations, with a focus on high short positions during rebounds.
Operation suggestion: Ethereum: short at 3450-3490. Target: 3390-3310. Stop loss at 3525.
In the short term, let's first see here; updates will continue in the future.#2025比特币价格预测 #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？ 