Technical analysis:

  1. Intraday trend:

    • From the 4-hour candlestick chart, SOL recently rebounded from around 175 to close to 200, indicating strong rebound momentum in the short term, but is being suppressed by the upper MA30 moving average (around 198-199).

    • The MA7 moving average has turned upwards, providing short-term support to the price, but the MA100 moving average still shows a downward trend, indicating a generally weak movement.

    • The MACD indicator does not show a clear golden cross signal; although the momentum bars have slowed down, they remain in a weak zone, indicating that the rebound is still of a short-term corrective nature.

  1. Hourly observation:

    • From the hourly chart, after the rebound, SOL oscillated at a high level, reaching a maximum of 201.77, and the current price is around 198.

    • The EMA short-term moving average support is at 197, but the price has repeatedly failed to break through 201, indicating heavy pressure above.

    • Bollinger Bands indicate that the short-term price oscillates within the range of 195-200. If it breaks the upper band near 201, it may further rebound to the range of 203-205.

  2. Yesterday's trend review:

    • Yesterday, SOL's overall performance was a fluctuating rebound, quickly rising after dipping to around 190, indicating strong buying support below.

    • After the price rose, it tested the 200 mark multiple times but failed to form an effective breakthrough, indicating strong bearish sentiment above. In the short term, it may enter a phase of high-level adjustment.

Today's operation strategy:

Short position strategy:

Entry range: 198-200

Take profit level one: 196

Take profit level two: 194

Stop loss level: 202

The current price has repeatedly failed to break through the pressure level of 201; one can lightly position a short position, targeting the lower support level of 195. If it breaks below 195, it may further retrace to 190.

From the overall trend, the rebound momentum weakened yesterday. Combining moving averages and Bollinger Band patterns, it is expected that in the short term, SOL may mainly oscillate and retreat below 200.

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