The current callback depth and trend, if compared to historical market conditions, are set relatively loosely, with the main goal being to obtain more data references.

Generally speaking, I have compared the current situation with eight key historical points in time.

The results show that one of the time points experienced a sharp decline within a month, entering a bear market, while another did not start its bear market until more than a month later. The other six time points continued to rise, only starting to consolidate at least a month later, with the strongest increase lasting for five months.

If the conditions are set stricter, the current situation is somewhat similar to the trend from December 2020 to January 2021.

Therefore, I still maintain the view that the bull market will continue.

Of course, all of this still needs to be observed. If the trends in January and February do not meet expectations, I will choose to reduce my position to half-BTC and maintain a wait-and-see approach.

As for the market in 2025, according to my current expectations, I do not plan to liquidate my holdings before the first half of the year.

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