Many people are skeptical about the arrival of a bull market, and quite a few do not believe that the altcoin season will appear again. However, this wave of the market might exceed everyone's expectations! $BTC $ETH
Regarding price predictions, there are many voices calling for 85,000, and equally many calling for 2,800. From yesterday’s strong capital inflow into Ethereum, we can see that the market does not want Ethereum to drop too deep, which makes many investors feel uneasy and hesitant to enter.
So, why is Aave able to rise so strongly? As the largest lending platform in the DeFi field, its weekly lending capital flow can reach 1 billion USD, mainly used for BTC and ETH futures trading. Currently, the market cap of BTC and ETH has reached hundreds of billions, and the liquidation price would generally need to drop below 80,000. Under normal circumstances, the highest threshold for liquidation is 30 points, and if that's the case, it would mean that prices could drop below 80,000. That number is hard to imagine because once it really drops to that position, more people will no longer believe in the existence of a bull market.
So, should we enter the market now? When considering the pros and cons, many indicators show that there may still be room for further declines. I can only say that friends with funds can consider laying low in the spot market, pondering a question: whether it's BTC or Ethereum, isn’t it not difficult for BTC to challenge 100,000 again? How will the market react at that time? It's also not difficult for Ethereum to break through 3,700; if it really reaches that price, what kind of situation will the market present?
Of course, if the bull market really ends, the market will experience a long downward period, and that's okay. But it is currently difficult for retail investors to judge whether the bull market has ended; there are usually clear daily or weekly top divergences when a bull market ends. The 69K in 2021 is a clear weekly top divergence, while the daily level of this wave of the market has not yet shown divergence, so it is hard for me to believe that the bull market has ended.
Additionally, from a macro perspective, Trump is laying the groundwork for crypto-related policies ahead of time; currently, these policies have yet to be implemented, but they are expected to be enacted after January. Favorable policies may continue, forming a policy peak.
From last night to today, many altcoins have seen a general rise, but the only contradiction is that many coins in the top 100 by market cap still need to test the bottom. Therefore, friends who have made money before, especially with mainstream coins, should consider entering with a 30% position and wait for opportunities to average down, while maintaining patience.
Whether it's BTC, ETH, SOL, or XRP, these can all be investments that serve as currency standards. When the market really takes off, if you don't have a base position, chasing the rise will be very frightening, especially if you chase at costs above 100,000, 3,700, 220, or 3. The appeal of these coins will greatly diminish!
