The European ban alone is unlikely to cause a collapse of USDT (Tether), for several reasons:
1. Global User Base: USDT is the most widely used stablecoin globally, and is very popular outside of Europe, especially in Asia and America.
2. Size and Liquidity: Tether has huge reserves and high liquidity that make it able to withstand regulatory pressures in a given region.
3. Market Alternatives: Even with the EU ban, European traders can continue to use USDT via non-EU platforms.
4. Move towards alternative stablecoins: If USDT faces significant pressure in Europe, more businesses and users may adopt alternative stablecoins, affecting its dominance but not necessarily leading to its collapse.
However, the ban may result in:
Partial decline in liquidity in European markets.
Increased price volatility in the short term.
Pressure on Tether to comply with European laws if it wants to return.
The biggest threat to any stablecoin is usually a loss of confidence in its reserve backing, not a regional ban. As long as Tether continues to prove its reserves, it will be able to maintain its value.