The Federal Reserve raises the "hawk" flag again! The probability of holding steady in January next year is as high as 91.4%
On December 22, the latest data from CME's "FedWatch" was released: the market generally expects a 91.4% chance that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate in January next year, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is only 8.6%.
Market signals indicate that the Fed's stance remains hawkish, and it is highly likely to choose to hold steady in the short term to further observe inflation data and economic conditions. However, the existence of rate cut expectations has also led investors to begin to anticipate a potential turning point next year.
In the face of this complex macro game, a prudent strategy is the key to winning! For more exciting analyses, remember to follow Lao Lin, to see through market logic, and to respond calmly together!
