So far, there is still no major threat from 12632291536. Countries continue to treat BTC as a strategic reserve, and global consensus is growing stronger. The intention of the United States is very clear: BTC will become the most important pawn in U.S. Treasury bonds! Even if this pawn is to be given up, it still needs to be benchmarked to about 70% of U.S. Treasury bonds!

I mentioned multiple times before the U.S. elections that if ETH 2.0 still cannot enhance the interest of new and old users, and the ecological innovation market does not recognize it, it will be very difficult to break through the new high of $4800 in the short term, especially since the new MEME sector cannot outperform SOL and BNB. According to the latest data, over 70% of institutions and whales have included #SOL as one of their long-term investment assets this year, which undoubtedly poses a significant challenge to ETH!

Regarding the suggestion before the New Year: I issued a high-risk warning indicator on the 18th (can be seen at the top of the square).

I predict that before January 20th, when Trump officially moves into the White House, there will be one more wave of market activity. BTC will touch $120,000 before the New Year, and a surge in altcoins similar to the explosive growth of 2021 may begin in the low phase of April to early May 2025! Don't forget, before every bull market starts, there will be a black swan event, with an overall decline of about 25% in mainstream assets, and altcoins generally being cut in half. This round of decline cannot yet be called a true black swan!