The Federal Reserve just cut interest rates by 25 basis points, but said the chances of a rate cut next year are low due to stubborn inflation and continued economic resilience. Meanwhile, the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week.
Are U.S. rate hikes coming? If the Trump administration launches a serious trade war with China, there is a 30% chance of a rate hike in 2025.
Recently, the Federal Reserve made its third rate cut of 2024, a 25 basis point cut. The economic landscape is changing. Companies are already preparing to raise prices in response to potential tariffs, which could further push up inflation and indicate the need for further rate hikes.
The U.S. government is also actively restricting investment in China. Last month, the U.S. Treasury Department finalized investment restrictions on high-tech sectors in mainland China, Hong Kong and Macau, including artificial intelligence, quantum computing and semiconductors. The new rules will take effect on January 2 next year.
The game and battle between the two largest economies in the world, the escalation of the trade war, and the financial war will generate turbulence and uncertainty in global stock markets. But the current volatility is actually an opportunity for dealers to ship, wash the market, create panic, and then buy at the bottom again.
The same is true for the cryptocurrency market. The bull market has not ended, but the second half has begun. The pullback is just for another start. There are about 320 days left before the end of the bull market. The unilateral rise should be between February and May. For this pullback, everyone will enter the market in batches. Then just hold the currency and wait for the rise. Trump is in power, and the definite good news is set in stone. This time, the hawkish speech of Powell of the Federal Reserve is actually for the next wave, the bull market is even crazier, and to create confusion. This is the last chance to buy the bottom of the bull market, so don't miss it. $BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #加密市场回调