Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle is based on the halving, which reduces the issuance of new bitcoins and creates scarcity, driving predictable rallies and corrections. Historical data shows:

2012-2013: The 2012 halving led to a super high in 2013, followed by a sharp drop in 2014.

2016-2017: The 2016 halving led to a new high in 2017 and a sharp drop in 2018.

2020-2021: The 2020 halving triggered a bull market in 2021, with a severe correction in 2022.

Now, the super high that was supposed to occur in 2025 appears to have started earlier, in November 2024.

What can anticipate the cycle:

1. Institutional interest: Large purchases can anticipate rallies.

2. Experienced investors: Behavior aligned with expectations of post-halving highs.

3. Macroeconomics: Crises or inflation increase Bitcoin's appeal as a store of value.

4. Predictable history: Repetitive cycles lead investors to act sooner.

This suggests that the super-drop, historically seen in 2014, 2018 and 2022, could occur in mid-2025 rather than 2026.