$VANA
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
1. Current trend:
- The price is in a short-term downtrend from $18.5 to $16.7
- RSI is in the oversold zone (30-35) indicating potential short-term recovery
- MACD is giving a bullish divergence signal with the price
- Trading volume is gradually increasing in recent sessions
2. Important support/resistance levels:
- Resistance: $17.2-17.5 and $18.0-18.2
- Support: $16.5-16.7 and $16.0-16.2
TRADING SCENARIO (4-24 HOURS AHEAD):
Scenario 1 (60% probability): Short recovery
- Price tests the $17.2-17.5 range
- Confirmation signs: RSI breaks above 40, MACD crosses above signal
- Target: $17.2 (+3%)
- Stop loss: $16.4 (-2%)
Scenario 2 (40% probability): Continued adjustment
- Price tests the $16.0-16.2 range
- Confirmation signs: RSI continues to decrease below 30
- Target: $16.2 (-3%)
- Stop loss: $17.2 (+3%)
TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS:
1. Long position:
- Entry: $16.7-16.8
- A small position can be opened here with good risk/reward
- Wait for confirmation of recovery trend before increasing position
2. Short position:
- Should not short at the current price range
- Wait to test the $17.2-17.5 range if wanting to short
VOLATILITY ASSESSMENT ±5%:
- Probability of +5% volatility (up to $17.5): 35%
- Probability of -5% volatility (down to $15.9): 25%
- Probability of fluctuating within ±3%: 40%
Note: This analysis is based on technical data; investors need to combine it with fundamental analysis and appropriate risk management when trading.