Who are the main contenders for parabolic growth in this cycle?
If we use spreadsheet and filter tools and sort all coins by Year-To-Date (YTD) price changes, and also add a filter for market capitalization above $100M, we will see that 7 out of the 10 strongest tokens this year are meme coins.
Therefore, from a rational perspective, we have reasons to believe that the alt season will provide the highest returns for the leaders of this sector.
However, if you are hesitant to invest in meme coins or prefer tokens from larger tech projects, let's take a look at the top 10 projects this year with a market capitalization above $1 billion, excluding memes:
Conclusion
In summary, let's analyze the temporal structure and logic of past cycles and provide answers to the following questions:
When will the alt season start?
According to our calculations, the start of the alt season will be on the 235th day after the halving, which is December 20, 2024.
How long will it last?
According to our calculations, the alt season will last for 310 days, that is, until October 18, 2025.
Which coins will show the best performance during the alt season?
Most likely, the coins that will perform best before the start of the alt season. At the moment, the main contenders for the highest gains are the leaders in the meme coin sector. Also among the main contenders for growth are projects in the categories of Blockchain, AI Infrastructure, and CeFi.
We can only hope that the current cycle will repeat the structure of the past ones and we will see the coveted third global alt season. Good luck to us all.