After holding Bitcoin from around $35,000, I decided to sell most of my Bitcoin holdings at $100,000. It wasn't an easy decision, but carefully analyzing market trends, risk/reward dynamics, and historical patterns helped me take profits at this stage. Below is my analysis of the reasoning and strategy for the remainder of the cycle.

1. Risk/reward ratio

At $100,000, Bitcoin's upside potential seems limited. While it could still increase further, the expected gain from this point onward (around 15–20%) does not justify the risk of losing 200% of my profits. The cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile, and protecting profits in a mature growth market is crucial.

2. Altseason is approaching

Bitcoin's price stability often marks the beginning of altcoin season—a phase where altcoins perform significantly better than BTC. With Bitcoin's dominance likely decreasing as it stabilizes at these levels, capital will flow into high-potential altcoins. Historically, altcoins have delivered returns of 10x–100x during these periods, making this an attractive opportunity for risk-tolerant investors.

3. Market cycle analysis

Cryptocurrency operates in a clearly recorded market cycle, heavily influenced by the Bitcoin halving event. Historically:

  • Bull markets peak about 29 months after a halving.

  • Each bull run lasts 9–11 months.

Based on this framework, the current bull run may end in September 2025, with diminishing returns as we approach that time. Selling now allows me to position for the next phase of the cycle without facing the potential market correction.

4. Taking profits is key

In cryptocurrency, the saying "Better to leave 10–15% on the table than risk losing 90% in a crash" holds true. The temptation to ride Bitcoin to absolute highs often leads to regret when the market reverses suddenly. By selling now, I secure life-changing profits and reduce emotional stress.

5. Focus on high-growth potential Altcoins

While BTC offers relative safety, the real exponential returns in cryptocurrency lie in altcoins, especially during altcoin season. My strategy includes reallocating profits into altcoins tied to strong narratives such as:

  • Artificial Intelligence (AI): The integration of AI with blockchain has tremendous potential.

  • DePin (Decentralized physical infrastructure): Projects in this space address real-world challenges using blockchain.

  • RWA (Real World Assets): Tokenizing real-world assets is becoming increasingly popular, representing a vast untapped market.

What's next?

I intend to accumulate altcoins with high potential for appreciation as BTC stabilizes and dominance decreases. I focus on projects with strong fundamentals, adoption prospects, and alignment with emerging trends. To minimize risk, I will categorize my entries and maintain a balanced portfolio.

This cycle is about strategic exits and tactical re-entries. While I believe in the long-term value of Bitcoin, taking profits is currently positioning me for bigger opportunities. The key is to maintain discipline, monitor data, and avoid making emotional decisions.

DYOR! #Write2Win #Write&Earn $BTC