【Zen Saying Analysis📖| BTC/USDT 4H💰】
The anticipated second bottom has not arrived in the past two days, and I've been slapped in the face😂 realizing that being an analyst often means taking hits.
Returning to the main point, the previous trend analysis was based on the high point of 104088 on the 5th as the dividing line. Previously, it was an upward trend, and now it is considered a downward trend. Generally, a downward trend will have at least three segments, which is "down-up-down", just like how all humans typically have two eyes and one nose.
However, sometimes, during a strong trend, a segment of "down" can directly complete the downward movement and then reverse upwards. This is indeed unpredictable; ultimately, the trend is determined by the market. As ordinary humans, we can only change our perspective on the trend and adopt the decomposition method shown above, which allows us to rationalize from a contrarian perspective.
As for the altcoin season, I believe it is still on its way. On one hand, the large-scale monetary stimulus policies from the last cycle have not yet taken effect; on the other hand, although the shadow of S3 still looms, most people have not yet felt its impact. If these measures truly come to fruition in 2025, they will become a significant driving force for price increases in the latter part of the bull market.