1. Capital flow and main player behavior:
Strong net capital inflow: According to the capital flow data you provided, especially the capital inflow data from the last 24 hours, it shows optimistic market sentiment. Particularly, the capital inflow amount has sharply increased in the last few hours, indicating that large capital is actively pushing the market upward.
High proportion of large orders: The buying volume of large orders significantly outpaces the selling volume, and the buying volume has noticeably increased, showing the entry of large capital. This situation usually indicates a strong upward momentum in the market.
2. Market technical analysis:
Price breaks through key resistance level: The price of BTC has broken through $105,000 and shows a clear upward trend on the chart. The upward momentum in the short term is very obvious on the 4-hour and 1-hour technical charts, with the moving average system (especially MA5 and MA10) maintaining a bullish arrangement, which further supports the price to continue rising.
The possibility of a short-term pullback is low: Although there are short-term fluctuations in the market, due to continuous capital inflows and main capital driving the rise, a strong support level has formed around $105,000, so the space for a pullback may be small and the probability of market upward movement is high.
3. Leverage and short ratio:
Leverage ratio normal: According to leverage ratio data, the current leverage ratio is relatively balanced, with no signs of excessive leverage. This indicates that market sentiment is rational and that there will not be violent fluctuations due to excessive leverage.
Short pressure increases: Currently, short positions are relatively high. If the price continues to rise, shorts will face significant pressure, which may accelerate short covering, thus pushing the price further up.
4. Market psychology and major player strategies:
Market driven by major players: Recent market activity indicates that major players seem to be intentionally pushing the BTC price up, especially during periods of significant capital inflow, with market sentiment gradually recovering confidence following the operations of the main capital.
Investor sentiment is positive: As the price breaks through important technical levels, retail investors' sentiment has also become more optimistic, and investors are starting to buy more actively.
Conclusion:
Based on various data and market psychology analysis, the short-term trend (in the next 12 hours) is more inclined to continue rising, i.e., a bullish direction. The continuous inflow of main capital, ongoing large orders, and strong support from technical charts all indicate a strong upward momentum for BTC in the short term.
Recommendation:
Take profit suggestion: You can set the take profit point around $107,000. If the market breaks through this point, it may continue to rise.
Stop loss suggestion: The stop loss point can be set around $104,000. If the price falls below this support, a short-term adjustment may occur.
In summary, the market is relatively bullish in the short term, and it is recommended to adopt a long strategy, control risks, and patiently wait for the rise.
