Next market forecast:
There will likely be a peak around late December, followed by a major drop in January, where we should see the bottom. A potential rise may occur in February and March, followed by a period of volatility and downward movement from April to September. Then from October to December, a second peak is expected. The four-year bull market is likely to end around 2026, after which we may enter a bear market.
Morning key summary:
1. The Nasdaq 100 index will include MicroStrategy on December 23, and this news may bring in significant capital inflow. Congratulations to MicroStrategy and Bitcoin.
2. Most analysts are optimistic about the Christmas market, predicting that Ethereum may break through $5000 early next year. In the past decade, cryptocurrencies have risen around Christmas time in 8 out of 10 years.
3. The Bank of Japan's meeting next week is likely to keep interest rates unchanged, so there’s no need to worry too much about negative impacts.
4. Approximately 2.25 million wallets have purchased 2.18 million BTC between $94,300 and $100,250, forming strong support.
5. In the past 30 days, CEX (centralized exchanges) have seen an outflow of 124,000 BTC. The tight supply situation will drive prices up, and continued outflows are bullish for the market.
6. Today, USDC has issued an additional 50 million tokens. Continued issuance indicates more buying interest in the market, which is a positive sign.
7. Everyone is discussing that the altcoin season is approaching, so pay attention to those small-cap coins that are breaking new highs and showing strong momentum.