According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep the current interest rate unchanged until December is 1.4%, while the probability of a cumulative cut of 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged until January next year is 1.1%, the probability of a cumulative cut of 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of a cumulative cut of 50 basis points is 19%.