$PNUT

1. Technical Analysis:

30m timeframe:

- Price is in a short-term downtrend, RSI = 40-50 indicates that selling pressure is dominant

- MACD is negatively diverging, indicating strong downward momentum

- Bollinger Bands are narrowing, suggesting that volatility may increase in the near future

- Volume is gradually increasing in down candles

1h timeframe:

- The downtrend is clearer

- RSI below 40 indicates slight oversold condition

- Nearest support zone is 1.25-1.26

- Resistance is near 1.31-1.32

4h and 1D timeframe:

- Medium-term downtrend

- No clear reversal signals yet

- Trading volume is significantly increasing in down sessions

2. Scenarios for the next 4-24 hours:

Scenario 1 (60% probability):

- Price continues to decline towards the 1.25-1.26 zone

- Signal: Volume increases significantly as price decreases

- Confirmation: RSI continues to drop below 40

Scenario 2 (30% probability):

- Technical recovery to test 1.31-1.32

- Signal: RSI makes a higher low

- Confirmation: MACD crosses above the signal line

Scenario 3 (10% probability):

- Sideways in the 1.27-1.30 range

- Signal: Volume gradually decreases

- Confirmation: BB continues to narrow

3. Recommendation:

- Do not enter at this time as the downtrend is still strong

- Wait for clearer reversal signals (RSI making a bottom, MACD positive divergence)

- Stop loss below 1.25 if opening a position

4. ±5% volatility potential:

- High potential in the next 24 hours due to:

+ BB is narrowing

+ Volume is gradually increasing

+ General market volatility is increasing

- Expected volatility range: 1.21-1.34

- Need to set SL/TP wider than normal

Conclusion: The market is in a short to medium-term downtrend, with no clear reversal signals yet. Recommendation to observe further and wait for better opportunities.