A slight increase leads to euphoria, a slight decrease leads to panic; many people are led by these short-term emotions, completely forgetting that the core of the market is the cycle, not fluctuations over a few hours.
The peaks and troughs of bull and bear markets have always been a process, not an instant. Even a crash like 312 is just a part of the bear market; it is followed by a slow ascent, accumulation, and then an explosion. Similarly, the peak of a bull market cannot be achieved in one day; there will be frenzied rises in the early stages, adjustments in the middle, and then a period of consolidation at high levels, before a real peak signal appears.
In simple terms, the rhythm of the market is not that simple; it is absolutely not possible to judge bull and bear markets based on a single day's fluctuations. It's like a person stepping down from a peak state; they do not collapse all at once upon waking, but rather go through a gradual process. Before the peak of a bull market, the market is bound to be euphoric and emotionally charged, with everyone thinking "it will keep rising," while the bottom of a bear market only slowly rises after countless people despair and sell at a loss.
The truly smart players do not focus on the rises and falls of one or two days, but on the entire chess game. Both bull and bear markets are part of a cycle; as long as you can identify the cycle and recognize the trend, you will not be swayed by emotions. This mindset is actually quite difficult, just like my brothers in the group, who laid out their positions early on, especially maintaining calm amid market frenzy and panic. But just remember one thing: real opportunities always appear when most people cannot understand them, and you have already won half the battle.
The market is meant to be endured over time, not deciphered by staring at candlestick charts every day. The alternation of bull and bear markets often hides opportunities during others' panic, not found by chasing highs and lows daily. Maintaining a stable mindset and recognizing cycles is the true way to survive in the market.
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