Fans are anxious after seeing some KOL's views, asking me how BTC will move next?

The crazy person is an old KOL, and his summary of opinions: 1. Consolidation for 2-3 months; 2. Top correction of 30-40%; 3. He sets the bottom buying range at 70-80k;

I do not agree with these three points;

1. Yesterday, $BTC spiked, and $ETH led to a massive crash in altcoins, aligning with my top post's prediction that BTC would break 100k in early December and start to correct in early December (attached is the old prediction chart from the end of November)

2. What is the depth of BTC's correction?

Many events and macro data affect the specific target points for the correction,

(1) If tomorrow's U.S. November CPI meets or exceeds expectations (70% probability), then BTC's second wave correction will be completed through a fluctuation between 90K-100K;

(2) If the CPI is shocking, with core CPI reaching 0.4% (30% probability), it will significantly increase the probability that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in December; BTC is expected to follow the U.S. stock market down to around 87K;

The crazy person's 30-40% correction is alarmist;

3. How long will BTC adjust?

Before December 22, it is highly likely that the second wave correction will end, starting the third wave of increase;

(1) The sentiment and breadth of the U.S. stock market are at a low point, and by late December, the U.S. stock market will have corrected almost enough;

(2) In a bull market, BTC's correction period is generally 1-2 weeks;

The Santa Rally will drive the U.S. stock market and Bitcoin up, with a target price of 120k for Bitcoin's third wave;

The crazy person's inference of 2-3 months of consolidation happening at the end of the year is very low probability, it may only happen in Q2 of 2025;

4. Bottom buying range;

If tomorrow's CPI is favorable, then 95K-91K, you can place orders in batches to bottom buy BTC;

If the CPI is shocking, then 91K-87K, you can place orders in batches to bottom buy BTC;

Buying in is making a profit;

The prices mentioned by the crazy person are estimated to take half a year to reach.

5. When will the larger correction happen?

Expected on January 20, when Trump takes office, the market will Sell the news;